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FFL: Week 5 | NFL: Week 5

WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 5

Player Notes
Tucker Kraft Oct 4 5:40pm CT
Tucker Kraft

Green Bay Packers tight end Tucker Kraft is trending upwards for the Packers and with Luke Musgrave (ankle) not having logged any practice time this week, Kraft should be in line for a massive workload as the Packers face the Rams in Week 5. Last week, Kraft ran more routes per dropback (86%) than he has all season and came away with his best fantasy performance of the season, finishing overall TE1 on the week. After a 6-53-1 line against the Vikings, Kraft should be ready to go against the Rams, a defense that allows the highest catch rate to the tight end position. Not to mention that Romeo Doubs (personal) and Christian Watson (ankle) are both doubtful, and the target tree is likely condensed even further. Kraft is a TE1 this week and a worthy fantasy start in the majority of leagues.

From RotoBaller

Anthony Richardson Oct 4 5:40pm CT
Anthony Richardson

Jacksonville Jaguars defensive end Josh Hines-Allen (concussion) is listed as questionable for Week 5 against the division-rival Indianapolis Colts. In addition to Hines-Allen, linebackers Yasir Abdullah and Devin Lloyd and safeties Darnell Savage (quadriceps) and Daniel Thomas (hamstring) are questionable. Hines-Allen missed practice on Wednesday but was listed as limited on Thursday and Friday, so he's at least progressing through the league's concussion protocol. He still needs to be cleared by an independent neurologist in order to play on Sunday. Fantasy managers in IDP leagues need to have a backup plan in place in case the 27-year-old pass-rusher doesn't get the green light. The Jags defense/special teams unit hasn't moved the needle in fantasy in 2024, but they could be a streaming option in deeper leagues with running back Jonathan Taylor (ankle) out and quarterback Anthony Richardson (oblique) questionable.

From RotoBaller

Greg Zuerlein Oct 4 5:40pm CT
Greg Zuerlein

New York Jets kicker Greg Zuerlein will head to London to take on the Minnesota Vikings in London in Week 5. Zuerlein has been a bit erratic of late, having missed two of his six attempts over the past two games. He will look to get back on track but he may have a hard time against a Vikings defense that is allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing kickers this season. To make matters worse, the Jets offense plays slow and hasn't been very high-scoring this season, which has limited Zuerlein's attempts. He settles in outside the top-20 fantasy kickers this weekend.

From RotoBaller

Brian Robinson Jr. Oct 4 5:30pm CT
Brian Robinson Jr.

Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. (knee) was officially listed as questionable for the Week 5 contest against the Cleveland Browns. Robinson popped up on the injury report this week and was unable to practice on Wednesday and Thursday. However, he returned to the field with a limited practice on Friday to give himself a chance to play this weekend. He's expected to be a game-time decision, but the good news is he's "trending in the right direction" to be active, and we'll know whether he's active or not before the first slate of games kicks off on Sunday. Austin Ekeler is returning after a one-game absence due to a concussion, so if Robinson is active against Cleveland, he'll definitely have more competition for touches, making him more of an RB3/flex in fantasy. If B-Rob is inactive, expect Jeremy McNichols, who scored two rushing touchdowns last week, to split the backfield with Ekeler.

From RotoBaller

Tank Bigsby Oct 4 5:30pm CT
Tank Bigsby

Jacksonville Jaguars running backs Travis Etienne Jr. (shoulder) and Tank Bigsby (shoulder) were both limited in practice all week and have been removed from the final injury report for Week 5 on Friday. They will both be active on Sunday to take on the division-rival Indianapolis Colts. Even though Bigsby is coming off his best game of the year in the Week 4 loss to the division-rival Houston Texans, Etienne should be considered a strong RB2 choice for fantasy lineups with Etienne cleared to play. Etienne has averaged 4.6 yards per carry for 214 yards and two rushing touchdowns on 47 carries through the first four weeks, also catching 10 of his 15 targets for 48 yards in the air. He will continue to be Jacksonville's primary RB, but Bigsby may be a thorn in his side all year long as the Jaguars look to give Bigsby a bigger role.

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Maxx Crosby Oct 4 5:20pm CT
Maxx Crosby

Las Vegas Raiders defensive end Maxx Crosby (ankle), who missed the first game of his career in the Week 4 win over the Cleveland Browns, is listed as questionable for Week 5 against the division-rival Denver Broncos on Sunday. Crosby missed practice on Wednesday and Thursday but returned to a limited session on Friday, giving him a chance to play this weekend. Cornerback Decamerion Richardson (hamstring), safety Trey Taylor (knee) and linebacker Luke Masterson (knee) have been ruled out, while linebackers Divine Deablo (oblique) and Kana'i Mauga (calf) are questionable. Fantasy managers in IDP fantasy formats will want to return Crosby to their starting lineups if he's active, but he's not a lock to return against Denver. Against a shaky Broncos offense and a rookie QB, the Raiders D/ST is on the streaming radar this weekend, regardless of Crosby's status.

From RotoBaller

Michael Mayer Oct 4 5:20pm CT
Michael Mayer

Las Vegas Raiders tight end Michael Mayer (personal) missed practice all week and has been ruled out for the Week 5 contest on the road in Denver against the division-rival Broncos. Mayer left the team to tend to a personal matter last week, so this will be his second straight absence. It's bad timing for the 23-year-old, too, with receiver Davante Adams (hamstring) also missing a second straight game. He has taken a clear back seat to impressive rookie Brock Bowers at the position through his first three games in 2024, with Mayer catching only four of his seven targets for 21 yards and no touchdowns. Bowers disappointed last week with Adams and Mayer out, but he's a weekly TE1 play for fantasy managers. With Mayer out again this week, Harrison Bryant should have a bigger role once again behind Bowers. Bryant isn't worth starting in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

Jordan Love Oct 4 5:20pm CT
Jordan Love

Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love (knee) was limited in practice on Wednesday but turned in two full practices on Thursday and Friday and was not on the final injury report heading into Week 5's matchup with the Los Angeles Rams. Love's first game since a knee injury in Week 1 was excellent, as he shook off some early rust and ended up with 389 yards and four touchdowns as the Packers rallied but ultimately came up short against the Vikings in Week 4. That kind of passing volume was great to see and bodes well for the team going forward. The Rams have allowed the third-most passing touchdowns (8), which is a plus matchup for Love and the Packers. Love makes for an easily startable option at quarterback in what should be a fantasy-friendly matchup.

From RotoBaller

Davante Adams Oct 4 5:10pm CT
Davante Adams

Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Davante Adams (hamstring) has officially been ruled out for Week 5 against the division-rival Denver Broncos on Sunday after missing practice all week. Adams injured his hamstring last week and also missed the Week 4 win over the Cleveland Browns. His hamstring injury isn't considered too serious, but Adams is likely to sit out for the Raiders until he's traded, with him reportedly angling to be dealt to the New York Jets so that he can reunite with quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Fantasy managers have to keep him benched and hope the Raiders can work out a trade to send him out of town sooner than later. With the 31-year-old out this week and likely not playing against for the Raiders, Jakobi Meyers, Tre Tucker and DJ Turner would start in three-receiver sets. Tucker is only rostered in 17% of Yahoo leagues. He has WR4/flex appeal in deeper leagues in Week 5.

From RotoBaller

Zamir White Oct 4 5:10pm CT
Zamir White

Las Vegas Raiders running back Zamir White (groin) was considered doubtful to play in Week 5 against the division-rival Denver Broncos on Sunday, but he's now officially been ruled out after missing practice all week. The disappointing White is probably being dropped in shallower fantasy formats after disappointing through the first three weeks and now sitting out. Head coach Antonio Pierce already said after the Week 4 win over the Cleveland Browns that Alexander Mattison has deserved more touches in the backfield moving forward. Mattison will get his chance as the unquestioned lead back this weekend, albeit in a matchup against a Broncos defense that has been surprisingly strong so far in 2024. Behind Mattison, Ameer Abdullah and rookie Dylan Laube will back him up. With White officially out, Mattison jumps into RB3/flex territory for fantasy managers.

From RotoBaller

Cooper Kupp Oct 4 5:10pm CT
Cooper Kupp

The Green Bay Packers defense and special teams unit heads west to play the Los Angeles Rams in Week 5 and could be a solid unit to start in fantasy this week. The Rams' offense has been decimated by injury with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua this season, whittling the pass-catchers down to Demarcus Robinson, Tutu Atwell, and Jordan Whittington at wide receiver. This should be a plus matchup for the Packers as they have been opportunistic, to say the least. Green Bay has been a top-14 fantasy D/ST in every game they've played this season and has averaged two interceptions, one fumble recovery, and just over four sacks per game as a unit. In a plus matchup, the Packers are definitely startable in fantasy given how they've performed so far.

From RotoBaller

Brayden Narveson Oct 4 5:00pm CT
Brayden Narveson

Green Bay Packers kicker Brayden Narveson was a top-10 fantasy kicker through the first three weeks of the season, going 9-of-11 in field goal attempts while making each of his six extra-point attempts. In Week 4, the wheels fell off last week against the Vikings. Narveson missed both field goal attempts on the afternoon but converted on all three extra-point attempts in the Packers' furious comeback bid that fell short. The Packers did not release Narveson after his lackluster performance as he got a vote of confidence from head coach Matt LaFleur, but the leash on Narveson can't be too long heading into Week 5 against the Los Angeles Rams. Even with a quartet of teams on bye this week, there are safer, less volatile options as your fantasy kicker than Narveson.

From RotoBaller

Zach Ertz Oct 4 4:50pm CT
Zach Ertz

Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz tallied a season-low 22 yards in their Week 4 victory over the Arizona Cardinals but remains a solid low-end TE1 this weekend. Throughout the early part of the season, the veteran tight end has seen at least three targets in every game and averaged 7.5 PPR points. He caught a season-high 62 yards in Week 2, and a season-high five catches the following week. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels continues to improve as a passer every week, and all Washington pass catchers should eventually benefit from this. With several top options at the position on their byes (Dallas Goedert and Sam LaPorta) this week, Ertz is worth a look as he could see an uptick in opportunities with Noah Brown (groin) ruled out.

From RotoBaller

Austin Seibert Oct 4 4:50pm CT
Austin Seibert

Washington Commanders kicker Austin Seibert has remained perfect since moving to the DMV and has now entered streaming territory in Week 5. Seibert started his Washington career in an impressive manner, going 7-for-7 against the New York Giants. Over the past two weeks, Seibert has not been called upon as often, but still went a perfect 3-for-3 on attempts and 9-for-9 on extra points. The Commanders offense has looked quite impressive over the past two weeks and, as a result, has put Seibert in several scoring opportunities. The Commanders may struggle to find the end zone, facing a tough Cleveland Browns defense, making Seibert a sneaky streaming option.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Daniels Oct 4 4:40pm CT
Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels should be viewed as a high-end QB1 this weekend as he faces the Cleveland Browns. Since losing the first game of the season, the former number-two overall pick has led Washington to three straight victories. During this stretch, Daniels has averaged 24.2 PPR points per game with an average of 237 passing yards and 43 rushing yards. He has found the end zone five times (three through the air and twice with his legs) and has only turned the ball over once. Given his current performance, he should be locked into all lineups despite the difficult matchup against the Browns, who have allowed the seventh-fewest points to opposing QBs.

From RotoBaller

Austin Ekeler Oct 4 4:40pm CT
Austin Ekeler

Washington Commanders running back Austin Ekeler (concussion) logged a full practice on Thursday and Friday and is cleared to return this weekend. Despite leaving the Week 3 contest against Cincinnati early with a concussion, the former Charger found the end zone for the first time in his Washington career and tallied 57 all-purpose yards. Through the first three games, Ekeler has caught at least two passes in each of them and averaged 11.8 PPR points. This week, Brian Robinson Jr. (knee) did not practice and remains questionable heading into the weekend, which could open the door for Ekeler to see a hefty workload on Sunday. If Robinson cannot play, Ekeler should be viewed as a solid RB2 with upside. If Robinson can play, Ekeler will revert to his typical flex projection.

From RotoBaller

Jeremy McNichols Oct 4 4:40pm CT
Jeremy McNichols

Washington Commanders running back Jeremy McNichols is coming off the best game of his career and could continue to carve out a role in the Washington offense with Brian Robinson Jr. (knee) questionable for Sunday's game. Last week, the former Titan found the end zone twice on just eight carries. He totaled 68 yards. Fantasy managers in deeper formats looking for an upside running back should consider stashing McNichols over the weekend, as he could see a similar workload if Robinson cannot suit up. Austin Ekeler typically sees passing work, which could open the door for McNichols to receive double-digit carries.

From RotoBaller

Terry McLaurin Oct 4 4:40pm CT
Terry McLaurin

Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin has put his slow start behind him as he has found the end zone in each of the past two games. During this stretch, McLaurin has seen at least six targets his way, including a season-high ten last week. In addition, the top wideout averaged 19.1 PPR points during this stretch, contrasting with the 5.9 he averaged during weeks 1 and 2. Seeing how quickly Jayden Daniels has become comfortable at the helm of the offense, McLaurin's fantasy stock continues to rise weekly. Facing a tough Browns defense, he should be viewed as a WR2 with upside.

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Luke McCaffrey Oct 4 4:40pm CT
Luke McCaffrey

Washington Commanders rookie wide receiver Luke McCaffrey could be deployed as the No.2 wideout on Sunday afternoon with Noah Brown (groin) ruled out. Last week, Brown was deployed alongside Terry McLaurin, which limited McCaffrey's opportunities. However, fantasy managers should expect the Rice product to see regular playing time against the Cleveland Browns on Sunday. After tallying a season-high 44 yards in Week 3, McCaffrey took a step back in Week 4 as he caught only one pass. The 23-year-old remains a desperation flex play in 14+ team leagues as he has yet to show much consistency but could enjoy a breakout game with Brown sidelined.

From RotoBaller

Mike Williams Oct 4 4:20pm CT
Mike Williams

New York Jets wide receiver Mike Williams has slowly ramped up his production in each game this season and turned in his best effort last week, finishing with four catches for 67 yards in a 10-9 loss to the Denver Broncos. Williams will look to continue his upward ascent in Week 5's London game against the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have struggled to contain opposing receivers this season, allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to the position through four weeks. Williams should continue to earn a larger role in the offense as he gets further and further removed from a torn ACL that ended his 2023 season early. Williams is on the fantasy radar as a flex option heading into a prime matchup against the Vikings. Fantasy managers relying on Jets and Vikings players will want to set their lineups early as the London game kicks off at 9:30 AM EST on Sunday.

From RotoBaller