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RB Strength of Schedule

Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Robinson setup for big season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  RB SOS  
1. Green Bay Packers 356.01
2. Houston Texans 361.46
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 361.46
4. Las Vegas Raiders 361.48
5. Seattle Seahawks 362.28
6. Buffalo Bills 363.19
7. Arizona Cardinals 363.76
8. Dallas Cowboys 363.9
9. Jacksonville Jaguars 364.51
10. Washington Commanders 364.86
11. Chicago Bears 364.89
12. Indianapolis Colts 365.41
13. San Francisco 49ers 365.86
14. New Orleans Saints 366.49
15. New York Jets 368.23
16. Detroit Lions 368.49
17. Philadelphia Eagles 369.05
18. Minnesota Vikings 369.06
19. Carolina Panthers 369.88
20. Cleveland Browns 370.34
21. Kansas City Chiefs 371.71
22. New York Giants 372.21
23. Los Angeles Chargers 373.19
24. Denver Broncos 373.32
25. Cincinnati Bengals 373.66
26. Los Angeles Rams 374.09
27. Baltimore Ravens 374.16
28. New England Patriots 375.60
29. Atlanta Falcons 376.19
30. Miami Dolphins 377.49
31. Tennessee Titans 378.2
32. Pittsburgh Steelers 378.72


The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.

The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.

The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.

Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.

The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.

The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.

Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.

The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.

Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  RB PLAYOFF SOS  
1. San Francisco 49ers 291.43
2. Washington Commanders 325.2
3. Houston Texans 327.8
4. Pittsburgh Steelers 332.03
5. New York Jets 337.57
6. Cleveland Browns 340.8
7. Las Vegas Raiders 341.1
8. Miami Dolphins 348.27
9. Chicago Bears 350.37
10. Buffalo Bills 350.53
11. Arizona Cardinals 352.8
12. Dallas Cowboys 358.87
13. Detroit Lions 359.7
14. New York Giants 365.67
15. Kansas City Chiefs 366.53
16. Green Bay Packers 368.97
17. Seattle Seahawks 370.23
18. Carolina Panthers 377.15
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 378.37
20. Los Angeles Chargers 380.73
21. Jacksonville Jaguars 381
22. Baltimore Ravens 381.43
23. Cincinnati Bengals 383.50
24. Philadelphia Eagles 391.07
25. New England Patriots 397.95
26. Indianapolis Colts 398.40
27. Denver Broncos 399.53
28. Tennessee Titans 401.63
29. Los Angeles Rams 403.92
30. New Orleans Saints 406.33
31. Minnesota Vikings 407.87
32. Atlanta Falcons 422.4

 

There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.

And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.

Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.

One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.

Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.

So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.

Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.

The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Trey Sermon Oct 10 6:40pm CT
Trey Sermon

Indianapolis Colts running back Trey Sermon (collarbone) was held out of Wednesday's practice but was a full participant just a day later on Thursday. Sermon was a popular waiver-wire pickup last week after Jonathan Taylor suffered a high-ankle sprain in the Week 4 win over the Indianapolis Colts. Taylor did not play in the Week 5 loss to the division-rival Jacksonville Jaguars, and Sermon took advantage as the lead back to record 10 carries for 38 yards and a touchdown while adding six catches for an extra 25 yards. Taylor has not practiced this week and appears headed for a second straight absence, which will put Sermon back into flex territory against the Titans. The 25-year-old won't have as much fantasy upside, though, against a Titans defense allowing the 22nd-most half-PPR points to RBs through five weeks. The impending return of quarterback Anthony Richardson (oblique) is also probably bad news for Sermon's rushing chances.

From RotoBaller

Anthony Richardson Oct 10 6:30pm CT
Anthony Richardson

Updating a previous report, Indianapolis Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson (oblique) was a full participant in Thursday's practice and was looking spry after being limited on Wednesday. Richardson injured his oblique in the Week 4 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers and didn't suit up for the Week 5 loss to the division-rival Jacksonville Jaguars. With a full practice under his belt this week, the 22-year-old second-year signal-caller is trending toward returning for this Sunday's divisional clash with the Tennessee Titans against a tough secondary. However, fantasy managers shouldn't be looking to throw him immediately back into starting lineups if he's active in Week 6, especially if he's without running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) and receivers Michael Pittman Jr. (back) and Josh Downs (toe). Richardson has been a disappointment through four games in 2024 as both a runner and a passer.

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Chris Conley Oct 10 6:20pm CT
Chris Conley

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Chris Conley (oblique) is officially active for the Thursday night divisional showdown against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field to kick off Week 6 action. Conley came into the game listed as questionable, but he will suit up. Meanwhile, cornerback Charvarius Ward (knee) is inactive and won't play. Conley is making his return after missing the Week 5 loss to the division-rival Arizona Cardinals. The 31-year-old veteran has caught only one pass on three targets for a four-yard gain in four games played in 2024. Fantasy managers can continue to ignore Conley as he serves as receiver depth in San Francisco. Conley's return in Week 6 could mean less opportunities for rookie Jacob Cowing and Ronnie Bell.

From RotoBaller

DeVonta Smith Oct 10 6:10pm CT
DeVonta Smith

Philadelphia Eagles wide receivers A.J. Brown (hamstring) and DeVonta Smith (concussion) are both on track to return to action in Week 6 against the Cleveland Browns after putting in a second straight day with a full practice on Thursday. Brown hasn't played since catching half of his 10 targets for 119 yards and a touchdown in the Week 1 win over the Green Bay Packers in Brazil, but he's made nice progress coming out of the bye week and should be returned to all starting fantasy lineups for a tilt against Cleveland this Sunday in Philly. Smith suffered a concussion in Week 3 and was held out of the Week 4 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He, too, should be returned to all fantasy lineups, although he still needs to gain final clearance from the concussion protocol. The return of both Brown and Smith is bad news for tight end Dallas Goedert but is great news for quarterback Jalen Hurts' fantasy value.

From RotoBaller

Jordan Mason Oct 10 6:00pm CT
Jordan Mason

The Athletic's Matt Barrows writes that San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy and the team clearly aren't looking for running back Jordan Mason as a receiver out of the backfield. Mason is still building his chemistry with Purdy as the team's lead back in 2024 with Christian McCaffrey (Achilles) injured. No RB who has run at least 50 pass routes has been targeted less than Mason this year. A lot of that could have to do with the fact that the Niners don't actually have a third-down option at the position. Although Mason has just seven receptions for 66 yards in five games this year, he's the RB5 in half-PPR scoring into the team's Thursday night divisional showdown against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Mason lost the first fumble of his career in the Week 5 loss to the Arizona Cardinals but still had 89 rushing yards on 14 carries. He's a must-start in Week 6 on Thursday night in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Bijan Robinson Oct 10 5:50pm CT
Bijan Robinson

Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (hamstring) was added to the Week 6 injury report after putting in a limited practice on Thursday. Robinson was a full-go on Wednesday. His downgrade on Thursday is most likely just the Falcons giving him a little rest as the team prepares to take on the division-rival Carolina Panthers in Week 6. The 22-year-old was also listed with a hamstring injury before last Thursday's win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but he played and handled 15 touches for 77 scrimmage yards. Drafted in the first round in fantasy drafts this year, Robinson has been a bust so far as the RB21 in half-PPR scoring through the first five weeks. However, he won't have a better bounce-back opportunity this weekend than against the 1-4 Panthers, as they have allowed the most points to opposing RBs this year. Bijan is a must-start in all lineups.

From RotoBaller

Darnell Mooney Oct 10 5:50pm CT
Darnell Mooney

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney (knee) put in a limited practice on Thursday for the second straight day this week. If Mooney doesn't upgrade to a full practice on Friday, he could be listed on the Week 6 injury report as questionable to play this Sunday against the division-rival Carolina Panthers. However, there doesn't appear to be too much worry that the 26-year-old is in danger of missing this weekend's game after he went off for nine catches, 105 yards and two touchdowns in the Thursday night win over the division-rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. Mooney has surprisingly been the WR15 in half-PPR scoring through five weeks with 24 catches for 330 yards and three touchdowns. With quarterback Kirk Cousins now looking more comfortable in this offense, Mooney's fantasy stock is on the rise and he should be considered an attractive WR2/3 in Week 6 against Carolina.

From RotoBaller

Josh Reynolds Oct 10 5:40pm CT
Josh Reynolds

Denver Broncos wide receiver Josh Reynolds (hand) missed his second straight practice this week on Thursday due to a hand injury. Reynolds' status for the Week 6 contest versus the division-rival Los Angeles Chargers this Sunday is firmly up in the air. He'll likely need to practice in some fashion on Friday to avoid being ruled out entirely. If Reynolds is limited or out entirely this weekend, look for the likes of Lil'Jordan Humphrey, Marvin Mims Jr. and rookie Troy Franklin to battle for more targets behind WR1 Courtland Sutton. The 29-year-old Reynolds was much more involved in the first several games of the 2024 season. During the team's three-game winning streak, Reynolds only has three catches on six targets for 45 yards, although he did find the end zone for the first time this year in the Week 5 win over the Las Vegas Raiders. Reynolds belongs on the waiver wire in most formats.

From RotoBaller

Spencer Rattler Oct 10 5:38pm CT
Spencer Rattler

Dynasty | The Saints will start Spencer Rattler at quarterback this week. Dynasty Analysis: Rattler gets the nod over Jake Haener and will have a chance to make an impression while Derek Carr is sidelined with an oblique injury. Once one of the highest profile college quarterbacks, Rattler's journey to a starting nod is filled with ups, downs, disappointments, and general weirdness. In the end, he'll get a chance to show he belongs in the NFL. Expectations should be tempered as rookies tend to struggle, but this is obviously a big development as Rattler gets an opportunity much earlier than expected to show he could be the Saints quarterback of the future. He should be on dynasty rosters everywhere at this point.

David Njoku Oct 10 5:33pm CT
David Njoku

Cleveland Browns TE David Njoku (ankle, knee) was limited during practice Thursday, Oct. 10.

Fantasy Spin: Njoku appears to be questionable for the Week 6 game, so fantasy players will need to check on his status after the last practice of the week. He is a weekly starting option when healthy, but fantasy players will need a backup plan ready in case he sits out.

From TheHuddle

Amari Cooper Oct 10 5:33pm CT
Amari Cooper

Cleveland Browns WR Amari Cooper (non-injury) fully participated in practice Thursday, Oct. 10.

Fantasy Spin: Cooper has been the main option of the Browns this season and should continue to see a good amount of targets in Week 6. He can be at least a flex option in fantasy leagues.

From TheHuddle

Mike Gesicki Oct 10 5:30pm CT
Mike Gesicki

Cincinnati Bengals tight end Mike Gesicki (hamstring) did not practice on Wednesday but returned to a limited session on Thursday. Gesicki's status is still up in the air for Week 6 against the New York Giants on Sunday night, but his return to practice on Thursday is a good sign for his availability this weekend. If the 29-year-old carries a questionable status into the weekend, he'll be a much more risky fantasy play on Sunday night. In his first year with the Bengals, Gesicki has caught 17 of his 21 targets for 178 yards and no touchdowns through his first five games. He's currently the TE15 in half-PPR scoring and will most likely need to find the end zone to jump up into TE1 territory. If Gesicki doesn't end up playing in Week 6 or is limited, rookie Erick All Jr. would likely work as the primary pass-catching tight end and would have more TE2 streaming appeal.

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Audric Estime Oct 10 5:30pm CT
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Barring a setback, signs are pointing toward Denver Broncos rookie running back Audric Estime (ankle) being activated from Injured Reserve for Sunday's Week 6 divisional matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers, according to a source. Estime missed the required four games while on IR and was designated to return on Wednesday. He was listed as a full practice participant for the second straight day this week on Thursday. This isn't exactly what Javonte Williams' fantasy managers want to hear, even though he should continue to be Denver's lead back this weekend. Both Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin had more room to work in the Week 5 win over the division-rival Las Vegas Raiders, but don't be surprised if the 21-year-old Estime carves out a small role once he gets up to speed. Estime is really only worth stashing in dynasty/keeper leagues for now.

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Nick Chubb Oct 10 5:23pm CT
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Cleveland Browns RB Nick Chubb (knee) was limited during practice Thursday, Oct. 10.

Fantasy Spin: Fantasy players should monitor the situation to see if Chubb will be activated before the Week 6 game. He likely will see a limited workload once he returns and may not be a starting fantasy option right away.

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D'Onta Foreman Oct 10 5:23pm CT
D'Onta Foreman

Cleveland Browns RB D'Onta Foreman (ankle) was limited during practice Thursday, Oct. 10.

Fantasy Spin: Foreman appears to have a chance to play this week, so fantasy players should keep an eye on the situation. He has been sharing playing time with Jerome Ford and could be a possible flex option in deeper leagues if he is cleared.

From TheHuddle

Chase Brown Oct 10 5:20pm CT
Chase Brown

Cincinnati Bengals running backs Zack Moss (foot) and Chase Brown (quadriceps) were both limited in Thursday's practice. Moss did not practice on Wednesday, while Brown is a new addition to the Week 6 injury report. Moss' ability to return to practice a day later is good news for his status this week, but the Bengals' backfield is worth watching over the next couple of days. If one or both of Moss and Brown are questionable to play, fantasy managers will have some tough decisions to make with the Bengals facing the New York Giants on Sunday night. Fantasy managers will want to check back for Friday's final injury report for more clarity on the situation. If one or both are up in the air to face the G-Men, Trayveon Williams could be looking at a much bigger workload in Week 6. Moss checks in as the RB20 in half-PPR this year, while Brown isn't far behind as the RB26.

From RotoBaller

Kenny Clark Oct 10 5:13pm CT
Kenny Clark

Green Bay Packers DT Devonte Wyatt (ankle) and TE Luke Musgrave (ankle) did not participate in practice Thursday, Oct. 10. CB Jaire Alexander (groin), DT Kenny Clark (toe), LB Edgerrin Cooper (hip), DT Jonathan Ford (calf), OG Elgton Jenkins (knee), OT Jordan Morgan (shoulder) and CB Carrington Valentine (ankle) were limited during practice. S Zayne Anderson (elbow), DE Arron Mosby (shoulder) and OT Zach Tom (shoulder) fully participated in practice.

From TheHuddle

Jabrill Peppers Oct 10 5:10pm CT
Jabrill Peppers

The NFL placed New England Patriots safety Jabrill Peppers (shoulder) on the commissioner's exempt list on Wednesday. Peppers may not practice or attend games while he's on the list. Peppers plead guilty on Monday after he was arrested last Saturday in Massachusetts on strangulation and drug-possession charges. The 29-year-old won't be available to the Patriots' defense for the foreseeable future. The former 25th overall pick by the Cleveland Browns in 2017 out of Michigan is in his third year with the Patriots and had 23 tackles (11 solo), an interception and two pass breakups in his four games played before being suspended due to off-the-field transgressions. New England's secondary will certainly be more vulnerable without Peppers, starting this Sunday against the Houston Texans and their explosive aerial assault.

From RotoBaller

Luke Musgrave Oct 10 5:10pm CT
Luke Musgrave

Green Bay Packers head coach Matt LaFleur said that tight end Luke Musgrave (ankle) "more than likely" will land on Injured Reserve due to his ankle injury, which will sideline him for at least four games. If the Packers put Musgrave on IR officially before the Week 6 game against the Arizona Cardinals this Sunday, he won't be eligible to return until after the Week 10 bye for a Week 11 divisional contest against the Chicago Bears. The 24-year-old was active in the Week 5 win over the Los Angeles Rams but didn't actually play. With Musgrave out for the foreseeable future, it's more good news for Tucker Kraft (groin), who scored two touchdowns last Sunday against the Rams. Ben Sims and John FitzPatrick will now be the backups to Kraft. Musgrave had just five catches on seven targets for 22 yards and no touchdowns in four games this year before his ankle injury.

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Davon Godchaux Oct 10 5:03pm CT
Davon Godchaux

New England Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson (foot) did not practice on Thursday, Oct. 10. Also, S Kyle Dugger (ankle), WR Kendrick Bourne (knee), DT Davon Godchaux (elbow), CB Marcus Jones (groin), C Nick Leverett (ankle), WR K.J. Osborn (shoulder), OG Layden Robinson (ankle, wrist), LB Sione Takitaki (knee), CB Marco Wilson (groin) and CB Isaiah Bolden (hamstring) were limited and OT Vederian Lowe (knee), LB Anfernee Jennings (shoulder) and CB Jonathan Jones (shoulder) practiced in full.

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