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FFL: Week 3 | NFL: Week 3

RB Strength of Schedule

Tue May 28 9:03am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Robinson setup for big season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the running back position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to running backs last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the running backs with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the running backs that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  RB SOS  
1. Green Bay Packers 356.01
2. Houston Texans 361.46
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 361.46
4. Las Vegas Raiders 361.48
5. Seattle Seahawks 362.28
6. Buffalo Bills 363.19
7. Arizona Cardinals 363.76
8. Dallas Cowboys 363.9
9. Jacksonville Jaguars 364.51
10. Washington Commanders 364.86
11. Chicago Bears 364.89
12. Indianapolis Colts 365.41
13. San Francisco 49ers 365.86
14. New Orleans Saints 366.49
15. New York Jets 368.23
16. Detroit Lions 368.49
17. Philadelphia Eagles 369.05
18. Minnesota Vikings 369.06
19. Carolina Panthers 369.88
20. Cleveland Browns 370.34
21. Kansas City Chiefs 371.71
22. New York Giants 372.21
23. Los Angeles Chargers 373.19
24. Denver Broncos 373.32
25. Cincinnati Bengals 373.66
26. Los Angeles Rams 374.09
27. Baltimore Ravens 374.16
28. New England Patriots 375.60
29. Atlanta Falcons 376.19
30. Miami Dolphins 377.49
31. Tennessee Titans 378.2
32. Pittsburgh Steelers 378.72


The two teams with the easiest fantasy schedules for running backs are the Steelers and Titans, which is interesting because both teams could platoon running backs. The Steelers split the work between Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren. And the Titans are likely to use both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears. All four backs could be setup for solid seasons with favorable schedules. It is always scary to take a back that might split work but seeing these positive schedules could make pulling the trigger on them a little easier come draft day. All four could be top flex plays for fantasy teams.

The Dolphins had huge success running the ball last year and could have similar solid production this season with the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs. Devon Achane is really looking good in year two. He is expected to get more work and likely lead the backfield in touches. Raheem Mostert had a career season last year and a great schedule but he carries a little more risk. He is 32 years old and now has rookie Jaylen Wright pushing him for playing time. Just something to keep in mind come draft day.

The Falcons are another team with a top-five favorable running back schedule, making Bijan Robinson a very intriguing pick this year. Robinson had a bit of a disappointing rookie season, but a new coaching staff and really favorable schedule make Robinson a huge breakout candidate. He is moving up draft rankings in a hurry and is capable of finishing first overall in fantasy running back scoring because of his skill set.

Rhamondre Stevenson is a possible rebound candidate. He was slowed by injury last year but is back healthy and with the fifth easiest schedule for running backs. Stevenson has shown in the past he can be a big-time fantasy back. Things are looking up for him this year, making him a good buy-low candidate.

The Packers had the easiest fantasy schedule for quarterbacks but get the toughest for running backs. This isn’t great news for new back Josh Jacobs. It is hard to bet against the productive back, though. You just might want to temper expectations for him this coming year. Jacobs could have a few down weeks, especially for his standards.

The Texans signed Joe Mixon to shore up their running back spot, but he carries some concerns. He wasn’t highly productive the last few seasons besides all his scores and now gets the second toughest schedule for running backs. Plus, the Texans are likely to be a pass heavy team, which could limit his workload a little. Mixon could end up being a boom or bust player.

Tampa also has a unfavorable fantasy schedule for running backs. Rachaad White had a big season last year but padded his numbers because of all his work in the passing game. That might be a similar scenario for him, having a tough time to run with this schedule. The positive for White is he is very good in the passing game. You have to worry about his rushing totals, though.

The Raiders haven’t really settled on a starting running back, but Zamir White is likely to get first shot at the job. That is great news for his fantasy value but the not so great news is his tough fantasy schedule. This could limit the ceiling of White a little. He has risk to begin with because it isn’t 100 percent certain he wins the job. This makes him a bit of a scary pick for fantasy teams.

Kenneth Walker didn’t have quite the breakout second season many hoped but was fairly productive with his work. And the good news is Zach Charbonnet didn’t really put a big dent in his workload. The Seahawks seem happy with Walker as the lead back. The unfortunate news for Walker is he has the fifth toughest fantasy running back schedule. Walker might fail to reach his lofty expectations once again in year three.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy running backs. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the running backs with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  RB PLAYOFF SOS  
1. San Francisco 49ers 291.43
2. Washington Commanders 325.2
3. Houston Texans 327.8
4. Pittsburgh Steelers 332.03
5. New York Jets 337.57
6. Cleveland Browns 340.8
7. Las Vegas Raiders 341.1
8. Miami Dolphins 348.27
9. Chicago Bears 350.37
10. Buffalo Bills 350.53
11. Arizona Cardinals 352.8
12. Dallas Cowboys 358.87
13. Detroit Lions 359.7
14. New York Giants 365.67
15. Kansas City Chiefs 366.53
16. Green Bay Packers 368.97
17. Seattle Seahawks 370.23
18. Carolina Panthers 377.15
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 378.37
20. Los Angeles Chargers 380.73
21. Jacksonville Jaguars 381
22. Baltimore Ravens 381.43
23. Cincinnati Bengals 383.50
24. Philadelphia Eagles 391.07
25. New England Patriots 397.95
26. Indianapolis Colts 398.40
27. Denver Broncos 399.53
28. Tennessee Titans 401.63
29. Los Angeles Rams 403.92
30. New Orleans Saints 406.33
31. Minnesota Vikings 407.87
32. Atlanta Falcons 422.4

 

There are two teams with a top-five favorable schedule for fantasy running backs for both the regular season and playoffs. Those teams are the Falcons and Titans. Atlanta actually has the easiest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. Robinson was looking good even before hearing this news but looks even better now. He is making a strong case to be the second running back off the board come draft day.

And Pollard and Spears are intriguing running back options with schedules that could produce big for both during the regular season and playoffs. You just have to worry about one back emerging to grab most of the work. If that happens, one of these backs could end up being a bust.

Minnesota has the second easiest playoff schedule for running backs. Aaron Jones has some injury concerns after the last few seasons, but he could be setup for a big workload with an unsettled quarterback situation in Minnesota. Jones has some good upside with his new team, especially during the playoffs.

One other team to mention for the playoff is New Orleans. Alvin Kamara isn’t getting any younger but remains the lead back and still productive. He still seems to have something left in the tank and could be a big fantasy factor for at least one more season, especially when it matters most in the playoffs. He could be a difference maker, having the third easiest fantasy schedule for running backs.

Houston is the lone team in both the top five for the toughest regular season and playoff fantasy running back schedules. This is an obvious concern for Mixon. He is looking more and more like a player you might to avoid come draft day. He might have some big games along the way in this great offense, but you have to wonder about his consistency and playoff performance.

So the top rated fantasy back, Christian McCaffrey, also has the toughest fantasy playoff schedule for running backs. You aren’t fading McCaffrey because of this. He is one of those rare backs that it doesn’t really matter who he plays. McCaffrey will produce. We still think he is the clear No. 1 fantasy back. He can still get it done in the playoffs.

Washington has Brian Robinson and Austin Ekekler likely splitting the work at running back, which hurts both their fantasy values. They also get the second most difficult playoff schedule for running backs. We wouldn’t reach too early for either back because of this.

The Steelers have the easiest fantasy running back schedule during the playoffs but fourth toughest for the playoffs. This is a tough one. Both backs have potential for good things, showing they can co-exist last year and produce well for fantasy teams. You just have to wonder if fading in the playoffs will make all that good work during the regular season all for nothing.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Bender's Starts/Sits: Week 3

Player Notes
Chris Olave Sep 23 3:20am CT
Chris Olave

New Orleans Saints wide receiver Chris Olave led the team in production in Week 3, catching all six of his targets for 80 yards and snagging the go-ahead touchdown with two minutes left in what ended up being a 15-12 loss to the Eagles. Olave was also on the receiving end of New Orleans' longest play of the day, a 29-yard pass that helped to set up his eventual score. Olave's production was one of the few bright spots in the game as Derek Carr fought against heavy pressure and had a difficult time delivering the ball to other receivers. Fellow wideout Rashid Shaheed came up empty on his five targets and Alvin Kamara ended up as the second-leading receiver with three catches for 40 yards. In Week 4, the Saints face the Atlanta Falcons, who just gave up 110 yards and a touchdown to Rashee Rice.

From RotoBaller

Rashid Shaheed Sep 23 3:20am CT
Rashid Shaheed

Wide receiver Rashid Shaheed had five targets in the New Orleans Saints' 15-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 3. Unfortunately, he finished the game without a single reception to the dismay of fantasy managers (not to mention Saints fans) who were expecting another big game against a secondary that has looked vulnerable in the young season. The explosive receiver, who caught a touchdown in each of the first two games in 2024, was in line for another score on two occasions in the game. On the first attempt, Derek Carr underthrew Shaheed, forcing him to turn back into his defender just to get a hand on the ball. Then in the fourth quarter, Darius Slay was in the right place at the right time to disrupt what would have been a 25-yard score. Shaheed and the Saints will try to get back to their high-scoring ways against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 4.

From RotoBaller

Carl Granderson Sep 23 3:20am CT
Carl Granderson

The New Orleans Saints D/ST put up a solid effort from a fantasy perspective in Week 3. In what was expected to be a shootout between two dynamic offenses, the Saints gave up only 15 points in their loss to the Philadelphia Eagles. The squad had four sacks in the game, seven tackles for a loss, and recorded two takeaways. Safety Tyrann Mathieu intercepted a pass in the Saints' end zone to start the second quarter and the Eagles' next possession ended on a Jalen Hurts fumble, forced by defensive end Carl Granderson and recovered by Willie Gay. Perhaps most exciting was the blocked punt by J.T. Gray in the third quarter that set New Orleans up at Philadelphia's 27-yard line. Unfortunately, the Saints seemingly had no answer for Saquon Barkley on Sunday who ended the game with 147 rushing yards and two fourth-quarter touchdowns. Pending Monday's results, the Saints D/ST ranks fifth in fantasy points scored and could be in store for another double-digit game against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 4.

From RotoBaller

Alvin Kamara Sep 23 3:10am CT
Alvin Kamara

The New Orleans Saints relied heavily on running back Alvin Kamara against the Eagles in Week 3. He ended the game with 26 carries for 87 rushing yards and caught all three of his targets for 40 yards through the air. Kamara handled the ball nine times on the Saints' 17-play opening drive that chewed up half of the first quarter and later turned to him on seven consecutive plays across their first two drives of the second half. New Orleans remained dedicated to force-feeding their dynamic back even though their offensive line could not make much headway against Philadelphia's defensive front. Over the first two weeks of the season, Kamara had 10 runs of 10 yards or more but didn't break a gain that big until the fourth quarter when he turned loose for 16 yards, one of just five carries that went for more than five yards on Sunday. In Week 4, Kamara and the Saints will face off against the division-rival Atlanta Falcons.

From RotoBaller

Eric Saubert Sep 23 12:40am CT
Eric Saubert

San Francisco 49ers tight end Eric Saubert was minimally involved but efficient in the team's passing game during a 27-24 loss to the Rams in Los Angeles. Saubert, filling in for George Kittle (hamstring), did good work in the run-block game and caught two-of-two targets for 41 yards. There are no updates on Kittle's injury at this time, but there are no indications that he's dealing with a multiple-week injury. Even if Kittle were to miss again, it seems likely that Sunday's performance is on the high side of what might be expected from Saubert in Week 4 versus the New England Patriots.

From RotoBaller

Adonai Mitchell Sep 23 12:20am CT
Adonai Mitchell

Indianapolis Colts rookie wide receiver Adonai Mitchell could not reel in his only target of the day in the team's 21-16 win over the Chicago Bears. Mitchell took the biggest hit in snaps with the return of WR Josh Downs, who missed the season's first two games with an ankle injury. Mitchell played on just seven snaps, running two routes, receiving one target. Fantasy managers who were keeping the rookie on their radar will want to make note of the loss of opportunities with the return of Downs. He can remain benched in all formats barring any significant changes in playing time moving forward.

From RotoBaller

Jauan Jennings Sep 23 12:20am CT
Jauan Jennings

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Jauan Jennings erupted in a 27-24 loss to the Rams in Los Angeles on Sunday. All he did filling in for Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) was catch 11 of 12 targets for 175 yards and three touchdowns, not only nearly doubling Malik Nabers' overall WR2 performance, but leading all players at any position in fantasy thus far in Week 3. For gamers who took a lineup risk, Jennings caught the wide-open ones and the ridiculous ones alike, catching 10 straight after having the ball jarred loose on his first target. Jennings' output today obliterates his previous best outing when he had 94 yards and two touchdowns in the last game of his rookie year, 2021. Samuel Sr. is not expected to reclaim his starting role next week at home against the New England Patriots, so Jennings is in line for more opportunities to produce. He'll be a top waiver target in most leagues heading into Week 4.

From RotoBaller

Trey Sermon Sep 23 12:10am CT
Trey Sermon

Indianapolis Colts running back Trey Sermon ran the ball two times for 16 yards and a touchdown in the team's win over the Chicago Bears. Sermon was out-touched by RB Jonathan Taylor 23-2, but he did receive a carry on the goal line, and he was able to punch in for a touchdown. It's clear that Taylor is the only fantasy-viable running back in this offense given the current splits in usage, but it is worth noting that Sermon has been the only back outside Taylor to see touches on the season. Fantasy managers with Taylor on their roster should look to ensure they are rostering Sermon in the event of injury. Aside from that, Sermon is off the radar in the team's upcoming Week 4 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

From RotoBaller

Michael Pittman Jr. Sep 23 12:00am CT
Michael Pittman Jr.

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. caught four of his five targets for 36 yards in the team's 21-16 win against the Chicago Bears. While Pittman has retained his elite target share in this offense, the team's lack of production through the air has continued to hurt his fantasy production. Pittman led the team in snaps with 47, was tied with WR Alec Pierce for most routes run with 20, and tied with WR Josh Downs for most targets with five. Pittman and the Colts now gear up for a Week 4 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, a defense that has allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers in the young season. Given his lack of production thus far paired with a tougher matchup, fantasy managers can view Pittman as a WR3/4 option in Week 4.

From RotoBaller

Jahmyr Gibbs Sep 23 12:00am CT
Jahmyr Gibbs

Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 16 times for 83 yards during Sunday's win over the Arizona Cardinals. He didn't catch a pass in the contest, but he did take a lateral from Amon-Ra St. Brown for an extra 20 yards into the end zone. He finished the day with over 100 scrimmage yards and the score, giving him 16-plus fantasy points in each of the Lions' three games this year (PPR scoring). Gibbs has been out-produced by David Montgomery so far, but both running backs have emerged as very strong fantasy options. The 22-year-old is a fringe RB1 heading into Week 4 against the Seattle Seahawks.

From RotoBaller

Amon-Ra St. Brown Sep 23 12:00am CT
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown turned eight targets into seven catches for 75 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's win over the Arizona Cardinals. The 24-year-old has bounced back ever since a subpar Week 1 performance. In two games since then, he has 18 catches, 194 yards, one touchdown, and more than 43 fantasy points (PPR). Despite his role in a crowded offense, St. Brown should continue to be started as a strong WR1 option in all fantasy leagues ahead of Week 4 versus the Seattle Seahawks.

From RotoBaller

Josh Downs Sep 23 12:00am CT
Josh Downs

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Josh Downs grabbed three of his five targets for 22 yards in the team's 21-16 win over the Chicago Bears. This was Downs first game played this season, being sidelined for a few weeks with an ankle injury he suffered over the summer. Downs was implemented into a starting role in the matchup, replacing the spot where WR Adonai Mitchell had played for the first two games. Downs was also tied with Michael Pittman Jr. for most targets with five. While it is encouraging for fantasy managers to see Downs reclaim a starting role in his return from injury, he, alongside the other Colts' receivers, have all struggled to produce with the lack of volume in this passing offense. He'll gear up for a Week 4 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, a team that's allowed the eighth-fewest points to receivers this season. Fantasy managers in most formats can leave Downs on the bench in their upcoming matchup, with the exception of managers in deeper leagues in need of a flex option.

From RotoBaller

Brandon Aiyuk Sep 22 11:50pm CT
Brandon Aiyuk

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk once again disappointed in a 27-24 loss to the Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. His final line amounted to five catches of 10 targets for 48 yards and no touchdowns. While technically an improvement from last week -- which was itself an improvement from Week 1 -- today's game had to sting for fantasy managers. Aiyuk's inefficiency juxtaposed with backup wideout Jauan Jennings' capture of all three receiving categories was frustrating, especially since we're almost a month removed from Aiyuk starting team workouts after a lengthy holdout. It's worth noting that Aiyuk's fantasy day -; and the 49ers' -; could have ended very differently had quarterback Brock Purdy seen him streaking down the middle wide-open behind the Rams' secondary in San Francisco's penultimate drive. Aiyuk's frustration was apparent when he was involved in a scuffle after San Francisco's last-gasp lateral play bounced off his hands near the Rams' sideline. There are no indications that any disciplinary action will follow. Perhaps Aiyuk will have renewed fire when the 49ers host the New England Patriots in Week 4.

From RotoBaller

David Montgomery Sep 22 11:50pm CT
David Montgomery

Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery rushed 23 times for 105 yards and one touchdown during Week 3 versus the Arizona Cardinals. He also caught all three of his targets for an additional 17 yards through the air. Montgomery has looked incredible so far this season, totaling 285 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns. He has found the end zone in each of the Lions' three games so far, producing even more fantasy points than fellow running back Jahmyr Gibbs. As the Lions continue to emphasize winning games through the rushing attack, Montgomery remains a fringe RB1 option in fantasy football. He's a must-start running back for Week 4 against the Seattle Seahawks.

From RotoBaller

Will Levis Sep 22 11:40pm CT
Will Levis

Tennessee Titans head coach Brian Callahan re-affirmed his commitment to Will Levis as the team's starting quarterback ahead of Week 4, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo. Levis' poor play and poor decision-making have been a major factor in the Titans' 0-3 start, but the organization is still holding out hope that the former second-round pick can turn things around. Through three games so far, Levis has 579 passing yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions. He also has 86 rushing yards, 15 sacks, and three lost fumbles. Outside of the moderate rushing production, these are abysmal numbers from the 25-year-old. Perhaps he'll be able to bounce back next week against a declining Miami Dolphins team that is dealing with major offensive struggles amidst injuries to Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), Skylar Thompson (rib), and Raheem Mostert (chest).

From RotoBaller

Alec Pierce Sep 22 11:40pm CT
Alec Pierce

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce caught one of his two targets for 44 yards in the team's 21-16 win against the Chicago Bears. Pierce's 44-yard grab from QB Anthony Richardson came in the second quarter and was the team's longest play from scrimmage. The third-year receiver has been the most productive pass-catcher for the Colts this season but fell behind Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs in targets on Sunday. While Pierce has put together a string of productive games for Indy, the Colts' passing offense under Richardson remains inconsistent and underwhelming in terms of volume. The Colts now gear up for a Week 4 matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers, a team that's allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing receivers this season. With his lack of a floor and a tougher matchup, fantasy managers should look elsewhere for a WR3/Flex option next week.

From RotoBaller

Adam Thielen Sep 22 11:40pm CT
Adam Thielen

Carolina Panthers wide receiver Adam Thielen (hamstring) will undergo an MRI on Monday, he told David Newton of ESPN.com. Thielen exited in the second half of Sunday's game against the Las Vegas Raiders after suffering an apparent hamstring injury while making a diving touchdown catch. The veteran flashed a strong rapport with Andy Dalton in their limited time together on Sunday afternoon, catching three passes for 40 yards and the touchdown. Thielen noted that he and the team will know more about his injury after Monday's MRI. If he's cleared to play in Week 4, he'd rank as a solid WR3/FLEX play in an offense that has suddenly shown signs of life with Dalton under center.

From RotoBaller

Baker Mayfield Sep 22 11:40pm CT
Baker Mayfield

The Denver Broncos defense/special teams unit really outperformed expectations in the 26-7 Week 3 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday. They held Tampa to just one touchdown on the day while creating two turnovers and seven sacks of quarterback Baker Mayfield. Safety Brandon Jones was the star of the day, picking off a pass in the first quarter and recovering a fumble late in the game, while Dondrea Tillman led the Broncos D with two sacks. Through Sunday's games, Denver's D/ST ranks second in Week 3 in fantasy points, behind only the Green Bay Packers D/ST. The Broncos defense doesn't have any big names, but they've been pretty solid through the first three weeks of the season. In Week 4, they'll be a deep-league streaming option, at best, against a New York Jets offense that looked much better in Week 3.

From RotoBaller

Sam Darnold Sep 22 11:30pm CT
Sam Darnold

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold (knee) will undergo further evaluation on Monday, according to ESPN's Kevin Seifert. The quarterback played through the injury on Sunday against the Houston Texans, throwing for 181 yards and four touchdowns. He has led the Vikings to an improbable 3-0 start and hopes to keep that momentum going into Week 4 against the Green Bay Packers. Based on his postgame comments, it doesn't sound like Darnold is too considered about his knee injury. However, he did mention that he's not sure yet whether it will limit him in practice this week. Fantasy managers invested in Darnold and the other Vikings playmakers should continue to monitor the quarterback's status when injury reports come out on Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. If healthy and active, Darnold ranks as a low-end fantasy QB1.

From RotoBaller

Josh Reynolds Sep 22 11:30pm CT
Josh Reynolds

Denver Broncos wide receiver Josh Reynolds surprisingly came into the Week 3 matchup on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with a team-high 138 receiving yards on nine catches (13 targets) through the first two weeks. Reynolds wasn't able to maintain that momentum in Sunday's 26-7 win over the Bucs, though, as he caught both of his targets for 36 yards. His two targets ranked fifth on the team behind fellow wideouts Courtland Sutton, Lil'Jordan Humphrey and rookie Troy Franklin. The 29-year-old will continue to have a role all year in this offense as long as he remains healthy, but he will most likely battle for targets behind Sutton on a weekly basis with the likes of Humphrey and rookies Franklin and Devaughn Vele, who was a healthy scratch in Week 3. Reynolds is rostered in only 4% of Yahoo leagues and should stay on the waiver wire in Week 4 against the New York Jets.

From RotoBaller