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Dynasty $125 - FFL: Playoff Week 1 | NFL: Week 15

Top 10 Player Props For NFL Week 15

Sat Dec 14 6:57am ET
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It's not a full Sunday slate of NFL action with two Monday night matchups, but it is going to be a busy day with plenty of player props to choose from among the games scheduled.

In an effort to make betting on them easier, we've done a deep dive into each game, looking for the best ones.

What is "best" is in the eye of the bettor, of course. But here are 10 of our favorite NFL player props from the Week 15 slate. (The following are in no particular order. Odds are from FanDuel unless otherwise indicated).

Commanders vs. Saints

Jake Haener, QB, New Orleans Saints O/U 188.5 Passing Yards -113/-113

The Saints' passing game was mediocre on its best days, especially since Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed went on injured reserve. And now a former fourth-round pick, Haener, is set to get his first NFL start on Sunday vs. a decent Washington defense.

The Commanders' defense will smell blood in the water against an inexperienced quarterback. Haener got his most significant action to date on Oct. 27 against the Chargers, against whom he went 9 of 17 for 122 yards.

Take the UNDER.

Alvin Kamara, O/U 16.5 Rushing Attempts +100/-130 (BetMGM)

Kamara has logged 17-plus rushing attempts in four of his past five games. Since Washington ranks toward the bottom in rushing yards allowed per game, there is a good chance the Saints give him the ball a few more times.

Take the OVER.

Patriots vs. Cardinals

Drake Maye, O/U 20.5 Pass Completions -128/-102

Maye has completed at least 22 passes in five of his past seven games. Of the two times he was under in that span, he left one game early due to a concussion, and in the other (vs. Chicago), the New England defense took center stage and he didn't need to throw much. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 21-plus passes vs. the Cardinals in eight straight games.

Take the OVER.

Kyler Murray, O/U 223.5 Passing Yards -120/-110 (DraftKings)

Murray has had some ups and downs this season, but he has been "up" for his past four games, throwing for 266, 285, 260 and 259 yards. With the run game not doing well in recent weeks, he attempted 24, 37, 45 and 38 passes in those games, respectively.

However, the Cardinals lost the past three games and they were trying to come from behind. That may not be the case this week. Still, since their run game is struggling and the Patriots' defense has been mediocre against the pass, he will throw enough to go OVER this total.

Take the OVER.

Ravens vs. Giants

Justice Hill, O/U 15.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113

If you look at his stat lines for this season, the UNDER looks like a terrific play. He has gone UNDER that total in seven of his past eight games. With Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson carrying the bulk of the load, that makes sense.

However, if this game becomes the blowout it is expected to be, the Ravens will pull Henry early enough in the second half. With three games in 11 days this late in the season, the Ravens will want to give their star running back a break to preserve him for future games.

Don't be shocked if Hill plays the entire fourth quarter, if not most of the second half.

Take the OVER.

Dolphins vs. Texans

Tua Tagovailoa, O/U 264.5 Passing Yards at -113/-113

O/U 1.5 Passing Touchdowns at -128/-102

The Texans possess one of those defenses where the stats do not paint an accurate picture of just how good they are. Overall, they rank seventh in pass defense this season, allowing 198.8 yards per game.

Even so, Jacksonville's Mac Jones threw for 235 yards and almost completed an incredible second-half comeback in Houston's most recent game. Before that, Tennessee's Will Levis threw for 278 yards against the Texans, Cooper Rush threw for 354 yards and Detroit's Jared Goff threw for 240 yards despite throwing five interceptions.

Tagovailoa has thrown for 300-plus yards in each of his past three games and had 288 in the one before that span. He has found his rhythm, and with the run game struggling, he is throwing a lot. Even if it looks sketchy for him in the first half, he will go OVER this total in the second half.

Take the OVER.

As for his touchdown total, Houston has given up 26 passing touchdowns this season, tied for the most in the NFL. Tagovailoa has thrown for two or more in each of his past four games. It would be a surprise if he did not throw at least two TD passes in this game.

Take the OVER.

Tyreek Hill, O/U 71.5 Receiving Yards at -113/-113

It has not been an excellent year for Hill, but he and Tagovailoa have formed a top connection the past two games. Hill was targeted 23 times in that stretch and caught 16 for 198 yards. The Texans may try to take him away, but they don't have the personnel to do that. He may not do it until the fourth quarter, but Hill will go OVER 71.5 yards.

Take the OVER.

De'Von Achane, O/U 47.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113

Houston has a decent run defense, and Achane has struggled to get the run game on track for the Dolphins no matter what team they face. He has gone over 47.5 yards just once in his past five games.

He will probably not go over it in this game because Miami will be too busy throwing the ball against the Texans' defense.

Take the UNDER.

Nico Collins, O/U 88.5 Receiving Yards at -113/-113

Collins has improved with each game since returning from a five-game injury absence, culminating in an eight-reception, 119-yard day against the Jaguars. C.J. Stroud likely will try to target him 10 to 15 times in this game. As long as Collins catches half, he will go OVER 71.5 yards.

Take the OVER.

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Player Notes
Adonai Mitchell Dec 14 10:20am CT
Adonai Mitchell

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Adonai Mitchell didn't catch either of his targets back in Week 13, a disappointing outcome considering the Colts were without one of their top pass catchers in Josh Downs. It was Alec Pierce who earned an uptick in targets, not Mitchell, although there wasn't much production to go around anyway with quarterback Anthony Richardson throwing only 24 passes and completing just 12 of them for 109 yards. The 22-year-old has caught one pass or less in five of his last six games and the Colts take on a daunting Denver pass defense in Week 15, so production could once again come at a premium. Downs had a bye week to recover and although he is questionable, the 23-year-old got in two full practices to end the week so it looks like he has a good shot to play. Regardless of whether he's in or out, it likely doesn't change Mitchell's outlook, which is not good. With the fantasy playoffs upon us, managers should look elsewhere as there should be better options on the waiver wire.

From RotoBaller

Wil Lutz Dec 14 10:10am CT
Wil Lutz

Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz went from being off the fantasy radar to begin the 2024 season to being a near-weekly lock as a top-10 option at the position heading into a Week 15 matchup at home against the Indianapolis Colts. Not only has Lutz been one of the most accurate kickers in the league this year -- he's made 89.7% of his 29 field-goal attempts -- but he'll be taking on a Colts defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to kickers in the last five weeks (four games). The 30-year-old veteran has become a fantasy asset with Denver's offensive improving drastically under rookie quarterback Bo Nix in the second half of the season. Lutz has made all 20 of his kicks in the last three games and has been a top-10 fantasy kicker in the last five weeks. Overall, he's the No. 5 fantasy kicker on the year. Lutz should be in starting lineups in altitude in Denver this weekend.

From RotoBaller

Devon Achane Dec 14 10:10am CT
Devon Achane

Miami Dolphins running back De'Von Achane has been one of fantasy football's most consistent running backs in 2024. He scored 18+ PPR fantasy points in six of the last seven games and touchdowns in four straight. The 23-year-old also ranks second in receiving yards by a running back behind only Alvin Kamara. Week 15 presents a matchup against a Houston Texans defense that excels at stopping opposing running backs. They rank eighth in rushing yards, fourth in fantasy points, and tied for fifth in rushing touchdowns allowed per game. They're also very good at defending running backs in the passing game, ranking fifth in receiving yards allowed per game to running backs. Despite this, he remains a solid RB1 and should continue to see the bulk of the touches in the Miami backfield. His red zone presence makes him an easy start for Week 15. He comes in as RotoBallers RB5 in this week's rankings.

From RotoBaller

Tua Tagovailoa Dec 14 10:00am CT
Tua Tagovailoa

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa looks to keep up his incredible run since returning from a gruesome concussion in Week 8. He has thrown for 300+ yards and multiple passing touchdowns in three straight games and has not thrown an interception since Week 10 against the Los Angeles Rams. In his last five games, Tagovailoa ranks third in passing yards and third in passing touchdowns. This week, he gets a matchup against a Houston Texans defense that somewhat struggles against quarterbacks. They rank 17th in fantasy points and 31st in passing touchdowns allowed per game. Miami must win this game if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive, and with their defensive struggles, they may have to score to keep up with Houston's offense in this game. Start him with confidence as a top 10 play for Week 15. He comes in as RotoBallers QB7 in this week's rankings.

From RotoBaller

Marvin Mims Dec 14 10:00am CT
Marvin Mims

Although Denver Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims Jr. had over 100 yards receiving and his second touchdown in the last three games in the Week 13 win over the Cleveland Browns, we aren't recommending him as a starting fantasy option in the first round of the playoffs in most leagues. Mims caught only three passes against the Browns, but one of them went for a 93-yard bomb to the house on a perfectly placed pass down the seam. In Week 11 against the Falcons, Mims also scored but only had two catches for 49 yards. The 22-year-old has been much more involved in the second half of the season, but he's still only averaging 1.5 receptions per game and 20.5 yards per game in 13 contests. In addition, the Colts defense has allowed the fourth-fewest half-PPR points to opposing wideouts in the last five weeks. Mims is going to have to break another big play to pay off in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Devaughn Vele Dec 14 9:50am CT
Devaughn Vele

Denver Broncos rookie wide receiver Devaughn Vele will be looking for a bounce-back performance in Week 15 against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday at Empower Field after catching just one of his four targets for 16 yards in the 41-32 win over the Browns back in Week 13. In his three previous games before the quiet showing on Monday night, Vele had a three-game stretch of 14 receptions for 185 yards and his first career touchdown on 18 targets, prompting many fantasy managers to snag him off the waiver wire in Denver's improving offense. In all three of those games, the seventh-round rookie out of Utah played over 60% of the snaps. Indy's defense has allowed the seventh-most passing yards per game (232.4) this year, but in the last five weeks, they've given up the fourth-fewest half-PPR points to wideouts. Vele has been the closest thing Denver has had to a WR2 behind Courtland Sutton all year, but the production has been spotty, making him a low-upside, low-floor WR5/flex in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Matt Gay Dec 14 9:40am CT
Matt Gay

Indianapolis Colts kicker Matt Gay made just one field goal back before the team's bye week in Week 13, but it was the first time since Week 3 that the 30-year-old was held to just a single field goal. The veteran had been busy since Week 4, knocking 21 footballs through the uprights, which is the fifth-most during that time. Working in his favor is an offense led by Anthony Richardson, which can move the ball at times and even find the end zone, but with a 47.4% completion rate, drives also have a tendency to stall. This leaves the door open for Gay, who has a 91.3% success rate since Week 4 and is also 18-for-18 on extra point attempts over that stretch. The Colts take on a formidable Broncos defense in Week 15 in Denver, so scoring chances could be limited, especially with the Colts as five-point underdogs in a game that doesn't sport a particularly high expected total (45). The sixth-year pro should get a couple of opportunities early but the Colts might be playing catch-up later and won't be able to settle for field goals, leaving Gay as a reliable but not high-upside play in Week 15.

From RotoBaller

Javonte Williams Dec 14 9:40am CT
Javonte Williams

Denver Broncos running back Javonte Williams has a great matchup in Week 15 against the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, but he's still hard to trust as a flex option in fantasy leagues in the first round of the playoffs. Williams leads the team in carries (124), rushing yards (446) and rushing touchdowns (four), but he's averaging a mere 3.6 yards per carry and is now no longer the clear leader of the backfield after Jaleel McLaughlin saw a team-high 14 carries in the Week 13 win over the Browns. In the last four games, Williams has just 22 rushing attempts for 59 yards (2.69 yards per tote) and two TDs. The Colts defense has allowed the second-most rushing yards per game (147) and fourth-most half-PPR points per game to RBs, so Denver's ground game could have a rare good performance. However, Williams isn't guaranteed to see lead-back volume, making him a tough-to-trust RB3/flex in deeper fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Jake Bates Dec 14 9:00am CT
Jake Bates

Detroit Lions kicker Jake Bates has turned a corner recently with his fantasy production. In his past five games, Bates has made four field goals of 50-plus yards and has double-digit fantasy points in four of those last five contests. In a home matchup with the Bills in Week 15, there figure to be points scored with two great offenses featured in what could turn out to be a shootout. Look for Bates to continue his recent strong stretch if Lions' drives stall short of finding the end zone. He figures to be a strong play at the kicker position this week.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Austin III Dec 14 9:00am CT
Calvin Austin III

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Calvin Austin III is not a reliable fantasy option for Week 15 against the Philadelphia Eagles. Even though fellow receiver George Pickens (hamstring) has been ruled out for Sunday, Austin isn't a leading candidate to claim the bulk of his vacated opportunities. For proof, look no further than last Sunday when Pickens was sidelined and Austin still played just 35 percent of the offensive snaps, catching one pass for four yards. Rather than looking to Austin to fill in for Pickens, managers seeking flex production in deep leagues may be better off adding someone like Van Jefferson, Scotty Miller, or Mike Williams. Austin should be benched in most formats ahead of Sunday, especially as he takes on an Eagles defense allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Josh Allen Dec 14 9:00am CT
Josh Allen

The Detroit Lions D/ST should be left on the bench or waiver wire in Week 15. The Lions draw a home matchup with the Bills led by a red-hot Josh Allen. The Bills lost last week to the Rams but Allen had three passing touchdowns and three rushing touchdowns as Buffalo scored 42 points in the loss. In his last four matchups, Allen has six rushing touchdowns. The Lions D/ST has three double-digit fantasy performances this season but the matchup this week says stay away. Likely a matchup-dependent D/ST for fantasy purposes, this is not the week to fire up the Lions.

From RotoBaller

Parker Washington Dec 14 8:50am CT
Parker Washington

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington is expected to earn additional consideration for fantasy lineups in Week 15, but he's not the most dependable option after catching just two passes for 15 yards last Sunday. The 22-year-old turned heads across the league back in Week 13 with six catches, 103 yards, and one score, but he has come back down to earth since then and is no longer viewed as one of the top streaming WR3/FLEX options. Rather, he's the No. 2 pass-catching option in a struggling offense led by Mac Jones, which doesn't bode well for his fantasy value. To make matters worse, Washington is facing a New York Jets defense that has allowed the third-fewest catches, yards, and touchdowns to opposing wide receivers, as well as the fourth-fewest fantasy points. Managers should bench Washington and look elsewhere for their WR3/FLEX contributions in Week 15.

From RotoBaller

Sam LaPorta Dec 14 8:50am CT
Sam LaPorta

Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta has seen an uptick in targets lately but his fantasy success is largely based on whether he finds the end zone in a given week. He has seen at least six targets in four of his last five games, but his high for receiving yards was 66 against the Texans in Week 10. Against the Bears, LaPorta scored 15.60 fantasy points in PPR leagues when he caught three passes for six yards and two touchdowns. LaPorta is fighting for looks in the crowded Lions' offense but is still a nice red-zone threat. The tight-end landscape is very thin, so LaPorta still makes for a decent play at the position against a Bills defense that is good at limiting damage to opposing tight ends. The Bills defense is allowing the fifth-fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season. LaPorta will reward fantasy managers if he finds the end zone, but that is a risky proposition this week.

From RotoBaller

Sterling Shepard Dec 14 8:40am CT
Sterling Shepard

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Sterling Shepard (foot) is officially questionable to play against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 15. The veteran had missed two consecutive practices before returning in a limited capacity on Friday. He has been a steady offensive contributor in his age-31 season, catching 29 passes for 287 yards and one touchdown over 11 games. He has been particularly productive lately with at least four catches in each of his last three contests. Although he's a veteran pass-catcher in a productive offense, Shepard will be tough to trust in fantasy football if he plays this week. Not only does he rank 83rd among wide receivers in total fantasy points this year, but he's going up against a strong Chargers defense that has allowed fifth-fewest receptions to the position.

From RotoBaller

Jameson Williams Dec 14 8:40am CT
Jameson Williams

Detroit Lions wide receiver Jameson Williams saw eight targets in his last game against the Green Bay Packers which were his most targets since Week 2 of this season. He will look to continue his involvement in the passing game with another good performance in Week 15 against the Buffalo Bills. Williams has been getting more involved in the Lions passing attack each week since his suspension in Weeks 8 and 9. The activity of Williams in the passing game bodes well for his fantasy outlook, especially with his big-play ability. One big play can turn Williams's fantasy day into a successful one. The Bills have an above-average pass defense so it won't be an easy matchup but Williams lines up as a high-upside play at the wide receiver position in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Braelon Allen Dec 14 8:30am CT
Braelon Allen

New York Jets running back Braelon Allen is expected to see his workload decrease heading into Week 15 of the NFL season. Allen broke out with 11 carries for 43 rushing yards last Sunday, plus four catches for an additional 38 yards through the air. However, he had earned these additional opportunities by stepping up with Breece Hall (knee) sidelined. In the loss to Miami, Allen and Isaiah Davis split touches. This weekend, though, Hall is expected to play. He might not be 100 percent, so Allen should still earn several carries, but the rookie's workload likely isn't large enough to justify starting him in fantasy football. Even against a team like the Jaguars, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to running backs, Allen is best viewed as a high-end RB4.

From RotoBaller

Michael Wilson Dec 14 8:30am CT
Michael Wilson

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson has put together an impressive stretch of performances over the last three weeks, and he'll look to remain heavily involved and productive against the New England Patriots in Week 15. In each of his last three contests, Wilson has played at least 82 percent of the snaps. During that three-game span, he has nine catches for 166 yards and one touchdown. While the 25-year-old doesn't possess the same flashiness as Marvin Harrison Jr., he has still shown his value within the Cardinals' offense by delivering consistent production and demonstrating some deep-threat ability. Managers can justify starting him as a WR3/FLEX option, especially against a Patriots defense allowing the 11th-most catches to wide receivers in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Amon-Ra St. Brown Dec 14 8:10am CT
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown has been a bit quiet the past three weeks compared to his own lofty standards. St. Brown torched the Jacksonville Jaguars defense in Week 11 for 11 catches, 161 receiving yards, and two receiving touchdowns but has not scored a receiving touchdown in the three weeks since then. In the past three games he has seven, seven, and six targets so he is still involved in the offensive game plan. The Bills defense ranks 11th-best against opposing receivers in fantasy points allowed this season. St. Brown should be heavily involved from a target standpoint as the Lions try to work him back into the mix and help him find the end zone. The Lions' passing game should lean on St. Brown, so he is looking like a decent bet to return to form.

From RotoBaller

Jahmyr Gibbs Dec 14 8:00am CT
Jahmyr Gibbs

Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs faces a Buffalo Bills defense in Week 15 which is allowing the third most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. While he splits time with David Montgomery in the Lions' backfield, Gibbs is heavily involved in the passing game and has the ability to break long runs with his superior speed. The Lions should lean on the rushing attack in this matchup of heavyweights and Gibbs should feature heavily in the game plan. In his last six games, the talented running back has four rushing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown. Continued success is likely for Gibbs in this matchup with a big play or two likely against the Bills leaky run defense (or in the receiving game). Fantasy managers are likely starting Gibbs with confidence each week and this week should be more of the same.

From RotoBaller

David Montgomery Dec 14 7:50am CT
David Montgomery

Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery has scored a rushing touchdown in four of his last five games and look for him to continue that streak in Week 15 in a home matchup against the Buffalo Bills. Splitting time with Jahmyr Gibbs in the backfield, Montgomery is a big threat to score each week even though he hasn't racked up 100-yard rushing games. The bruising running back has one game this season of more than 100 rushing yards but has 12 rushing touchdowns. He is coming off a game against Green Bay in which he caught a season-high five passes. More involvement in the passing game plus his likelihood to score makes him a solid play for fantasy playoff matchups. The Bills give up the third most fantasy points to opposing running backs so look for the Lions to lean on the ground game in this key matchup.

From RotoBaller