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FFL: Preseason | NFL: Week 1

Draft Day Winners and Losers

Mon Apr 29 11:53am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

White should be lead back


The draft is always so exciting, seeing where all the players get picked. But after the draft, the big issue is figuring out what it all means for their fantasy value. We thought it would be a good idea to look at some of the biggest fantasy winners and losers from draft day. These are some of the players that were picked but also some of the guys that were already on rosters, seeing their fantasy value get impacted from the draft. Adjust your rankings accordingly!

WINNERS

Bryce Young, QB, Panthers. The Panthers did a great job of getting Young some much needed offensive help. The team took a receiver, running back and tight end in three of the first four rounds of the draft. Carolina already added Diontae Johnson this offseason, so the receiver corps should be much better after getting Xavier Legette in the first round. The receivers got very little separation last year, so it was hard to gauge Young. He needed help and got some this offseason. Carolina also took a possible franchise running back in Jonathon Brooks and hopefully a solid starting tight end in Ja’Tavion Sanders. Things are looking up for Young and this offense.

Xavier Worthy, WR, Chiefs. Worthy could not have landed in a much better spot. He heads to one of the best offenses in football that has some openings at receiver, especially with the status of Rashee Rice a bit up in the air. Worthy has electric speed and the Chiefs should find plenty of ways to utilize that. He could be the new Tyreek Hill for this offense. Look for Worthy to make an impact right away.

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys. Maybe one of the biggest surprises of the draft was the Cowboys not addressing their running back spot. Instead, the team signed Elliott after the draft. He is likely to be the starter in this top offense. He might not rack up the yards of past seasons, but has big touchdown potential in this offense. Elliott seems a pretty sure bet to get double-digit touchdowns. He could be a solid No. 2 for fantasy teams.

Jonathon Brooks, RB, Panthers. Brooks is returning from a major knee injury and could be slowed a little early in the season, but once he is back healthy look for him to the three-down back for the Panthers. He lands in a great spot for playing time, having little top talent to compete with for playing time. Brooks could really get the volume in this offense. He is our top rookie fantasy back.

Zamir White, RB, Raiders. Many thought the Raiders were another team that could address their running back spot during the draft, but that didn’t happen. They used a sixth-round pick on Dylan Laube, but he is not expected to challenge White for that starter’s job. It sure seems the Raiders are comfortable with White as their lead back. He has a chance to get a lot of touches in year two. His stock is going up.

Ladd McConkey, WR, Chargers. The Chargers need help at receiver and McConkey helps fill that need. It would not surprise if he quickly became Justin Herbert’s favorite target in the passing game. We really like his chances to rack up the weekly looks in this offense. Someone has to fill the Keenan Allen void and McConkey seems the best bet out of the options at receiver for the Chargers.

Keon Coleman, WR, Bills. Coleman is another rookie receiver that lands in a great spot for playing time. The departure of Stefon Diggs leaves a big opening for the Bills. Coleman could help fill that void. He has great size for the position and could be a top red-zone threat from day one for Buffalo. Coleman should get his chances from the get go, giving him a high ceiling for the coming year.

LOSERS

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins. Mostert had a monster season last year and helped many fantasy teams to championships. He is going to have a very hard time repeating, especially after the Dolphins picked Jaylen Wright in the fourth round. Wright is a speed back similar to Mostert but a lot younger with less wear on his tires. Remember, Mostert is 32 years old. He might end up falling to third on the depth chart after the addition of Wright.

Rome Odunze, WR, Bears. Odunze is a super talented player that could be a star in the NFL. But for his year, you have to worry about him being up and down. He has two really good receivers ahead of him on the depth chart in DJ Moore and Keenan Allen. This is going to limit the ceiling of Odunze. He will be a much better fantasy player in a few more seasons. For now, expect erratic production from the talented rookie.

Kyren Williams, RB, Rams. Williams remains the lead back for the Rams and is coming off a breakout season. But the Rams picked Blake Corum in the third round. He is going to be a factor in the offense. He might get put a huge dent in Williams’ workload but the big concern is the goal-line work. Corum is more of a between the tackles runner that does well on short-yardage work. He could end up stealing some touchdowns from Williams, hurting his fantasy value.

Michael Mayer, TE, Raiders. Mayer was a second-round pick for the Raiders last year and showed well at times his rookie season. The Raiders couldn’t pass on the talented Brock Browers in this year’s draft, though. This move absolutely kills the fantasy value of Mayer. He is going to play second fiddle to Browers, getting few weekly looks. Browers is the clear tight end to own in this offense.

Ricky Pearsall, WR, 49ers. Pearsall is a talented pass catcher that can get in and out of his breaks in a hurry. He is a really good fit for the slot and could fill that role for the 49ers his rookie season. The problem is he has some of the top talent in all of football to compete with for targets. He could really be up and down his rookie season. He will look better in a year or two when he has a more defined role and less to compete with at receiver. His rookie season could be a tough one to gauge for fantasy owners.

Malik Nabers, WR, Giants. Many considered Nabers the top receiver in this year’s draft. He is super talented with a high fantasy ceiling. The problem for Nabers is he got drafted by the Giants, a team that really struggled offensively last year. Plus, he has Daniel Jones throwing him passes. This is not a great landing spot for the talented Nabers. Jones needs to make some big strides this season if Nabers hopes to reach his potential. We aren’t sure that happens.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Lamar Jackson Jul 21 12:50pm CT
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Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson (illness) was sent home from training camp practice on Sunday with an illness. Jackson should return to practice at some point next week and will be a top-five fantasy QB in 2024 after winning his second NFL MVP award in 2023. The biggest storyline of the offseason for the 27-year-old dual-threat signal-caller is that he dropped weight in order to be more agile in 2024, as if he wasn't agile enough already. The biggest question for fantasy managers is whether his drop in weight will make him more injury-prone. New running back Derrick Henry could steal plenty of goal-line opportunities away from Jackson, but he should still maintain high-end fantasy upside heading into his seventh season in the NFL.

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Emmanuel Ogbah Jul 21 12:30pm CT
Emmanuel Ogbah

The Miami Dolphins will host free-agent edge rusher Emmanuel Ogbah for a workout on Monday, according to a source. Ogbah could fill a much-needed pass-rush void for the Dolphins after Shaq Barrett announced his retirement on Saturday. The 30-year-old veteran was productive in a limited role last year in Miami and produced 5.5 sacks on just 25 percent of the defensive snaps, and he could be more productive if he re-signs under new defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver. In addition to his 5.5 sacks last year, the former second-round selection (32nd overall) by the Cleveland Browns in 2016 out of Oklahoma State had 20 tackles (seven solo), nine QB hits, an interception and a forced fumble in 15 games (one start). The Dolphins cut Ogbah back in February in a move to save salary cap space.

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Avonte Maddox Jul 21 12:20pm CT
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The Philadelphia Eagles placed safety Sydney Brown (knee) on the Physically Unable to Perform list on Sunday, according to a source. It means that Brown won't be able to practice with the rest of the team for the start of training camp this summer. It's not a surprise after Brown tore his ACL in the regular-season finale last year against the New York Giants. He was a core special-teamer in his rookie campaign in 2023 and only played 335 snaps on defense despite the team having a thin secondary. In addition to his knee injury, Brown missed three games due to a hamstring injury. When he saw extended action later in the year, he was typically out of position at slot corner, filling in for Avonte Maddox and Bradley Roby. Despite tearing his ACL late last year, there's a chance the 24-year-old could be ready for the start of the regular season in Week 1 this fall.

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Cam Akers Jul 21 12:10pm CT
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The Houston Texans worked out veteran free-agent running back Cam Akers (Achilles) on Sunday, according to a source. The former second-round pick by the Los Angeles Rams has also drawn interest from the Minnesota Vikings, where he played in 2023 after a trade and suffering another torn Achilles. Akers played in six games last year in Minnesota and rushed for 138 yards and one touchdown, adding 11 catches for 70 yards. Houston also worked out RBs Deon Jackson and Miyan Williams earlier this week as they look for additional backfield depth behind Joe Mixon, Devin Singletary and Dare Ogunbowale, among others. The 25-year-old is going to need to prove he's fully healthy to get a shot as a depth option in the Texans' backfield, and he can be ignored heading into 2024 fantasy drafts.

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Justin Reid Jul 21 12:10pm CT
Justin Reid

The Kansas City Chiefs placed safety Justin Reid (quadriceps) on the Non-Football Injury list for the start of training camp. Head coach Andy Reid said that Reid is "day-to-day." It's not ideal that Reid won't be able to practice with the rest of the team for the start of practices this summer, but it sounds like he'll be able to come off the NFI list sooner than later. The 27-year-old defensive back should be ready for the start of the 2024 regular season as the Chiefs look to become the first team in NFL history to win three straight Super Bowls. The former third-round pick (68th overall) of the Houston Texans in 2018 out of Stanford is entering his third year in KC after posting career-highs in total tackles (95) and sacks (three) while picking off one pass and breaking up seven passes in 16 regular-season games in 2023. He should once again be relevant in IPD fantasy leagues as a key piece of KC's secondary.

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Chris Olave Jul 21 11:13am CT
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Dynasty | The Saints have signed wide receiver Rashid Shaheed to a contract extension. Dynasty Analysis: The modest $5.2 million to keep Shaheed in New Orleans for at least the next two seasons cuold prove to be a relative bargain. Last year, Shaheed took a nice second year leap, finishing with a 46/719/5 line on nearly 16 yards per catch. Chris Olave remains the primary threat for the Saints but the wide receiver corps is spotty after that, leaving Shaheed an opportunity for an even bigger season next year. He remains one of the better late round dynasty picks this off-season.

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Kenyan Drake Jul 21 11:13am CT
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Erick All Jul 20 9:20pm CT
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Cincinnati Bengals tight end Erick All Jr. (knee) was placed on the active/NFI list. The rookie, selected with the No. 115 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, sustained a torn ACL while still with the University of Iowa. He has made some progress in his recovery. However, as expected, the Bengals won't take any chances. At any rate, All has an uphill climb to surpass Mike Gesicki and Drew Sample on the depth chart. But the Bengals haven't had consistency at the position for years, so All may get a chance to prove his worth during the 2024-25 campaign, assuming he gets cleared.

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Shaquil Barrett Jul 20 9:00pm CT
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Miami Dolphins linebacker Shaquil Barrett announced his retirement. The 31-year-old signed with the Dolphins this offseason. However, he won't suit up for the team, citing his desire to spend more time with his family. Barrett spent nine years in the National Football League. In 131 games with the Broncos and Buccaneers, he totaled 400 tackles, adding 59 sacks, 23 forced fumbles, five fumble recoveries, and three interceptions. Barrett is also a two-time Super Bowl winner and a two-time Pro Bowler.

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Rashid Shaheed Jul 20 8:50pm CT
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CeeDee Lamb Jul 20 8:40pm CT
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Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is not expected to report to training camp in Oxnard, California, without a contract extension. For this reason, the Cowboys have made it a priority to get things done. The wideout is coming off a stellar year, finishing the 2023-24 campaign by amassing career-highs in receptions (135), targets (181), receiving yards (1,749), and touchdowns (12). He is due to make nearly $18 million in 2024-25. But with other receivers like Justin Jefferson and A.J. Brown getting new contracts this offseason, Lamb wants to be paid accordingly. Assuming the 25-year-old reports to training camp and is ready for Week 1, he's expected to be one of the top fantasy producers this season.

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T.J. Edwards Jul 20 1:00pm CT
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Chicago Bears linebacker T.J. Edwards (undisclosed) will be limited at the start of training camp this summer, according to head coach Matt Eberflus. Edwards was on the field during walk-throughs on Saturday, and it's "nothing major." He is "close" to being back on the field at full speed, so he should have no problem being ready for the start of the 2024 regular season this fall. The 27-year-old is recovering from a minor undisclosed injury that he suffered during OTAs and minicamp. Edwards enters the 2024 campaign as a top-10 fantasy linebacker in IDP leagues after posting his third straight season with 100-plus combined tackles in 2023. In his first year in Chicago, he had 155 tackles (91 solo), a career-high 2.5 sacks, eight tackles for loss, eight QB hits, a career-high three interceptions, seven pass breakups, one forced fumble and two fumble recoveries in 17 starts.

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Dameon Pierce Jul 20 12:30pm CT
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Arik Armstead Jul 20 12:30pm CT
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The Jacksonville Jaguars placed defensive lineman Arik Armstead (knee) on the Physically Unable to Perform list on Saturday. Armstead is not ready to practice with the rest of the team for the start of training camp after he had surgery to fix a torn meniscus in his right knee this offseason. Barring a setback in the 30-year-old's recovery, though, Armstead could be activated from the PUP list and be ready to go for the start of the 2024 regular season in Week 1 in September. The former 17th overall pick of the San Francisco 49ers in 2015 out of Oregon racked up 302 tackles (177 solo), 33.5 sacks, 43 tackles for loss and 88 QB hits in his nine seasons with the Niners before joining the Jaguars this offseason. He played in only 12 regular-season games in 2023 and had just 27 tackles (15 solo) and five sacks.

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Josh Palmer Jul 20 12:20pm CT
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The Athletic's Daniel Popper thinks Los Angeles Chargers wide receivers Joshua Palmer, rookie Ladd McConkey and DJ Chark Jr. will start in 11 personnel packages to begin the 2024 season. McConkey was mostly playing the slot in spring practices, Palmer can play inside and outside, and Chark fits as a true X receiver due to his size, speed and contested-catch ability. Palmer could emerge as quarterback Justin Herbert's top target because he's already established rapport with Herbert and is the most complete receiver in the Chargers' receiving corps. But McConkey is extremely refined as a route-runner and will push for targets immediately. As of right now, it looks like former first-rounder Quentin Johnston is the No. 4 after displaying poor route-running and key drops in his rookie campaign. Palmer has plenty of opportunity in 2024 and is worth a late-round flier as a fantasy sleeper.

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Javonte Williams Jul 20 12:10pm CT
Javonte Williams

The Denver Post's Troy Renck believes that Denver Broncos running backs Javonte Williams and Samaje Perine are competing for one roster spot in training camp and the preseason this year as the Broncos look to improve what was a very lackluster rushing offense in 2023. Williams is entering his fourth NFL season and averaged 3.2 yards per carry over the final 10 games last year. The poor efficiency could be attributed to it being his first full season coming off a serious knee injury, and he looked bigger and stronger this spring. Perine is a trusted third-down weapon that excels in pass protection. Rookie Audric Estime is going to make the team, and if he really impresses, it could put Williams' spot in jeopardy. We'd be surprised if the Broncos outright cut Williams, but it's a reminder of how far his fantasy stock has fallen after he had RB1 upside heading into the 2022 season.

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Jalen Coker Jul 19 11:00pm CT
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The Carolina Panthers placed veteran outside linebacker D.J. Wonnum (quadriceps), offensive tackle Yosh Nijman (undisclosed), outside linebacker Amare Barno (knee) and wide receiver Jalen Coker (undisclosed) on the Physically Unable to Perform list on Friday. Wonnum had surgery on his left quadriceps muscle in December, so it's not a big surprise that he won't be ready for the start of training camp next week. It remains to be seen if he'll come off the PUP list before the start of the 2024 regular season, but if he does, the 26-year-old should be a starting edge rusher for Carolina on the opposite side of Jadeveon Clowney. The former fourth-round pick of the Minnesota Vikings in 2020 out of South Carolina tied his career-high with eight sacks in 15 games (14 starts) in 2023 and also recorded a career-high 62 tackles (33 solo) while adding seven tackles for loss, 15 QB hits and a fumble recovery returned for a touchdown.

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MarShawn Lloyd Jul 19 10:50pm CT
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Green Bay Packers offensive coordinator Adam Stenavich basically has already said that rookie running back MarShawn Lloyd won't ride the bench like AJ Dillon did as a rookie. Lloyd brings shiftiness and explosiveness to the position, a much different element than Dillon brings, and it was evident during offseason practices. The Packers will want to see more of that from Lloyd in training camp this summer, as well as an ability to pass protect and catch passes. Head coach Matt LaFleur likes his backs to be well-versed in all aspects of the position. Josh Jacobs is the clear lead back for the Packers heading into the 2024 season, so Lloyd may be left to the waiver wire in standard 12-team leagues, but the third-rounder's combination of power and speed make him an intriguing big-play threat. Playing time and fumbling issues could be Lloyd's biggest obstacles as he heads to the next level.

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Eddie Jackson Jul 19 10:50pm CT
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Two-time Pro Bowl safety Eddie Jackson reached an agreement on Friday with the Baltimore Ravens on an undisclosed one-year deal, according to sources. Jackson scored six defensive touchdowns for the Chicago Bears in his six years with the organization and will now bring his talents to Baltimore's secondary in 2024. The 30-year-old was selected by the Bears in the fourth round (112th overall) in the 2017 NFL draft out of Alabama and made the Pro Bowl in two straight seasons in 2018 and 2019, his second and third seasons in the league. He was released by Chicago in February and should serve in a backup role behind Marcus Williams and Kyle Hamilton in his first year with the Ravens. Jackson has racked up 459 tackles (355 solo), two sacks, 14 tackles for loss, 15 interceptions (three returned for touchdowns), 44 pass breakups, 10 forced fumbles and six fumble recoveries (three for TDs) in 100 career starts.

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Caleb Williams Jul 19 10:40pm CT
Caleb Williams

The Chicago Bears are working to formulate a plan for rookie quarterback Caleb Williams some reps in the preseason this August. The Bears will play their first preseason game on Aug. 1 against the Houston Texans in this year's Hall of Fame game in Canton, Ohio. The Bears want to give the No. 1 overall pick ample action in preseason games and have been discussing it since the spring. Chicago believes the reps Williams gets in practice against the Bears defense will also be valuable, and they'll also have a joint practice with the Cincinnati Bengals on Aug. 15. The former USC QB is hoping to learn the team's offense "as fast as possible" as he heads into his first NFL season as the starter in Week 1 this fall. The 22-year-old was clearly the most NFL-ready signal-caller in the 2024 draft class and could have low-end QB1 fantasy value in the right matchups in his first year with the Bears.

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