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RB Strength of Schedule

Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Robinson setup for big season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  RB SOS  
1. Green Bay Packers 356.01
2. Houston Texans 361.46
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 361.46
4. Las Vegas Raiders 361.48
5. Seattle Seahawks 362.28
6. Buffalo Bills 363.19
7. Arizona Cardinals 363.76
8. Dallas Cowboys 363.9
9. Jacksonville Jaguars 364.51
10. Washington Commanders 364.86
11. Chicago Bears 364.89
12. Indianapolis Colts 365.41
13. San Francisco 49ers 365.86
14. New Orleans Saints 366.49
15. New York Jets 368.23
16. Detroit Lions 368.49
17. Philadelphia Eagles 369.05
18. Minnesota Vikings 369.06
19. Carolina Panthers 369.88
20. Cleveland Browns 370.34
21. Kansas City Chiefs 371.71
22. New York Giants 372.21
23. Los Angeles Chargers 373.19
24. Denver Broncos 373.32
25. Cincinnati Bengals 373.66
26. Los Angeles Rams 374.09
27. Baltimore Ravens 374.16
28. New England Patriots 375.60
29. Atlanta Falcons 376.19
30. Miami Dolphins 377.49
31. Tennessee Titans 378.2
32. Pittsburgh Steelers 378.72


The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.

The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.

The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.

Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.

The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.

The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.

Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.

The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.

Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  RB PLAYOFF SOS  
1. San Francisco 49ers 291.43
2. Washington Commanders 325.2
3. Houston Texans 327.8
4. Pittsburgh Steelers 332.03
5. New York Jets 337.57
6. Cleveland Browns 340.8
7. Las Vegas Raiders 341.1
8. Miami Dolphins 348.27
9. Chicago Bears 350.37
10. Buffalo Bills 350.53
11. Arizona Cardinals 352.8
12. Dallas Cowboys 358.87
13. Detroit Lions 359.7
14. New York Giants 365.67
15. Kansas City Chiefs 366.53
16. Green Bay Packers 368.97
17. Seattle Seahawks 370.23
18. Carolina Panthers 377.15
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 378.37
20. Los Angeles Chargers 380.73
21. Jacksonville Jaguars 381
22. Baltimore Ravens 381.43
23. Cincinnati Bengals 383.50
24. Philadelphia Eagles 391.07
25. New England Patriots 397.95
26. Indianapolis Colts 398.40
27. Denver Broncos 399.53
28. Tennessee Titans 401.63
29. Los Angeles Rams 403.92
30. New Orleans Saints 406.33
31. Minnesota Vikings 407.87
32. Atlanta Falcons 422.4

 

There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.

And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.

Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.

One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.

Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.

So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.

Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.

The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Player Notes
Evan Engram Sep 20 6:00pm CT
Evan Engram

Jacksonville Jaguars tight end Evan Engram (hamstring) missed a second straight practice this week on Friday and appears to be trending toward missing a second straight game in Week 3 on Monday night against the Buffalo Bills. Engram injured his hamstring during pre-game warmups before the Week 2 loss to the Cleveland Browns. He will likely need to return to practice on Saturday to avoid being ruled out on the final injury report of the week. As of right now, fantasy managers should plan to be without the 30-year-old veteran. With Engram out last Sunday, Brenton Strange stepped up as the top pass-catching TE and played 68% of the offensive snaps, catching three of his six targets for 65 yards. The Bills defense has been vulnerable so far through two games to the TE position, but Strange will still be only a TE2 sleeper for fantasy lineups if Engram misses a second straight game.

From RotoBaller

Romeo Doubs Sep 20 6:00pm CT
Romeo Doubs

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs travels with the Packers to Nashville to take on the Titans in Week 3, where he'll be considered a flex option for fantasy managers. Doubs led the Packers in receiving yards with 62 in Green Bay's 16-10 win, but overall, the passing game was a distant second in importance to the run game. With just 14 pass attempts, passing volume was extremely hard to come by as the Packers employed a very conservative run-heavy approach to the game plan against the Colts in Week 2. That's the likely game plan in Week 3 should Willis get the starting nod. Starting quarterback Jordan Love (knee) has left the door open a crack with his availability this week, entering the weekend on the injury report with a questionable designation. If Love does end up playing, the offense is immediately upgraded. If Willis is starting, then consider Doubs a low-end flex option in Week 3.

From RotoBaller

Greg Dortch Sep 20 5:50pm CT
Greg Dortch

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Greg Dortch (hamstring) popped up on Friday's injury report after putting in a limited practice session and is considered questionable to play in Week 3 against the visiting Detroit Lions. It suggests that Dortch suffered a hamstring injury in practice on Friday, which isn't a good sign for his availability this weekend. Making things even more worrisome for fantasy managers in deeper leagues that were considering the 26-year-old as a flex play is the fact that the Cardinals and Lions won't kick off until the later slate of games on Sunday. If Dortch is limited or held out entirely, it will mean more targets for rookie receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. and tight end Trey McBride, with wideout Michael Wilson likely serving as quarterback Kyler Murray's WR2. Dortch is worth a deep-league stash for WR depth after catching eight of 10 targets for 58 yards in the first two weeks.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Reed Sep 20 5:40pm CT
Jayden Reed

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed (calf) is all set to play in Week 3 as he's been on the injury report after practicing in a limited fashion during the last two practices with a calf injury. With Reed off the injury report heading into the weekend, it's going to be tough to recommend Reed unless Jordan Love (knee) sends up starting. It seems much more likely that Malik Willis gets another start this week and if that's the case, the passing volume will be tough to come by. The Packers dropped back to pass just 17 times and only had 14 pass attempts in their 16-10 win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 2. Reed caught two targets for nine yards and had two rushing attempts for 37 yards, so the fantasy points floor is extremely low if the Packers keep close to the same game plan against the Titans. Reed is a low-end flex play for Week 3 based on the lack of opportunity should Willis start again.

From RotoBaller

Rachaad White Sep 20 5:40pm CT
Rachaad White

Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Rachaad White (groin) was upgraded to a full practice participant on Friday and was removed from the final Week 3 injury report. White will be active on Sunday versus the visiting Denver Broncos despite suffering a groin injury in the Week 2 win over the Detroit Lions. He was limited in the first two practices this week before upgrading to full on Friday. The 25-year-old's poor performance through two weeks of the 2024 season and the fact he's coming off an injury don't really make him an all that attractive RB2, with the possibility that backup Bucky Irving could get more work this weekend. White has averaged a weak 2.0 yards per carry on his 25 rushing attempts (49 yards) through the first two games. The good news is that White is facing a Broncos defense that was terrible against the run last year, and they've allowed the 11th-most half-PPR points to RBs so far in 2024.

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Josh Jacobs Sep 20 5:30pm CT
Josh Jacobs

Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs (back) has had his practice reps limited this week, but enters the weekend off of the injury report. Jacobs is good to go this weekend and should inspire some confidence this week against the Tennessee Titans after last week's game plan with starting quarterback Malik Willis. While the Packers will still use Jacobs as a workhorse running back regardless of quarterback, the Packers clearly designed their entire offense around it in Week 2 with just 14 pass attempts and 53 rushing attempts. Jacobs rushed the ball 32 times for 151 yards in the Packers' 16-10 win last week, and another big workload means a top-12 fantasy finish may be in order yet again in Week 3. Love may return from injury to play in Week 3, but it's more likely Willis is in at quarterback for another week. Either way, fire up Jacobs as a locked-in RB1.

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Amon-Ra St. Brown Sep 20 5:30pm CT
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (quadriceps) practiced in full all week and was removed from the final Week 3 injury report on Friday. St. Brown will be active this Sunday as the team takes on the Arizona Cardinals on the road. There was never much concern about whether the 24-year-old would play this weekend after leaving the Week 2 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers temporarily due to a quad contusion and cramping. He bounced back last week with 11 catches on 18 targets for 119 yards after going for three grabs and only 13 receiving yards in the season-opening win over the Los Angeles Rams. Fantasy managers need to keep St. Brown locked into all starting lineups against a Cardinals defense that has surrendered the 10th-most half-PPR fantasy points to opposing wideouts through the first two weeks of the season against the Bills and Rams.

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Raheem Mostert Sep 20 5:30pm CT
Raheem Mostert

Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert (chest) is officially listed as doubtful to suit up in Week 3 on the road at Lumen Field on Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks. It appears as though Mostert needs another week of recovery, which isn't a surprise after head coach Mike McDaniel said he was "pessimistic" about Mostert playing earlier on Friday. Mostert suffered a chest injury in the Week 1 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars and sat out on a short week last Thursday in the blowout loss to the division-rival Buffalo Bills. With quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) out for the foreseeable future, look for Miami to lean on running back De'Von Achane heavily against Seattle this weekend. Achane saw 29 touches against Buffalo last week. With Mostert likely out a second straight week, Jeff Wilson Jr. and rookie Jaylen Wright will be sprinkled in when Achane needs a blow.

From RotoBaller

Malik Willis Sep 20 5:20pm CT
Malik Willis

Green Bay Packers quarterback Malik Willis is likely to get another start this week as the Packers head to Nashville to take on the Tennessee Titans in Week 3. With Jordan Love (knee) officially questionable on the Packers' injury report, the door is open for Love, but realistically, Willis is a pretty solid favorite to start and play in Week 3. Willis' first start with the Packers against the Colts in Week 2 was carefully managed as he completed 12-of-14 passes for 122 yards and a touchdown, while also adding 41 rushing yards. Head coach Matt LaFleur didn't ask Willis to do too much, but Willis didn't turn the ball over and let the run game do the heavy lifting. The Packers likely mimic the same approach in Week 3 as Green Bay should run the ball with heavy volume and use the pass as a change of pace. Consider Willis a low-end QB2 and a weaker streaming candidate in fantasy this week against Tennessee.

From RotoBaller

Nick Bosa Sep 20 5:20pm CT
Nick Bosa

San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa (rib) and cornerback Charvarius Ward (hamstring, knee) are both listed as questionable to face the division-rival Los Angeles Rams in Week 3 action on Sunday. Bosa was not on the first injury report of the week, suggesting he picked up his rib injury during practice on Thursday. Fantasy managers in IDP leagues need to have a backup plan ready in case Bosa is ruled out on Sunday, and it makes things more difficult that the Niners-Rams don't kick off until the later window this weekend. Through the first two weeks in 2024, the All-Pro pass-rusher has seven tackles (five solo) and two sacks for a vaunted Niners D. If Bosa is active, he needs to be in all starting IDP lineups while going up against a banged-up Rams offensive line and offense that is without top receivers Cooper Kupp (ankle) and Puka Nacua (knee).

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Brayden Narveson Sep 20 5:10pm CT
Brayden Narveson

Green Bay Packers kicker Brayden Narveson has been a top-12 fantasy kicker in his first two starts in the NFL, but can he make it a third straight? He'll head with the Packers to Tennessee to play the Titans in Week 3 and has put up 11 and 12 fantasy points against the Eagles and Colts. He's made three field goals in both starts, while also missing one field goal. Narveson has not missed an extra point attempt this season and the Packers could be a sneaky offense to get him into field goal position to knock a couple field goals through. The outlook for the Packers looks much better if Jordan Love (knee) can shake his questionable tag and play in Week 3, but even if the starter is Malik Willis, Narveson should be at worst a streaming option at kicker. Just know the floor for Narveson is very low if the wheels fall off for either quarterback.

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George Kittle Sep 20 5:10pm CT
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (hamstring) is officially listed as doubtful to play in Week 3 on Sunday against the division-rival Los Angeles Rams after missing practice the last two days. Running back Christian McCaffrey (Achilles, calf) is on Injured Reserve, and receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) has been ruled out as well, so the Niners' offense is extremely banged up early in the year. It's bad news for fantasy managers that have been rolling with quarterback Brock Purdy as their QB1. With Kittle unlikely to play on Sunday, look for both Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings to handle as many targets as they can. Eric Saubert is expected to be the team's starting TE with Kittle out, although he's not a recommended fantasy streamer, as Jake Tonges could also be involved as a pass-catcher. Hopefully Kittle will be ready to return in Week 4 at home against the New England Patriots.

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Deebo Samuel Sep 20 5:10pm CT
Deebo Samuel

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) has officially been ruled out for the Week 3 game this Sunday versus the division-rival Los Angeles Rams on the road. It doesn't come as much of a surprise after Samuel was unable to practice all week after suffering a calf injury in the Week 2 loss to the Minnesota Vikings. The 28-year-old is expected to miss multiple weeks, so fantasy managers can't assume that he'll be back for a Week 4 matchup against the New England Patriots. Running back Christian McCaffrey (Achilles, calf) is on Injured Reserve, and tight end George Kittle (hamstring) is doubtful to play this weekend, which leaves Brandon Aiyuk and Jauan Jennings as the Niners' top two pass-catchers. Without CMC, Samuel and Kittle, fantasy managers need to be downgrading quarterback Brock Purdy to QB2 territory against LA.

From RotoBaller

Anthony Richardson Sep 20 5:00pm CT
Anthony Richardson

The Green Bay Packers defense and special teams unit travels to Tennessee to face the Titans in Week 3, and the Packers should be in line for a solid day from their D/ST unit in fantasy. Green Bay kept Anthony Richardson and the Indianapolis Colts in check as they gave up just 10 points, forced three interceptions and sacked him once. They go from Richardson to Will Levis, who we know is prone to making mistakes with the football. Levis has given up seven sacks and thrown three interceptions in two games, so the floor for the Packers is very high. When looking at defensive matchups, the Packers are in a good spot this week, where they end up in the periphery of the top 12 options in fantasy. They're a solid option this week if you don't have a tippy-top option at the position.

From RotoBaller

Will Levis Sep 20 4:50pm CT
Will Levis

Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis will take on the Green Bay Packers in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season. Both of Levis' first two games to start the year have been overshadowed by two embarrassing and costly turnovers, but the 2nd-year QB has shown glimpses of why he was almost a top-10 pick once upon a time. The Titans have played two great defenses thus far, especially in the secondary, so it's not surprising that it's been a slow start for the Kentucky product. Week 3 doesn't look a whole lot easier with the Green Bay Packers coming to town, a team that boasts a lot of talent on defense. With Malik Willis likely starting at QB for Green Bay, the Titans will likely not need to score a ton of points to win on Sunday and the game plan should feature a heavy dose of running back Tony Pollard. Levis is only a low-end QB2 for this upcoming matchup against a stout defense.

From RotoBaller

Tony Pollard Sep 20 4:50pm CT
Tony Pollard

Tennessee Titans running back Tony Pollard faces the Green Bay Packers in Week 3. While the Titans' coaching staff keeps implying that Tyjae Spears will get more touches, Pollard continues to dominate the backfield work for Tennessee. The former Cowboy has received 25 more touches than Spears through two weeks and has also been more efficient with these opportunities. With Spears potentially sitting out or at the very least limited with an ankle injury this week, Pollard is an absolute smash play that should see a ton of volume against a run defense that has been gashed in both games to start the year. Fantasy managers should start Pollard with confidence this week.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Ridley Sep 20 4:50pm CT
Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley is up against the Green Bay Packers in Week 3 NFL action. The former Alabama star broke out in a big way last week, scoring 24.7 points - good for a WR6 finish against one of the league's best secondaries. It's clear that Ridley still has major juice, and might be heading into matchup-proof territory if he can produce against another tough defensive unit that features Jaire Alexander, another stud cornerback. This passing offense is very inconsistent right now with quarterback Will Levis playing sporadically, but Ridley is far and away the top option on this team and should see another smattering of targets this coming week. Ridley checks in as a mid-tier WR2.

From RotoBaller

DeAndre Hopkins Sep 20 4:50pm CT
DeAndre Hopkins

Tennessee Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins takes on the Green Bay Packers in Week 3. It's been a forgettable start to the year for the veteran wideout, who has logged only two catches for seventeen yards through the first couple of games. The snap counts and target volume indicate that Hopkins is still potentially hampered from a torn MCL suffered in July, but regardless, the production is a concern. With the Titans passing offense in flux and Calvin Ridley being the alpha WR at the moment, it's hard to justify starting Hopkins in any format. The former All-Pro is better left on benches until he looks fully back to normal.

From RotoBaller

Jordan Love Sep 20 4:50pm CT
Jordan Love

The Tennessee Titans defense/special teams will attempt to hold serve against the Green Bay Packers offense in Week 3. Tennessee ranks #1 in the league in total yards allowed through two weeks, but is only the 20th ranked fantasy defense due to the lack of turnovers forced. The unit has only accounted for one turnover, which has limited their ability to score fantasy points. The fantasy viability of this defense almost solely hinges on the health of quarterback Jordan Love, who is currently dealing with a sprained MCL. If Love is unable to go, former Titans quarterback Malik Willis will be under center, which should have the Titans D/ST licking their chops. Willis has been a mistake-prone, ineffective player during his short career, which should give the Titans plenty of opportunities to create turnovers in this one. If Love does in fact play, this unit remains a decent stream, but will not be nearly as attractive an option.

From RotoBaller

D.K. Metcalf Sep 20 4:10pm CT
D.K. Metcalf

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf (hand) is off the injury report and is set to play on Sunday against the Miami Dolphins. The 26-year-old wideout did not practice on Wednesday due to a hand injury but returned as a full participant on Thursday. He now enters the weekend without an injury designation. Fantasy managers should expect Metcalf to serve as the No.1 option for Geno Smith this weekend. After catching only three passes in the opening week, Metcalf caught ten passes for 129 yards and a score against the New England Patriots last week. Fantasy managers should view Metcalf as a high-end WR2 this weekend and should be locked into all starting lineups.

From RotoBaller