Top 10 Player Props For NFL Week 13
Sat Nov 30 3:48am ET
Field Level Media
This time of year can be difficult for bettors. It is not unusual for a struggling NFL team to play well for a day and keep it close against a better team. But if taking such a bet does not sound like a good idea, give one (or more) of the hundreds of player props a try.
With three games on Thanksgiving and another on Black Friday, there are fewer games than usual. However, there are still hundreds of NFL player props available. To help you decide which to bet on, here is our top 10 list of player props for Sunday's Week 13 slate.
NFL Week 13: Player Props
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Pat Freiermuth, four-plus receptions at +194 (FanDuel)
Freiermuth had four last week in the loss to the Browns and at least that many in each of the first four games of the season. But against a passing team like the Bengals, the Steelers will likely need every weapon in their arsenal to keep up with the Cincinnati passing game. The Bengals' defense has taken it relatively easy on tight ends this year. So, whether the Steelers are trying to catch up or control the ball, there is a good chance Freiermuth plays a bigger part than usual and makes four-plus receptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
Bryce Young, O/U 195.5 at -114/-114 (FanDuel)
Those of us who have not paid much attention to the Carolina Panthers this season might be surprised to hear that Bryce Young has been playing pretty well since returning to the starting lineup. He's thrown for 200-plus yards in two of his past four games and is completing 60-plus percent of his passes. Tampa Bay has a solid run defense. Since the Bucs will probably throw early and often, the Panthers will need Young to throw the ball to catch up and/or be competitive. With how well Young is playing right now, we'll take the OVER.
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
Drake Maye, O/U 220.5 passing yards at -115/-115 (DraftKings)
Maye threw for more than 220 passing yards against the Rams and Dolphins, two solid defenses, in his past two games. The Colts' defense ranks No. 27 in pass defense and has seen opponents average 34 pass attempts and 231.7 yards per game over the past three. Maye has averaged right around 34 attempts and 230 yards over his past three. Take the OVER.
Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints
Kyren Williams, O/U 19.5 rushing attempts at -102/-128 (FanDuel)
O/U 82.5 rushing yards at -113/-113 (FanDuel)
O/U 11.5 receiving yards (DraftKings)
Williams had 16, 15, and 15 carries the past three weeks but had 20-plus in the previous four and has averaged 18.8 per game this season. But he'll be facing a New Orleans Saints team that has seen opponents run the ball 26.7 times per game and 27.8 at home. The Rams tend to run a little less on the road, but they are fighting to remain in the playoff conversation (just like the Saints). To that end, they'll put the ball in the hands of their playmaker rather than spread the touches among multiple backs.
New Orleans has been giving up 134.2 yards per game on the ground but has been especially weak against the run at home (163.2 yards per game). Wiliams has gone for over 82.5 yards in three of the five games in which he had 20-plus carries.
But against a Saints team giving up 160-plus at home, take the OVER.
Williams has not been targeted in the passing game the past two weeks (three total). In the eight games where he had at least one catch, he finished with under 11.5 yards in three. He is not a priority in the passing game. Take the UNDER.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
C.J. Stroud, O/U 259.5 passing yards at -115/-115 (BetMGM)
Tank Dell, O/U 51.5 receiving yards at -113/-113 (FanDuel)
O/U 4.5 receptions at +130/-170 (FanDuel)
Nico Collins, O/U longest reception 26.5 yards at -130/+100 (BetMGM)
This should be the ‘get-right' game C.J. Stroud and the Texans have needed for weeks. Jacksonville has overtaken the Ravens as the worst pass defense in the NFL. Stroud has gone over 259.5 passing yards just once in Houston's past seven games.
But opponents are averaging 278.3 yards per game this season and close to 300 over the past three games. If Stroud can't go off against this team with the talent at his disposal ...
Tank Dell has gone over 51.5 yards in both games with Nico Collins back in the lineup. But against a Jacksonville defense that has allowed an average of 13.5 receptions for 183.5 yards, Dell should see a few more targets.
Collins will be the primary receiver, of course, but Dell could still see balls thrown his way and that should be enough for him to go OVER both marks. As for Collins, he has had a reception of 28-plus yards in every game but one. Jacksonville has given up 52 pass plays of 20-plus yards and nine of 40-plus.
Take the OVER.
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- Top 10 Player Props For NFL Week 13
- Week 13 NFL Capsules
- NFL roundup: Lions end Thanksgiving skid, improve to 11-1
- New Orleans stars to perform at Super Bowl pregame
- Playoff-clinching scenarios for Bills, Chiefs and Lions
- NFL Thanksgiving, Black Friday Capsules
- LB Shaq Barrett files for reinstatement from retirement
- Rams WR Demarcus Robinson arrested on suspicion of DUI
- Ravens star MLB Roquan Smith (hamstring) out vs. Chargers
- Raiders confirm QB Gardner Minshew out for season, look to Aidan O'Connell
- Daniel Jones Next Team Odds: Contenders jockeying for QB?
- Chargers expect WR Ladd McConkey, LB Khalil Mack to play vs. Ravens
- Texans S Jalen Pitre (pectoral) expected out for weeks
- Jets not planning to shut down QB Aaron Rodgers
- Panthers TE Ja'Tavion Sanders rejoins team after injury scare
- Brian Daboll: Giants' effort there, QB Tommy DeVito expected to play Thursday
- Jets retain former GMs to lead coach, GM search
- Jags QB Trevor Lawrence (shoulder) returns to practice
- Week 12 MNF: Chargers-Ravens Preview, Props & Prediction
- Colts WR Josh Downs (shoulder) is week-to-week
- Fantasy Six Pack: IDP Start Sit Week 13 | Avoid Troy Andersen
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- Fantasy Life: Week 13 Fantasy Football Injury News: Brock Purdy, Breece Hall, and More
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- Fantasy Life: Dynasty Fantasy Football Stock Watch: George Pickens Continues To Rise
- Fantasy Life: Black Friday Dynasty Deals: Quentin Johnston, Jaylen Wright and More Values
- Fantasy Life: Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bets For Week 13: TD Time For Tony Pollard
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The Paur Report
Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 13
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- RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 13
- Lineup Prep: Week 13
- Waivering: Week 13
- Weekly Bender: Real Champions Don't Take the Holidays Off
- Studs and Duds: Week 12
- Bender's Favorite NFL DFS Pickem Picks: Week 12
- RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 12
- Week 13 Player Rankings
- Week 13 Inactives
Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor has had less than 60 yards rushing in three of his last four contests and bottomed out in the passing game last week, not having garnered even a single target. The 25-year-old will face the Patriots on Sunday, a defense that has been middle-of-the-pack against the run. While cold conditions at Gillette Stadium might warrant going to the ground game a bit more this week, the problem for Taylor is that quarterback Anthony Richardson has eaten into his workload, with the QB rushing 20 times over the last two games. Last week that meant that Taylor was left with just 11 rush attempts, although that was also partly due to the fact that the Colts were playing catch-up from the start. Richardson also scored twice on the ground two weeks ago, taking away potential touchdowns for the fifth-year back, which further diminishes Taylor's upside. As such, the former second-round draft pick projects as a borderline RB1/2 this week.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs running back Kareem Hunt had seven carries for 15 yards in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Hunt also had two catches for zero yards in the contest. The Chiefs were seconds away from their second loss of the season, but the Raiders fumbled their chance away on a bad snap. The veteran running back ceded work to Isiah Pacheco, who returned from injured reserve in Week 13. The two backs each received seven carries, but Pacheco was the more explosive of the pair. Hunt will try to retain some value next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs this season. It will be tough for Hunt to contend with the younger Pacheco, so fantasy managers should prepare for the split to start favoring the latter.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco had seven carries for 44 yards in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Pacheco also had one catch for five yards in this contest. The Raiders almost played spoiler in Pacheco's first game back, but they fumbled the game away in the final minute. The 25-year-old displayed his explosiveness with a 34-yard run, raising his yards per carry average to 6.3 in this game. Pacheco received the same number of carries as Kareem Hunt, making it a true 50/50 split in his return to action. That said, Pacheco is the younger and more explosive back, so the split should begin to lean more in his direction. Pacheco will look to be more involved next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank fifth in fantasy points allowed to opposing running backs this season. Fantasy managers should be encouraged by how good Pacheco looked in his first game back, but expect it to take a few games before he gets the lion's share of the carries out of the backfield.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 90 yards in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Hopkins also finished second on the team in targets with nine, behind only Travis Kelce. The Chiefs nearly lost this game, but the Raiders fumbled in the final minute to seal their fate. The veteran receiver had the longest reception for the Chiefs, hauling in a 34-yard reception in the final minute of the second quarter. Hopkins has been a reliable option for Mahomes to turn to since his arrival in Kansas City, despite dropping a pass on a crucial third down in this game. The 32-year-old will look to continue being effective next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank 13th in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers this season. Despite how often Patrick Mahomes chooses to spread the ball around, Hopkins should continue to be a valuable fantasy asset as the Chiefs WR1. Fantasy managers should continue to fit Hopkins into their starting lineups.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver caught five passes for 54 yards in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. The rookie receiver hauled in at least four catches for the third straight game. Patrick Mahomes continues to look for Worthy in the passing game as he finished third on the team in targets behind Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins. Worthy has put together serviceable performances lately but has not reached 20 PPR fantasy points since Week 1. The 21-year-old has game-breaking speed, but the Kansas City offense has not found a way to weaponize that attribute of his game consistently. Worthy will look to continue his steady involvement next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank 13th in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers this season. Fantasy managers should be encouraged by his solid role in the Chiefs offense but should not expect any high-ceiling performances from him.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Justin Watson caught one pass for six yards and a touchdown in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chiefs nearly let this game slip away, but the Raiders shot themselves in the foot with a last-minute fumble to lose the game. In this contest, Watson was targeted three times but only came down with one reception in the endzone. Watson will look to score again next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank 13th in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers this season. Despite scoring his first touchdown of the season in this week's matchup, Watson is not involved enough to warrant any fantasy consideration moving forward. Fantasy managers should leave him on the waiver wire.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes completed 26 of 46 passes (57%) for 306 yards and one touchdown in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Mahomes also rushed twice for four yards. Mahomes and the Chiefs appeared in line for their second loss of the season before a last-minute fumble cost the Raiders the game. The Chiefs quarterback passed for over 300 yards for the second time in 12 games this season. The Week 13 win also marked the sixth game with one of fewer passing touchdowns for Mahomes this year. That said, the veteran quarterback has been turnover-free in four of the last five games and has turned his best performances of the season recently. Mahomes will look to get back on track next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank 16th in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks this season. Mahomes has demonstrated he still has the potential for QB1 weeks, but it is becoming increasingly difficult to know when those will be. Fantasy managers will hope for a better showing from Mahomes in Week 14.
From RotoBaller
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce caught seven passes for 68 yards in the 19-17 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders handed the victory to the Chiefs with a last-minute fumble. Kelce remained the focal point of the Kansas City passing attack. The 35-year-old had the most catches on the team but averaged just 9.7 yards per catch. Kelce has failed to find the endzone in three straight games since scoring against the Denver Broncos in Week 10. The veteran tight end will look to score next week against the Los Angeles Chargers, who rank 12th in fantasy points allowed to opposing tight ends this season. Kelce has been usable as a TE1 but has yet to produce a signature ceiling performance in nearly a month. That said, Kelce has been producing better numbers than most tight ends and is a no-doubt TE1 every week.
From RotoBaller
Dynasty | Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle had 112 rushing yards, three catches, 11 receiving yards, and a touchdown in a Dallas win over the Giants on Thanksgiving. Dynasty Analysis: Dowdle had 22 running back carries in the game, compared to just one for Ezekiel Elliott. It was a career day for the 26-year old, who has been nearly begging to have a day where they committed to giving him the ball. It may be too little, too late for Dowdle, who is likely to be replaced as the lead back next season. However, Dallas may simply ride him the rest of the way, giving him some very nice in-season value moving forward. Dowdle is a solid hold until the season is over.
Dynasty | Bears quarterback Caleb Williams completed 20-of-39 passes for 256 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in a loss against the Lions. Dynasty Analysis: He co-led the Bears with 39 yards rushing as well. Williams was spotty at first, but made a bunch of plays in the second half to keep Chicago in it. Unfortunately, his inexperience (and terrible coaching) led the Bears to inexplicably let the clock run out in the fourth quarter before attempting a game-tying field goal. The team is a total mess, but Williams has looked like a player making some strides over the past few weeks. A new coaching staff could help or hurt, but Williams at least looks like he has NFL talent. We'll see if Chicago ruins it or helps him fulfill his potential.
Dynasty | Bears wide receiver DJ Moore had eight catches for 97 yards and a touchdown in a loss against Detroit on Thanksgiving day. Dynasty Analysis: Moore set a season high in catches (8) and targets (16) in this one as the Bears were forced to throw the ball more than they wanted. It's been a frustrating year for Moore, but Caleb Williams is starting to play better and utilize him much more of late. Moore's dynasty value was starting to slip, but his recent play has made it much more stable.
Dynasty | Raiders tight end Brock Bowers had ten catches for 140 yards and a touchdown in a loss against the Chiefs. Dynasty Analysis: Bowers is up to 884 yards on the season and looks like a lock to hit 100 catches and over 1,000 yards in his rookie season. While it's fair to wonder what his production will look like when the Raiders add more options in the receiving game, he looks like the bona fide TE1 moving forward in dynasty leagues and by the end of the season, it may not even be remotely close. At this point, he's untouchable in dynasty leagues.
Dynasty | Raiders running back Sincere McCormick had 64 rushing yards, two catches, and one receiving yard in a loss against the Chiefs. Dynasty Analysis: Wait. What!?! Yep, the second year running back has risen up the depth chart due to injuries and ineffectiveness to get meaningful time. While this is likely a situation where you have a one week wonder, McCormick has put himself in the dynasty radar at least for the moment and should be monitored moving forward. He actually looked pretty effective today and is certainly worth a waiver add this week.
Dynasty | Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco had 44 rushing yards, one catch, and five receiving yards in a win against the Raiders. Dynasty Analysis: Pacheco split time with Kareem Hunt (15 yards on nine touches), but clearly looked more effective. The time share will likely continue, but Pacheco will very likely turn this into a 60/40 or 70/30 situation sooner rather than later should he continue to outperform Hunt. In reality, neither player is worth starting until we see something more definitive, but this was a solid return for Pacheco.
The San Francisco 49ers defense/special teams unit has a rough assignment in a Week 13 matchup against the Bills in Buffalo. San Francisco's defense is banged up entering Orchard Park with a significant snowstorm expected to stop just after kickoff. Lining up across from the Niners D will be Josh Allen and the NFL's 3rd-highest-scoring offense. Ruled out for Sunday are edge Nick Bosa (hip/oblique), defensive tackle Jordan Elliott (concussion), and nickel corner Deommodore Lenoir (knee). Linebacker Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (knee) and rookie cornerback Renardo Green (neck) are questionable. Last week in Green Bay, the 49ers allowed 38 points to the Packers -- good for negative fantasy points in some leagues. They failed to secure any turnovers, got just two sacks, and are facing the distinct possibility of a repeat performance in Buffalo. San Francisco's reeling D/ST can be found all the way down at No. 24 in RotoBaller's Week 13 rankings.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots kicker Joey Slye is not a reliable fantasy option heading into Sunday's Week 13 game against the Indianapolis Colts. The veteran has gone 19-for-23 on field goals and 16-for-17 on extra points this season, missing a 45-yarder last weekend. He has now missed a field goal in three of his last four games, demonstrating a lack of dependability in the middle portion of the 2024 season. Beyond Slye's unappealing ranking as the overall K22 this year, he faces a middle-of-the-road matchup this week in the form of the Colts, who have surrendered the 14th-most fantasy points to opposing kickers. The 28-year-old can be left on waivers in all fantasy leagues with 14 teams or fewer.
From RotoBaller
Pittsburgh Steelers kicker Chris Boswell will be looking to bounce back against the Cincinnati Bengals after missing one of his three field goal attempts in the snow last week. It was a rare miss for Boswell, who has been excellent for fantasy and arguably the best kicker in the NFL this season. While Cincinnati hasn't given up much production to kickers, the Bengals tend to get into high-scoring battles with most of the teams they face. Until Pittsburgh's offense proves it can punch the ball into the end zone consistently, Boswell will continue to be called upon frequently. The 10th-year veteran is a must-start fantasy asset with plenty of upside on Sunday.
From RotoBaller
Pittsburgh Steelers tight end Pat Freiermuth showed signs of life for fantasy purposes last week and will look to stay involved in a Week 13 meeting with the Cincinnati Bengals. Cincinnati has given up plenty of production through the air this season and has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends. For what it's worth, Freiermuth has played quite well against the Bengals throughout his career and posted a career-high 120 receiving yards against them in Week 12 of the 2023 campaign. He is an intriguing fantasy streaming candidate in this matchup, but with no teams on bye this week, there are likely better options available for starting lineups.
From RotoBaller
Pittsburgh Steelers running back Jaylen Warren had his best showing of the season in Week 12 and will carry some positive momentum into Sunday's meeting with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals have been difficult to run on in 2024, allowing the 12th-fewest rushing yards to opposing backs. This contest is projected to be close and have a fair amount of points scored, however, so Warren should be utilized throughout as a weapon both on the ground and through the air. With Najee Harris still getting the bulk of the carries, Warren can't be confidently started as a top-24 option, but the 26-year-old offers some upside as a flex play this week.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots tight end Hunter Henry remains a reliable, top-12 fantasy option heading into Week 13 against the Indianapolis Colts. The veteran has been quite productive ever since Drake Maye took over as the Patriots' starting quarterback in Week 6, ranking as the overall TE10 in PPR leagues during that window. There's no indication that Henry will slow down soon, especially this Sunday against a Colts defense allowing the fourth-most yards, touchdowns, and fantasy points to opposing tight ends in 2024. The 29-year-old should be viewed as a mid-range fantasy TE1 this Sunday, and he also has a strong chance to score his first touchdown since Week 6 (and just his second touchdown of the season).
From RotoBaller
