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Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Diontae Johnson Oct 7 11:36am CT
Diontae Johnson

Dynasty | Panthers receiver Diontae Johnson had three catches for 23 yards, adding six rushing yards in a loss against Chicago. Dynasty Analysis: This was a major buzzkill after Johnson had posted two monster games with Andy Dalton at the helm. Chicago took control of the game rather early and made life miserable for Dalton and the offense most of the day. Johnson should be much better moving forward, but this could open up a quick window to buy in dynasty leagues if you believe he's truly turning the corner.

Caleb Williams Oct 7 11:35am CT
Caleb Williams

Dynasty | Bears rookie quarterback Caleb Williams completed 20-of-29 passes for 304 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions, adding 34 rushing yards in a win against Carolina. Dynasty Analysis: Here we go. After Jayden Daniels had really outshined Williams over the first month of the season, we finally saw what the Bears could have in Williams today. Sure, it was against Carolina. However, Williams was poised, controlled and accurate all day today. While we need to see him string together a few solid performances before anointing him as the next big thing, this was a huge step in the right direction today. Williams remains a solid hold in dynasty leagues.

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Oct 7 11:35am CT
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

ynasty | Giants running back Tyrone Tracy had 129 rushing yards, one catch and one receiving yard in a win against Seattle. Dynasty Analysis: With Devin Singletary inactive, Tracy stepped up in a huge way. After posting just 29 rushing yards over the first month, Tracy finally showed what dynasty managers hoped to see after a solid off-season - a player who simply looks like a possible starter in fantasy and reality. While Singletary's job isn't in jeopardy, this performance is likely going to create a bit of a timeshare in New York moving forward. The chance to acquire Tracy on the cheap in dynasty leagues is now long gone.

Tucker Kraft Oct 7 11:35am CT
Tucker Kraft

Dynasty | Packers tight end Tucker Kraft had four catches for 88 yards and two touchdowns in a win against the Rams. Dynasty Analysis: Jordan Love is beginning to develop a reputation of spreading the ball around and Kraft was the beneficiary today as he made the most of his five targets. While this was by far his best game of the season, it also can't be ignored as it seems he's becoming a bigger part of the offense each and every week. He'll be a TE1/2 moving forward, though his floor remains pretty low.

Jake Ferguson Oct 7 10:30am CT
Jake Ferguson

Dallas Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson strung together another solid fantasy day on Sunday night in the win over Pittsburgh. The third-year tight end corralled six of seven targets for 70 yards serving as quarterback Dak Prescott's security blanket. Both Brevyn Spann-Ford (three targets) and Luke Schoonmaker (two targets) mixed into the offense, but Ferguson's usage remained strong. The 25-year-old has not scored a touchdown yet this season but remains a no-brainer start at a shallow tight end position. He should be played in all lineups as a TE1 heading into next week's matchup with the Detroit Lions.

From RotoBaller

Jabrill Peppers Oct 7 10:23am CT
Jabrill Peppers

New England Patriots S Jabrill Peppers was arrested Saturday, Oct. 5, on assault and cocaine possession charges. Peppers will be charged with assault and battery; assault and battery with a dangerous weapon; strangulation; and possession of a Class 'B' substance believed to be cocaine, police said.

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CeeDee Lamb Oct 7 10:20am CT
CeeDee Lamb

Dallas Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb only touched the ball six times in Sunday night's 20-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Lamb was targeted nine times, accounting for 22% of the team's targets, but only hauled in five receptions for 62 yards. He also rushed once for a two-yard gain. Without a touchdown, it was a disappointing fantasy outing for Lamb. The Cowboys' star receiver will look to bounce back next week against a pass-funnel Detroit defense. He now ranks ninth in the league in receiving yards (378) through the first five weeks of the season.

From RotoBaller

KaVontae Turpin Oct 7 10:20am CT
KaVontae Turpin

Dallas Cowboys receiver/return specialist KaVontae Turpin was involved in the offensive game plan in the Sunday night win over Pittsburgh. Turpin was targeted five times, catching four passes for 50 yards. He also rushed once for a six-yard loss. The 28-year-old is not on the fantasy radar at this time even with Brandin Cooks (knee) currently on the shelf. With Jalen Tolbert's breakout Sunday night game, Turpin is no higher than the fourth option in Dallas' passing attack even without Cooks in the lineup. His offensive usage is encouraging as an added dimension to Dallas' offense, but he has not seen consistent enough week-to-week work to be considered a fantasy option.

From RotoBaller

Rico Dowdle Oct 7 10:10am CT
Rico Dowdle

Dallas Cowboys running back Rico Dowdle carried the load on the ground on Sunday night in the last-minute 20-17 win over Pittsburgh. Dowdle rushed 20 times for 87 yards while also securing both targets for 27 yards and a touchdown. The 26-year-old has emerged as the lead running back in Dallas over the past two weeks and is now safely in the RB2 discussion solely based on workload. Dowdle should be rostered in all leagues going forward and is an RB2/Flex play weekly depending on the matchup. Next week could be a setback against a stout Detroit run defense, but Dowdle appears to have taken the backfield over from Ezekiel Elliott.

From RotoBaller

Ezekiel Elliott Oct 7 10:10am CT
Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott continued to see his workload decline on Sunday night. The veteran rushed just six times for 17 yards as opposed to Rico Dowdle's 22 touches. Elliott has been phased out of the running game over the past two weeks and is now firmly off of the fantasy radar. The 29-year-old is valuable in pass protection, but cannot be counted on in fantasy due to his lack of volume. He does not need to be rostered in most formats, as he would only be startable should Dowdle miss time. Feel free to cut ties prior to a tough Week 6 matchup with the Detroit Lions.

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Jalen Tolbert Oct 7 10:10am CT
Jalen Tolbert

Dallas Cowboys third-year receiver Jalen Tolbert had the best game of his young career on Sunday night in the win over Pittsburgh. Tolbert led the team in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. He caught seven of 10 targets for 87 yards and a touchdown. The 25-year-old's touchdown came at the most opportune time, as he hauled in a four-yard touchdown pass from quarterback Dak Prescott with just 20 seconds remaining on the clock to take a 20-17 lead. Playing in a full-time role with Brandin Cooks (knee) sidelined, Tolbert showed that he is capable of high-end production as Dallas' number two receiver. He should be rostered as a depth option in most formats heading into Week 6's matchup with the Detroit Lions.

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Dak Prescott Oct 7 10:00am CT
Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott overcame an up-and-down game by marching down the field on a 15-play, 70-yard drive in 4:36 to topple the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-17 on Sunday night. Prescott found wide receiver Jalen Tolbert in the end zone from four yards out, connecting with just twenty seconds on the clock to win the game. The veteran quarterback completed 29-of-42 passes for 352 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also scrambled once for a gain of three yards. Despite the tough matchup and the stormy weather conditions, Prescott had a solid fantasy day. He will remain in QB1 territory heading into next week's matchup with the Detroit Lions.

From RotoBaller

Lil'Jordan Humphrey Oct 7 9:40am CT
Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Denver Broncos wide receiver Lil'Jordan Humphrey got involved in Week 5 in the 34-18 blowout win over the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday. Humphrey was only targeted twice by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, but he made the most of his limited opportunities by catching both of his targets for 48 yards, which led all Denver receivers on the day. The yardage was just two yards shy of his season-high back in Week 2 in the loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers, when he caught four of five targets for 50 yards. Humphrey has 12 receptions for 135 yards and no touchdowns on 17 targets through five games in his second year with the Broncos and remains well off the fantasy radar in most leagues. He will continue to fight for limited targets with Josh Reynolds, rookie Troy Franklin and Marvin Mims Jr. in what has mostly been an inconsistent offense in Denver.

From RotoBaller

Wil Lutz Oct 7 9:40am CT
Wil Lutz

Denver Broncos kicker Wil Lutz delivered for fantasy managers that streamed him in the 34-18 Week 5 win over the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday. The Broncos offense finally came alive against a struggling Raiders defense, allowing Lutz plenty of opportunities to kick for points. He ended up making both of his field goals (long of 51) and he also converted all four of his extra-point opportunities. Lutz would have had his second missed field goal of the year, if not for a Raiders penalty allowed him to try again with time expiring in the first half as the Broncos took a 13-10 lead and never looked back. It was a nice bounce-back performance after he missed his first field goal of the year in the 10-9 win over the Jets in Week 4. The 30-year-old now ranks as the No. 6 fantasy kicker in overall points, although he'll have more volatility as a streamer in Week 6 against a Chargers defense that has allowed the fewest points per game (12.5) in the league.

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Josh Reynolds Oct 7 9:30am CT
Josh Reynolds

For the second straight week, Denver Broncos wide receiver Josh Reynolds saw just two targets from rookie quarterback Bo Nix in the 38-14 blowout win over the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday. Reynolds caught one of those two targets for a nine-yard touchdown reception, his first score of the 2024 season. The 29-year-old pass-catcher entered the Week 4 upset win over the New York Jets leading the team in receiving yards, but he's caught just one pass on four targets for the nine-yard touchdown the last two games. It was especially disappointing that he didn't do much as the team scored a season-high 34 points. Courtland Sutton will continue to be the unquestioned top target for Nix, and Denver's offense to this point hasn't been explosive enough to sustain more than one wideout for fantasy purposes. Reynolds belongs on the waiver wire in most fantasy leagues heading into Week 6 against the Chargers.

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Colby Parkinson Oct 7 9:10am CT
Colby Parkinson

Los Angeles Rams tight end Colby Parkinson was heavily involved in the passing game throughout the 24-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers. The former Seattle Seahawk saw more targets in this game than his first two seasons combined and he's already two targets shy of tying his career-high in a single season. Parkinson registered 52 yards and seven receptions on 13 targets against the Packers but couldn't find the end zone. His yardage totals haven't been eye-popping, but he's seen five or more targets in four of the team's five games. The Rams head into their bye week next with a game against the Las Vegas Raiders on deck for Week 7.

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Drake Maye Oct 7 9:10am CT
Drake Maye

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has yet to make his first NFL start, but that could change in Week 6 according to Adam Schefter. Head coach Jerod Mayo had a noticeable tone change when it came to answering questions about the team's quarterback situation, and another game where the offense was barely able to move the ball could set the change in motion faster than previously expected. The Patriots are dead last in passing yards per game, passing touchdowns, and completion percentage while coming in at third-to-last in passer rating. While they sit at 1-4 in the middle of a four-game losing streak, Maye could finally get his first start against the Houston Texans in Week 6.

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Demarcus Robinson Oct 7 9:00am CT
Demarcus Robinson

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Demarcus Robinson was the lone pass-catcher to find the end zone in the 24-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers on Sunday. He finished the game with three receptions for 28 yards and a score on five targets. In terms of target share, Robinson was fourth in line after Colby Parkinson, Jordan Whittington, and Tutu Atwell all saw double-digit targets. Robinson at least salvaged a bit of fantasy scoring with his touchdown for any of the fantasy managers who needed his services. The Rams move into their bye week next, which may be enough time for Cooper Kupp (ankle) to return in Week 7, which would lower Robinson's fantasy ceiling.

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Jordan Whittington Oct 7 8:50am CT
Jordan Whittington

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Jordan Whittington (shoulder) was very busy on Sunday during the team's 24-19 loss to the Green Bay Packers. The rookie wideout received 10 targets and turned it into seven receptions for 89 yards which was enough to be the top receiver on the team. He was also the only one to average double-digit yards per reception in this contest. Unfortunately, Whittington was seen in a sling when he left the locker room after the game and it looks to be a shoulder injury. There hasn't been any news about it just yet, but the team moves into a bye week, so he'll likely receive some tests and get some rest as the week moves on.

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Matthew Stafford Oct 7 8:30am CT
Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford came up short in a comeback attempt against the Green Bay Packers on Sunday as they dropped to 1-4 on the season. The former Detroit Lion posted 260 yards, one touchdown, and one interception on 29-for-45 throwing. He was sacked three times in this game but made the best of his situation with so many injuries decimating the receiving corps. While Cooper Kupp (ankle) and Puka Nacua (knee) remain sidelined, Stafford's ceiling has quite a low cap on it. Fortunately, they head into their bye week in Week 6 to allow some rest ahead of Week 7.

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