Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Robinson setup for big season
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
RB SOS | ||
1. | Green Bay Packers | 356.01 |
2. | Houston Texans | 361.46 |
3. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 361.46 |
4. | Las Vegas Raiders | 361.48 |
5. | Seattle Seahawks | 362.28 |
6. | Buffalo Bills | 363.19 |
7. | Arizona Cardinals | 363.76 |
8. | Dallas Cowboys | 363.9 |
9. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 364.51 |
10. | Washington Commanders | 364.86 |
11. | Chicago Bears | 364.89 |
12. | Indianapolis Colts | 365.41 |
13. | San Francisco 49ers | 365.86 |
14. | New Orleans Saints | 366.49 |
15. | New York Jets | 368.23 |
16. | Detroit Lions | 368.49 |
17. | Philadelphia Eagles | 369.05 |
18. | Minnesota Vikings | 369.06 |
19. | Carolina Panthers | 369.88 |
20. | Cleveland Browns | 370.34 |
21. | Kansas City Chiefs | 371.71 |
22. | New York Giants | 372.21 |
23. | Los Angeles Chargers | 373.19 |
24. | Denver Broncos | 373.32 |
25. | Cincinnati Bengals | 373.66 |
26. | Los Angeles Rams | 374.09 |
27. | Baltimore Ravens | 374.16 |
28. | New England Patriots | 375.60 |
29. | Atlanta Falcons | 376.19 |
30. | Miami Dolphins | 377.49 |
31. | Tennessee Titans | 378.2 |
32. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 378.72 |
The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.
The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.
The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.
Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.
The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.
The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.
Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.
The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.
Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.
RB PLAYOFF SOS | ||
1. | San Francisco 49ers | 291.43 |
2. | Washington Commanders | 325.2 |
3. | Houston Texans | 327.8 |
4. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 332.03 |
5. | New York Jets | 337.57 |
6. | Cleveland Browns | 340.8 |
7. | Las Vegas Raiders | 341.1 |
8. | Miami Dolphins | 348.27 |
9. | Chicago Bears | 350.37 |
10. | Buffalo Bills | 350.53 |
11. | Arizona Cardinals | 352.8 |
12. | Dallas Cowboys | 358.87 |
13. | Detroit Lions | 359.7 |
14. | New York Giants | 365.67 |
15. | Kansas City Chiefs | 366.53 |
16. | Green Bay Packers | 368.97 |
17. | Seattle Seahawks | 370.23 |
18. | Carolina Panthers | 377.15 |
19. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 378.37 |
20. | Los Angeles Chargers | 380.73 |
21. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 381 |
22. | Baltimore Ravens | 381.43 |
23. | Cincinnati Bengals | 383.50 |
24. | Philadelphia Eagles | 391.07 |
25. | New England Patriots | 397.95 |
26. | Indianapolis Colts | 398.40 |
27. | Denver Broncos | 399.53 |
28. | Tennessee Titans | 401.63 |
29. | Los Angeles Rams | 403.92 |
30. | New Orleans Saints | 406.33 |
31. | Minnesota Vikings | 407.87 |
32. | Atlanta Falcons | 422.4 |
There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.
And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.
Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.
One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.
Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.
So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.
Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.
The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan suggested that running back Christian McCaffrey's (calf) obsession with practice reps has him unconcerned with the running back's calf strain. When speaking with reporters on Tuesday, Shanahan explained that McCaffrey is so deliberate with every rep he can take when healthy, that the missed time should not affect his ability to perform at a high level. McCaffrey is the engine that drives the 49ers offense. He finished 2023 with 1,459 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns to go along with 67 receptions for 564 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. McCaffrey is currently the consensus No. 1 pick in fantasy despite the injury. Shanahan's interview should only serve to appease fantasy manager worries about drafting McCaffrey.
From RotoBaller
Seattle Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet (back) returned to practice on Tuesday. Charbonnet sat through the Seahawks' second week of preseason with back tightness. Charbonnet finished his rookie season in 2023 with 462 rushing yards, 209 receiving yards, and one rushing touchdown. He still appears to be squarely behind Walker in the Seahawks' pecking order. With a new regime entering the fold, fantasy managers will need to see how these backs will be deployed at the start of the season. For now, Charbonnet is merely a high-quality insurance back.
From RotoBaller
Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is reportedly having promising contract talks with the team, according to owner and general manager Jerry Jones. Lamb has been holding out during the preseason and training camp as he seeks a contract extension. Lamb finished 2023 with 1,749 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns on a league-leading 135 receptions. He is fully worth a top-of-the-market wide receiver extension. The Cowboys are cutting contract negotiations dangerously close to the regular season. All Cowboys fans and fantasy managers can do is hope that the two sides can come to an agreement in the next few weeks.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford (hamstring) was back in team drills on Tuesday. Stafford left a joint practice with the Dallas Cowboys with hamstring tightness last week. The Rams have remained cautious with the injury. All reports have suggested that the coaching staff was unconcerned about the injury. Stafford returned to individual drills on Monday. Tuesday's ramp-up to team drills suggests that the injury may be progressing well. Stafford threw for 3,965 yards and 24 touchdowns in 15 games in 2023. Stafford is highly important to the fantasy success of Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp, and Kyren Williams as well as the Rams' success as a whole. For now, Stafford's injury should be monitored by fantasy managers to ensure that he returns to play fully healthy before Week 1.
From RotoBaller
Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (undisclosed) exited team drills at Tuesday's practice and did not return. Little information is available on Barkley's status. Given Barkley's relatively extensive injury history, any potential injury news is concerning. Barkley ran for 962 yards and six touchdowns and added 41 receptions for 280 yards and four touchdowns in 14 games with the New York Giants in 2023. Barkley is joining an Eagles squad with the No. 2 PFF-ranked offensive line. He figures to meet or succeed his 2023 numbers in a significantly better offense in 2024. As a second-round pick in fantasy, Barkley could be one of the game's best values. With draft season in full swing, fantasy managers should keep a close eye on this situation to ensure that it does not need to impact draft strategies.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury is confident in the backfield's one-two punch of Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler, according to Adam Schultz of Athlon Sports. "I watch [Ekeler] and I'm like, 'This guy is tremendous,'" Kingsbury said. He's as quick and as fast and as strong as I've seen him. Have just been really pleased. The compliment of him and [Robinson] is great. You have a power back who has great hands and then you have a quick-twitch smaller guy who's been a 100-catch guy in the NFL. So, couldn't be more pleased with that one-two punch and the different things that we'll be able to do with both those guys." Evidently and perhaps unsurprisingly, the Commanders are expecting good things from the combination of Robinson, a younger power back, and Ekeler, a veteran with experience as an elite pass-catcher out of the backfield. Robinson is the preferred fantasy option given his expected volume and touchdown opportunities, but it's not hard to imagine a scenario in which both backs are starter-worthy options in fantasy football this year.
From RotoBaller
Indianapolis Colts tight end Jelani Woods (toe) will miss "considerable time," head coach Shane Steichen told Stephen Holder of ESPN.com. "I don't have a timetable on it," Steichen explained. Holder added that Woods' absence will extend into the regular season and could impact roster decisions. The Colts have plenty of options with Woods, including a potential injured reserve placement before or after rosters trim down in one week. None of the Colts' tight ends are appealing options in fantasy football this year, but an injury to Woods could create some additional opportunities for the team's top two players at the position, Kylen Granson and Mo Alie-Cox.
From RotoBaller
Extension talks between the Cincinnati Bengals and wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase have been "mysterious," according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. This situation is particularly unique because, as Schefter notes, Chase still has two years left on his current contract. That's what makes these negotiations different from those between the Dallas Cowboys and CeeDee Lamb, as well as the San Francisco 49ers and Brandon Aiyuk. The Bengals are reportedly willing to strike a deal with Chase before the season, but Week 1 isn't a firm deadline in the team's eyes. On the other hand, Schefter highlighted recent comments from former NFL receiver Chad Johnson who believes that the two sides are making progress, but Chase might be inclined to hold out if he doesn't have a deal by the start of the season. As of now, the chances of that happening are slim, but should he miss time, Tee Higgins would be the Bengals' top receiver and a borderline WR1 in fantasy football. Fantasy managers must continue to monitor this situation in hopes of gaining more clarity before the regular season kicks off next month.
From RotoBaller
Buffalo Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman has been "able to do everything physically that the offense has asked of him," offensive coordinator Joe Brady told the media on Tuesday. Brady noted that Coleman, a rookie, is still learning and adapting to how NFL cornerbacks will guard him. This promising review of the first-round pick doesn't necessarily lock Coleman into the top receiver role, but it certainly reflects the coaching staff's trust and optimism in him. As the season approaches, fantasy managers will continue to monitor the competition between Coleman, Curtis Samuel, and Khalil Shakir in the Buffalo wide receiver room. It should be noted that Coleman has played 100 percent of first-team snaps for the first two weeks of the preseason, separating himself from his teammates. As of now, he appears to be the top fantasy wide receiver on the Bills and is a worthwhile pick at his current ADP in the 11th round of drafts.
From RotoBaller
The San Francisco 49ers continue to remain apart from wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk and left tackle Trent Williams in regard to contract negotiations. Asked about the two players Tuesday, head coach Kyle Shanahan told the media, "Zero updates. Nothing has changed." It remains fascinating to watch this entire situation unfold as both players remain absent from practice with just over two weeks until the NFL regular season gets underway. Aiyuk's impasse comes with an added wrinkle given ongoing trade chatter, but it sounds like his realistic options are playing for the 49ers or Pittsburgh Steelers in 2024 (and if he picks the Steelers, the 49ers would still have to agree to trade terms). There's been less discussion about a Williams trade, so it seems like he'll either be suiting up for the 49ers or spending Week 1 on their sideline, barring an unforeseen development. Being without either player would be a massive loss for the 49ers. Aiyuk is coming off the best season of his career in which he caught 75 passes for 1,342 yards and seven touchdowns en route to finishing as the WR14 in PPR leagues. Meanwhile, Williams boasted an 89.9 PFF grade over 809 snaps and was particularly dominant in run blocking, an effort that helped Christian McCaffery finish as the overall RB1. There's no doubt that the 49ers are better when both players are on the field, and the same goes for fantasy managers.
From RotoBaller
The New Orleans Saints have activated tight end Juwan Johnson (foot) from the PUP list, according to Matthew Paras of The Times-Picayune. All signs point to Johnson being active for Week 1. The 27-year-old is coming off an uneventful season in which he caught 37 passes for 368 yards and four touchdowns. There had been some speculation that Carr might be able to elevate Johnson's production, but that wasn't the case as the Oregon product ultimately saw his statistics take a step backward from 2022 to 2023. Moving forward, even if you view veteran Taysom Hill as more of a Swiss army knife and less of a tight end, Johnson still isn't in a very favorable role ahead of the 2024 season. Johnson can be left undrafted in typical 12-team redraft leagues, though he could ultimately have some streaming appeal once bye weeks and injuries start to pile up.
From RotoBaller
Chicago Bears head coach Matt Eberflus says a majority of the starters, including quarterback Caleb Williams, will not play in Thursday's preseason finale against the defending-champion Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. That also means fantasy managers shouldn't be expecting to see wide receivers D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze on Thursday against the Chiefs, with running back D'Andre Swift and tight end Cole Kmet also being unlikely to suit up. Williams notably scored a seven-yard rushing touchdown in Saturday's preseason win over the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bears were one of the offseason's biggest winners, landing the 22-year-old USC standout first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft and surrounding the signal-caller with one of the league's premier supporting casts, but this offense has plenty of mouths to feed from a fantasy perspective.
From RotoBaller
New England Patriots rookie wide receiver Ja'Lynn Polk has earned a starting job in the team's crowded WR room. Polk has been a regular contributor in the Patriots' top offensive unit this week. The 22-year-old second-round rookie out of Washington looks to offer New England some help in the receiving corps after the club fielded a historically poor offense in 2023, and his fantasy upside in Year 1 is likely to remain limited largely due to the uncertainty at quarterback. Although Polk doesn't grade out as an overly talented athlete based on workout metrics, and his college production was overshadowed by rookie first-rounder and former teammate Rome Odunze, he could end up seeing a decent amount of volume in 2024 as a WR5/6 fantasy flier at the end of drafts this summer.
From RotoBaller
New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. (ankle) will practice on Tuesday in training camp. "He's good," head coach Brian Daboll said on Tuesday. Tracy was carted off the practice field with an ankle injury last Tuesday, so it's highly encouraging to already see him back in action for the Giants. The 24-year-old fifth-round rookie from Purdue is tentatively slotted in as New York's No. 2 option in the backfield behind workhorse starter Devin Singletary this summer, and it remains to be seen if he'll get a chance to build on that status in Saturday's preseason finale against the New York Jets. Tracy isn't going to start the campaign with standalone fantasy value, but he certainly appears to be the preferred handcuff for Singletary's managers.
From RotoBaller
The Athletic's Joseph Person believes the toughest call for the Carolina Panthers' 53-man roster is whether to have rookie running back Jonathon Brooks (knee) begin the year on the Physically Unable to Perform List. Brooks remains stuck on the Non-Football Injury List and unable to practice or participate in any preseason action as he rehabilitates last November's torn ACL, and it sounds like he's at risk of missing the first four games of the regular season. The 21-year-old rookie second-rounder was the first RB selected in this year's NFL Draft, and with the Panthers continuing to rebuild, the team may opt to delay his debut and not rush their presumed lead back for the future into the fray. Chuba Hubbard (knee) was back at Tuesday's practice and is shaping up as a borderline RB2/3 fantasy starter for the early stages of the year.
From RotoBaller
Carolina Panthers running back Chuba Hubbard (knee) is participating in Tuesday's practice in training camp. Hubbard had been dealing with a knee injury since Thursday, but it proved to be a minor setback. After the Panthers signed veteran Miles Sanders to a significant contract last offseason to be the team's lead back, Hubbard overtook him for the job by midseason in 2023. Carolina then made second-rounder Jonathon Brooks (knee) the first RB chosen in this year's NFL Draft, but the rookie is a candidate to start the year on the Physically Unable to Perform List. That likely leaves Hubbard as the club's interim lead back, and after he took 238 carries and caught 88.6% of his 44 targets last season, he's looking like a fringe RB2/3 fantasy starter for the early part of 2024.
From RotoBaller
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert (foot) looked good in his return to training camp practice on Monday, his first since being diagnosed with a plantar-fascia injury in his right foot on July 31. Head coach Jim Harbaugh was steadfast throughout the injury process that Herbert wouldn't miss a beat in adapting to a new offense. Herbert didn't do any work in full-team situations on Monday but got plenty of snaps in 7-on-7 drills, with Harbaugh saying that "he looked great with a capital G. No drop-off, pinpoint accuracy. He looked really good." The 26-year-old started 62 consecutive games, the second-longest streak by a QB, before a fracture to his right index finger in Week 14 in 2023 ended his season. With Herbert back at practice, it looks like he'll be ready in plenty of time for the Week 1 regular-season opener against the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders, where he'll be a QB2 with upside in a new offense.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns wide receiver Amari Cooper (undisclosed) will practice at training camp on Tuesday, according to head coach Kevin Stefanski. Cooper left the second day of joint practices against the Minnesota Vikings last Thursday with an undisclosed injury but is back now and should be able to suit up in the preseason finale this Saturday against the Seattle Seahawks. Injuries are always a concern with the 30-year-old veteran, but the five-time Pro Bowler put up a career-high 1,250 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 72 receptions (128 targets) in 2023, despite the fact that quarterback Deshaun Watson (shoulder) only played in six games. He has put up 1,000 yards in seven of his nine NFL seasons, and although a healthy Jerry Jeudy could take some targets away this year, Cooper is trending as a value pick on the WR2/3 borderline right now in fantasy drafts.
From RotoBaller
Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell said that tight end Sam LaPorta (hamstring) could be back on the training camp practice field as early as next Sunday after the preseason finale against the Pittsburgh Steelers this Saturday. LaPorta has been dealing with a hamstring ailment since earlier this month and has missed valuable reps in practice, but the Lions have given us no indications that his availability for the Week 1 regular-season opener is in jeopardy. The 23-year-old burst onto the scene in 2023 as a rookie and immediately became a high-end TE1 in fantasy, catching 86 passes (120 targets) for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns in 17 regular-season games. No other TE had more than six touchdowns last year. As long as LaPorta's hamstring issue doesn't linger into the regular season, fantasy managers should feel comfortable taking him as either the first or second TE off the board in upcoming drafts.
From RotoBaller
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (undisclosed) remained out of training camp practice on Tuesday and has missed around two weeks with an undisclosed ailment that the Dolphins are considering minor. At this point, it's unlikely that Waddle will suit up for the team's preseason finale this Friday against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but the Dolphins don't seem worried that he's in danger of missing the Week 1 regular-season opener in early September. Miami's receiving corps is a bit beat up at the moment, with Tyreek Hill (hand) dealing with an injury and Odell Beckham Jr. (undisclosed) not having practiced at all this summer. As long as the 25-year-old Waddle is ready to roll for the start of the regular season, fantasy managers should have no qualms taking him as a solid WR2 option. RotoBaller has Waddle ranked as the No. 18 fantasy wideout.
From RotoBaller