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FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Jordan Mason Jul 30 2:10pm CT
Jordan Mason

With Christian McCaffrey receiving a training-camp rest day on Monday, Jordan Mason was the San Francisco 49ers' first running back on the field for the start of team drills. Mason, the 49ers' No. 3 back the past two seasons, carried the ball on the first snap. Elijah Mitchell, the No. 2 back sinceMcCaffrey arrived in 2022, had a carry on the second snap. Head coach Kyle Shanahan also shared praise of Mason's development after the session. After Mitchell served as McCaffrey's unquestioned backup, Mason at least is making the situation murkier.San Fran's backfield pecking order behind McCaffrey will certainly be something for fantasy managers to monitor leading into the Aug. 10 preseason opener against the hosting Tennessee Titans. Until then, Mitchell should be treated as CMC's preferred handcuff at the end of fantasy drafts with rookie Isaac Guerendo (hamstring) sidelined.

From RotoBaller

Tyler Allgeier Jul 30 2:00pm CT
Tyler Allgeier

New Atlanta Falcons offensive coordinator Zac Robinson says that running back Tyler Allgeier is "certainly going to have a big role."Robinson also says there will be certain points this year where the Falcons will lean on him. Despite the selection of star tailback Bijan Robinson in the first round of last year's NFL draft, Allgeier sustained a prominent role on the ground with 186 rushing attempts in 17 games last season. The 24-year-old former fifth-round pick out of BYU should remain a decent bet for double-digit carries on a weekly basis this season, but he'll be awfully dependent on touchdowns without much usage in the passing game. Atlanta's offense also figures to be more modernized with quarterback Kirk Cousins at the helm in 2024, so Allgeier is better suited as a handcuff for Robinson's fantasy managers than as an RB3/flex starter to begin the season.

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Joe Mixon Jul 30 1:50pm CT
Joe Mixon

Houston Texans Pro Bowl running back Joe Mixon (hamstring) didn't practice on Monday. Mixon won't play in the Hall of Fame game on Thursday against the Chicago Bears in Canton, with backup Dameon Pierce and rookie Jawhar Jordan being expected to play extensively. It's too early on the calendar to have any real concern about Mixon's hamstring injury, but soft-tissue issues always have a change to linger, and fantasy managers as well as the Texans are hoping to see him back on the field soon. While the 28-year-old is not as explosive as he once was, he's looking at a massive workload in Houston's upstart offense after taking 257 carries and catching 57 passes in 17 games with the Cincinnati Bengals as their workhorse in 2023. Mixon is a solid RB2 bet in the middle rounds of drafts this summer as a likely three-down player during his first year with his new team.

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Chris Olave Jul 30 1:40pm CT
Chris Olave

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Chris Olave (hip) left Tuesday's practice early after landing on his hip, head coach Dennis Allen said. Allen had no further updates when addressing the media shortly after the session had ended. Fantasy managers should deem Olave day-to-day until more information is available, but there's a chance his exit was a precautionary measure at this stage of the season. Although the 24-year-old star wideout struggled for efficiency last season with the Saints and quarterback Derek Carr, as evidenced by his unimpressive 8.1 yards per target over 138 targets, his 32 deep targets in 16 games and role as New Orleans' undisputed top target gives him a strong floor and ceiling combination in the early rounds of drafts this summer. Olive's ADP as a WR1 option should not be adjusted for this situation.

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Caleb Williams Jul 30 1:30pm CT
Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears head coach Matt Eberflus says quarterback Caleb Williams and the rest of the starters will not play in the Hall of Fame Game against the Houston Texans in Canton on Thursday. No surprise here, as the Texans are expected to hold out starting signal-caller C.J. Stroud on their end as well. Fantasy managers should be able to get a look at Williams the next time the new-look Bears offense takes the field for game action on Aug. 10 against the hosting Buffalo Bills. Sporting as good a supporting cast as a No. 1 overall pick in his first NFL season could ask for, the 22-year-old Williams should be able to make an impact in Year 1 with all the weapons surrounding him in the Windy City. He's being drafted on the QB1/2 borderline this summer following a stellar run at USC, and Williams could turn out to be a value at his late-round ADP if acclimates to the next level quickly.

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C.J. Stroud Jul 30 1:30pm CT
C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud (foot) practiced fully Monday after getting his foot stepped on Saturday by veteran defensive tackle Folorunso Fatukasi and having Sunday off. Stroud didn't miss any snaps on Saturday or Monday. Head coach DeMeco Ryans hasn't indicated specifically who will play in the Hall of Fame game on Thursday night against the Chicago Bears in Canton, but he is expected to not play several key starters and older veterans. That should include Stroud and other experienced players. The 22-year-old former No. 2 overall is garnering plenty of hype in his second season in the pros, finishing seventh among signal-callers in fantasy points per game (18.7) as a rookie last year. Stroud should be able to put up prolific passing numbers with Houston's loaded receiving corps at his disposal, but his lack of rushing ability could prevent him from jumping into the top tier.

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Will Shipley Jul 30 1:00pm CT
Will Shipley

Philadelphia Eagles rookie running back Will Shipley was getting some first-team red-zone work in training camp practice on Tuesday. For some context, Shipley also split first-team work with Kenneth Gainwell on Monday with primary back Saquon Barkley away from the team for personal reasons. Shipley, a fourth-rounder out of Clemson, is competing with Gainwell for the No. 2 job in Philly in 2024 in camp and the preseason. Gainwell obviously has much more experience than Shipley and familiarity in the Eagles' offense, but the 21-year-old Shipley has more immediate and long-term upside in deeper fantasy formats as a handcuff option for Barkley if he wins the No. 2 job. If Barkley were to miss time due to injury in his first year with the Eagles, Shipley would be a highly sought-after waiver-wire pickup in fantasy.

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Riley Patterson Jul 30 12:50pm CT
Riley Patterson

The Jacksonville Jaguars waived kicker Riley Patterson on Monday, according to the team. Patterson was cut after losing the kicking competition to rookie sixth-rounder Cam Little early in training camp this summer. The 24-year-old will now look for other opportunities around the league heading into the 2024 regular season this fall. Patterson, a former undrafted rookie out of Memphis, spent last year with the Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions. In 15 games, he went 16-for-18 on his field-goal chances while missing three of his 44 extra-point tries. For his career after debuting in 2021 with the Lions, Patterson has made 88.1% of his field goals and 95.9% of his extra points in 39 games played. The Jags offense could be quite formidable in 2024, but fantasy managers can ignore the unproven Little in standard 12-team leagues.

From RotoBaller

Royce Freeman Jul 30 12:40pm CT
Royce Freeman

Dallas Cowboys executive vice president Stephen Jones said on 105.3 The Fan that veteran running back Royce Freeman has "really impressed" early on in training camp. The Cowboys were surprised Freeman was available when they signed him to a one-year deal in April. It's a testament to Freeman so far this summer, but it probably speaks more so to how bad Dallas' backfield depth is after Tony Pollard left in free agency this summer. The 28-year-old is currently expected to complement veteran Ezekiel Elliott, with Rico Dowdle and Malik Davis battling it out for RB3 duties to begin the year. Freeman is a poor man's Elliott -- a bulky between-the-tackles runner -- and he's unlikely to see much volume in Dallas in 2024 unless injuries decimate an already thin backfield. A lot can happen between now and Week 1 with Dallas' RB situation. Freeman is likely to be left to the waiver wire to begin the year in most fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Dylan Laube Jul 30 12:30pm CT
Dylan Laube

Las Vegas Raiders rookie running back Dylan Laube is making an early case for playing time in training camp this summer. "I hope so. He is off to a great start," offensive coordinator Luke Getsy said. "He has a great feel for it, and he doesn't have the errors as far as what his responsibilities are. That's really cool to see from such a young guy." Laube was selected in the sixth round in April out of New Hampshire and has a long ways to go before he's a realistic option in the Raiders backfield in his first NFL season. As of right now, the 24-year-old is behind Zamir White, Alexander Mattison and Ameer Abdullah, so it would likely take an injury or two to the RBs ahead of him for him to become a realistic waiver-wire pickup in standard fantasy leagues in 2024. However, the 5-foot-10, 208-pounder is one to keep an eye on for the rest of camp and the preseason.

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Roman Wilson Jul 30 12:30pm CT
Roman Wilson

Pittsburgh Steelers rookie wide receiver Roman Wilson (ankle) has an ankle injury at training camp, according to head coach Mike Tomlin. Wilson is being evaluated to determine the severity and length of the time he'll need to miss. The 23-year-old third-rounder injured himself in practice on Tuesday, a day after a report surfaced that he was impressing early in training camp. Depending on how long Wilson will be out, it could be a setback that puts him behind the eight ball heading into his first NFL season as he attempts to stand out in a receiving corps with not many established options behind WR1 George Pickens. Wilson's injury will allow fellow wideouts Calvin Austin III, Van Jefferson and Quez Watkins more of an opportunity to impress the coaching staff as Pittsburgh's receiver depth chart sorts itself out.

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MarShawn Lloyd Jul 30 12:20pm CT
MarShawn Lloyd

Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that rookie running back MarShawn Lloyd (hip) will make his training camp debut and return to practice on Tuesday. Lloyd has been out with a minor hip injury and will only do individual drills on Tuesday as he ramps up. The third-rounder out of USC is missing valuable reps in camp right now, but it looks like the 23-year-old should be able to return sooner than later with the rest of the team. Heading into his first NFL season, Lloyd will clearly be behind lead back Josh Jacobs, and he could also be behind AJ Dillon, who looks determined to put his disappointing 2023 season in the rearview mirror. However, Lloyd's explosiveness is intriguing, and he'll have an opportunity to become the team's No. 2 before season's end. In deeper redraft leagues, Lloyd might be worth a late-round flier, especially if you go with Jacobs early on.

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Aaron Rodgers Jul 30 12:10pm CT
Aaron Rodgers

New York Jets head coach Robert Saleh said that quarterback Aaron Rodgers (Achilles), who is recovering from his Achilles injury, is unlikely to play this preseason. Even if Rodgers hadn't suffered a torn Achilles last year, he would have been unlikely to see much action, if any at all, in the preseason. The 40-year-old future Hall of Famer tore his Achilles early in Week 1 of last year's regular season opener and missed all of the 2024 campaign, although he was practicing with the team late in the year and is on track to be 100% for the season opener this fall. Fantasy managers should be very skeptical that the four-time MVP can recapture his pre-injury form, even if the Jets have some high-end weapons around him on offense. Treat Rodgers as a low-end QB2 in fantasy with upside for more if he stays healthy for the entire 2024 season.

From RotoBaller

Jeffery Simmons Jul 30 12:10pm CT
Jeffery Simmons

Tennessee Titans edge rusher Arden Key is facing a six-game suspension to begin the 2024 season for violating the rules against performance-enhancing drugs. It will be a big blow for the Titans defense to begin the year, as Key was in line to be the team's second starting edge rusher, working opposite Harold Landry, with Jeffery Simmons and T'Vondre Sweat in between them. Key will be allowed to continue practicing with the team in training camp. Options behind Landry and Key as pass-rushers for Tennessee include Shane Ray, Rashad Weaver, Caleb Murphy, Thomas Rush and undrafted rookie Khalid Duke. Key has recorded 20 sacks in his six NFL seasons with the Las Vegas Raiders, San Francisco 49ers, Jacksonville Jaguars and Titans.

From RotoBaller

Alvin Kamara Jul 30 10:30am CT
Alvin Kamara

Coach Dennis Allen announced that New Orleans Saints defensive end Chase Young (neck) was cleared for "full participation" on July 22. Allen noted that Young would continue to increase his daily activity and has complied with all the training staff's requirements. Young signed a one-year, fully guaranteed $13 million contract with the Saints this offseason. New Orleans aims to make Young a key component of their pass rush after he tied his career-high with 7.5 sacks last season, alongside 25 tackles and 41 pressures with Washington and San Francisco. The Saints finished the 2023 season ranked 28th with just 34 sacks, their lowest total since 2016. Young hopes to strengthen the New Orleans defense, potentially creating more fantasy opportunities for star offensive players like Chris Olave and Alvin Kamara.

From RotoBaller

Rashaad Penny Jul 30 10:30am CT
Rashaad Penny

The Carolina Panthers have placed running back Rashaad Penny on the reserve/retired list. Penny, who joined the Panthers this offseason, was set to reunite with head coach Dave Canales, the passing game coordinator during Penny's standout 2021 season with the Seattle Seahawks, and Brad Idzik, now the Panthers' offensive coordinator. Unfortunately, a series of injuriesincluding multiple strains, a torn ACL, and a fibula fracturehave hindered Penny's once-explosive performance. Despite rigorous rehab, he struggled to regain the speed that made him a dynamic force in college. Penny's 5.6 yards per carry would be the highest in NFL history if he had sustained it. He also recorded 2,248 rushing yards at San Diego State in 2017, ranking fifth for a single season in NCAA history. The former first-round pick had stints with the Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles before signing with the Panthers in May. Penny retires with 1,931 career rushing yards, 13 touchdowns on 348 carries, and 28 receptions for 227 yards.

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Terrace Marshall Jr. Jul 30 10:20am CT
Terrace Marshall Jr.

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Terrace Marshall Jr. has been making a strong impression this year at training camp. Despite high expectations as a second-round pick out of LSU in 2023, Marshall has yet to fully realize his potential in the NFL. At LSU, he excelled with 106 receptions, 1,594 yards, and 23 touchdowns over 32 games. He is beginning to showcase the level of play he demonstrated in college, regularly providing highlights with his catches in training camp. However, Marshall faces stiff competition for playing time with the Panthers, having traded for Diontae Johnson, drafted Xavier Legette (32nd overall), and retained their leading receiver from 2023, Adam Thielen. Although Marshall's fantasy value remains uncertaingiven his modest 767 yards and one touchdown over his first three NFL seasonshe could still vie for the third wide receiver spot alongside Legette and Jonathan Mingo.

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Roman Wilson Jul 30 9:30am CT
Roman Wilson

Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Roman Wilson, who struggled during OTAs and minicamp, is now beginning to showcase the skills that led to his third-round draft selection. The rookie from Michigan received his opportunity on Saturday when the Steelers' first-team offense took the field, with Wilson stepping into the slot receiver role. He had a standout day, making several impressive catches from quarterbacks Justin Fields and Kyle Allen. Wilson is now firmly in the mix for the second wide receiver spot behind George Pickens, competing against Calvin Austin III and Van Jefferson. If he can secure the No. 2 role, Wilson could emerge as a sleeper with significant upside, given the Steelers' track record of drafting and developing wide receivers.

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Ty Johnson Jul 30 9:30am CT
Ty Johnson

Buffalo Bills running back Ty Johnson (undisclosed) suffered a noticeable injury after a significant hit from linebacker Terrel Bernard during a running play to the left side on Monday at training camp. Johnson, drafted by the Detroit Lions in the sixth round of 2019, has moved around the league before finding a place with the Bills in 2023. When starter James Cook missed practice on Sunday for personal reasons, Johnson and rookie Ray Davis split first-team reps almost evenly. This injury comes at a challenging time for Johnson, as he and Davis vie for the second spot on the depth chart, potentially giving Davis more opportunities. However, both backs may see playing time as they have distinct roles, with Davis being a power runner and Johnson being known for his speed and receiving skills. With Cook expected to handle most of the running back touches, Johnson's value is likely limited to a handcuff in fantasy at best.

From RotoBaller

Chase Claypool Jul 30 9:30am CT
Chase Claypool

Buffalo Bills wide receiver Chase Claypool (toe) is dealing with a toe injury, which Coach Sean McDermott described as a day-to-day issue. The Bills signed Claypool to a one-year deal in the offseason after underwhelming performances with the Dolphins and Bears in recent years. Although Claypool suffered the toe injury on Sunday, he is expected to make a swift recovery. Once he returns to practice, he will compete for a roster spot in the retooled Bills wide receiver group, which features Khalil Shakir, Curtis Samuel, Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Mack Hollins, and rookie Keon Coleman. Claypool currently holds little fantasy value unless he secures a spot in the starting rotation for Buffalo.

From RotoBaller