TE Strength of Schedule
Tue Jun 11 11:11am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer
Bowers could have big year one
Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the tight end position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to tight ends last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the tight ends with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the tight ends that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.
| TE SOS | ||
| 1. | Cincinnati Bengals | 186.39 |
| 2. | Miami Dolphins | 193.98 |
| 3. | Philadelphia Eagles | 196.38 |
| 4. | Washington Commanders | 197.75 |
| 5. | Houston Texans | 198.15 |
| 6. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 199.18 |
| 7. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 199.68 |
| 8. | New York Giants | 201 |
| 9. | Dallas Cowboys | 201.18 |
| 10. | Los Angeles Rams | 201.38 |
| 11. | Buffalo Bills | 201.39 |
| 12. | Chicago Bears | 201.66 |
| 13. | Arizona Cardinals | 201.76 |
| 14. | New York Jets | 202.56 |
| 15. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 202.86 |
| 16. | Baltimore Ravens | 203.04 |
| 17. | Denver Broncos | 203.95 |
| 18. | Los Angeles Chargers | 204.02 |
| 19. | Atlanta Falcons | 204.25 |
| 20. | Cleveland Browns | 204.59 |
| 21. | New Orleans Saints | 205.62 |
| 22. | Seattle Seahawks | 205.73 |
| 23. | San Francisco 49ers | 206.80 |
| 24. | Indianapolis Colts | 206.89 |
| 25. | Detroit Lions | 207.92 |
| 26. | New England Patriots | 208.23 |
| 27. | Kansas City Chiefs | 210.92 |
| 28. | Tennessee Titans | 211.44 |
| 29. | Green Bay Packers | 212.07 |
| 30. | Minnesota Vikings | 212.23 |
| 31. | Carolina Panthers | 213.66 |
| 32. | Las Vegas Raiders | 213.81 |
A rookie led fantasy tight ends in scoring last year and the top rated rookie tight end this year gets the easiest fantasy schedule for tight end. Brock Browers and the Raiders have the most favorable schedule for tight ends. Sam LaPorta showed last year that a rookie can make an immediate fantasy impact, so don’t discount Browers to have big-time success in year one. He certainly looks the part of an elite tight end.
Another rookie with a good chance to start has the second easiest schedule for tight ends. Panthers tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders will compete with Tommy Tremble to start, but should emerge and be the top pass-catching tight end. He is looking like a good late-round gamble for fantasy teams.
The Vikings, Packers and Titans round out the top-five most favorable schedules for tight ends. T.J. Hockenson would be looking like a great pick if he wasn’t returning from a major injury. He is no sure thing to play early in the year. But once he is healthy, he could help fantasy teams in a big way once again.
Green Bay is likely to have Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft split a lot of the work at tight end, hurting both their value. They could produce some big games along the way, though, making them decent No. 2 fantasy tight ends this season. Both produced well in an expanded role last year.
Lastly, Chin Okonkwo didn’t quite have the breakout season many hoped last year, but he wasn’t bad by any means. Maybe he gets a few more chances this year and has some bigger games along the way with this favorable schedule. He is another decent tight end to grab as your backup.
The teams that top the list for toughest fantasy tight end schedules are teams that haven’t really utilized the tight end much in recent seasons. The Bengals have the toughest schedule followed bye the Dolphins. Mike Gesicki is the starter for the Bengals, but probably isn’t worth the risk with this schedule and the Bengals recent track record with tight ends.
Miami uses their tight ends to block more than anything in their offense. They have the occasional big game, but Jonnu Smith is going to be a risky weekly fantasy play. He would have looked much better landing with a different team.
There are a couple big-time fantasy tight ends that have unfavorable schedules. Dallas Goedert has the third toughest schedule. Goedert can be a little hit or miss to begin with in this offense, so this schedule gives him a little more concern. You might want to pass on him come draft day and go with another elite tight end with a better schedule and more consistency.
Dalton Schultz is the other elite tight end with a top-five unfavorable schedule. Schultz had a big first season with the Texans, becoming a favorite target of C.J. Stroud. He should get the targets this year. But he has a challenging schedule and more to compete with for targets, so his consistency might be a little off this year compared to last.
We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy tight ends. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the tight ends with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big-money contests.
| TE PLAYOFF SOS | ||
| 1. | Atlanta Falcons | 175 |
| 2. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 182.37 |
| 3. | Philadelphia Eagles | 184.73 |
| 4. | Arizona Cardinals | 187.67 |
| 5. | Jacksonville Jaguars | 187.77 |
| 6. | New England Patriots | 189.83 |
| 7. | Miami Dolphins | 190.37 |
| 8. | New Orleans Saints | 191.3 |
| 9. | Los Angeles Rams | 192.17 |
| 10. | Pittsburgh Steelers | 192.43 |
| 11. | Cincinnati Bengals | 196.1 |
| 12. | Detroit Lions | 196.12 |
| 13. | Houston Texans | 196.2 |
| 14. | Indianapolis Colts | 198.97 |
| 15. | Buffalo Bills | 199.63 |
| 16. | Kansas City Chiefs | 203.03 |
| 17. | New York Jets | 204.13 |
| 18. | Carolina Panthers | 205.7 |
| 19. | Baltimore Ravens | 205.9 |
| 20. | Green Bay Packers | 207.7 |
| 21. | Chicago Bears | 213.73 |
| 22. | New York Giants | 214.27 |
| 23. | Seattle Seahawks | 214.72 |
| 24. | Cleveland Browns | 214.97 |
| 25. | Dallas Cowboys | 215.8 |
| 26. | Las Vegas Raiders | 219.4 |
| 27. | Washington Commanders | 220.13 |
| 28. | Denver Broncos | 220.8 |
| 29. | Minnesota Vikings | 221.72 |
| 30. | Tennessee Titans | 223.73 |
| 31. | San Francisco 49ers | 225.53 |
| 32. | Los Angeles Chargers | 228.53 |
The Titans and Vikings are the only two teams with the most favorable fantasy schedule for tight ends during the regular season and playoffs. Hockenson is the intriguing one because he might not be fully healthy until late in the season. So while he might not be a huge fantasy factor for the regular season, Hockenson might be a difference maker in the playoffs.
Okonkwo is looking like a player worth grabbing as a No. 2 fantasy tight end, especially if you have an established starter ahead of him. Okonkwo has a high fantasy ceiling for the coming year because of a schedule that could facilitate a breakout season for him.
The Chargers actually have the best fantasy playoff schedule for tight ends. Donald Parham is the likely starter and has some potential in an offense looking for playmakers in the passing game. This could be his best season to date, making him an intriguing late-round gamble.
George Kittle is the biggest name on the list for top-five favorable fantasy tight end playoff schedules. He is going to produce big and could be even better down the stretch with a schedule setup for success.
The Falcons have the most challenging playoff schedule for fantasy tight ends. This is not good news for Kyle Pitts. He is already a polarizing fantasy player, so this schedule won’t do him any favors to get in good graces with more fantasy owners. Many think he could finally turn things around this year with a new coaching staff in place, but nothing is certain with this situation. Pitts could be a boom or bust pick once again.
The Eagles are the only team on both the top five most difficult fantasy schedules for tight ends for the regular season and playoffs. Goedert is looking like a player you might want to let someone else grab come draft day. There are a lot of good, young options at tight end this year. Going with one of those guys over Goedert might be the play on draft day.
Trey McBride is a favorite for many fantasy owners this year for a breakout season. He had a huge finish to last year and is shooting up draft boards. We wouldn’t avoid him come draft day because he has the fourth toughest fantasy playoff schedule. It is a little bit of a concern, but not a huge red flag for the talented tight end. Maybe just prepare for his numbers to dip a tad during the playoffs.
Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.
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- Colts G Will Fries carted off with right lower leg injury
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- NFL fines Chargers' Denzel Perryman for hit on Kareem Hunt
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The Paur Report
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Dynasty | Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers completed 29-of-54 passes for 244 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions in a loss to Minnesota. Dynasty Analysis: After five weeks, a few things are becoming clear. First, Rodgers can still throw the bal with amazing accuracy. Second, his age and recovery from injuries is really limiting his mobility. Finally, this offense is out of synch. Rodgers has been fine but he simply isn't good enough to carry a team at this stage in his career. If the Jets fail to land someone like Davante Adams, this may be the theme all season. For the first time in his career, Rodgers doesn't look like a QB1.
Dynasty | Jets running back Breece Hall had 23 rushing yards, three catches and 14 receiving yards in a loss to the Vikings in London. Dynasty Analysis: Ouch. After five games, Hall still doesn't have 200 yards rushing or a single game with more than 62 on the year. His three touchdowns and 21 total catches have helped, but this is now getting very concerning. Braelon Allen took six more touches away today and had 28 yards of his own. It seems the Jets are fine with a two-back system and really not using either effectively. Hall is still a player to keep in your lineup but the dream of him becoming an elite RB1 this season has effectively turned into a nightmare.
Dynasty | Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson caught 13 passes for 101 yards and a touchdown on a whopping 22 targets in a loss to the Vikings in London. Dynasty Analysis: Wilson was the entire offense for the Jets while many of you were sleeping this morning. At this point, New York looks content just abandoning the run and trying to just get Wilson the football. It's great in fantasy football, but likely not sustainable. Still, this was Wilson's best game and any "buy low" window for him in dynasty leagues slammed shut across the pond.
Dynasty | Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold completed just 14-of-31 passes for 179 yards with no touchdowns and an interception in the Vikings win against the Jets. Dynasty Analysis: Darnold did what he could after losing Aaron Jones to a hip injury, but this was by far his worst game of the season. Amazingly, Darnold still sits on top of the world after five weeks with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions on the season. While he may not be completely matchup proof, he'll remain a solid QB1 option moving forward.
Dynasty | Jaguars running back Tank Bigsby had 101 rushing yards, one catch, 28 receiving yards and two touchdowns in a win against the Colts. Dynasty Analysis: Well, here we go. Bigsby had 13 carries and one catch, while Travis Etienne had just six carries and six catches for 60 total yards. At this point, this is a clear timeshare and Bigsby is looking like the "A" with Etienne as the "B." It's a huge development in dynasty leagues as Etienne's star is fading quickly while Bigsby's value is clearly on the rise.
Dynasty | Colts quarterback Joe Flacco completed 33-of-44 passes for 359 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in a loss to the Jaguars. Dynasty Analysis: It was just another day at the office for Flacco, who has made a habit of coming out of the bullpen and putting up huge games. Flacco made Deshaun Watson look pretty bad last year and his performance today didn't exactly make Anthony Richardson's early season struggles look any better. Still, it was against the Jaguars and they aren't exactly employing the Legion of Boom. Flacco will be under consideration to play again as long as Richardson sits out.
Dynasty | Colts running back Trey Sermon had 38 rushing yards, six catches, 25 receiving yards and a touchdown in a loss against Jacksonville. Dynasty Analysis: Sermon scored a late touchdown to turn a disappointing day into a decent one. His fantasy point total will be enough to make most happy but he certainly didn't do anything to make anyone forget about Jonathan Taylor. Sermon is roster worthy but he's a tough start moving forward for an offense that seems pretty hit and miss.
Dynasty | Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce had three catches for 134 yards and a touchdown in a loss against the Jaguars. Dynasty Analysis: Pierce could have easily had two scores, but was ruled down inside the five yard line on a deep catch from Joe Flacco. Pierce has turned into a bit of a one-trick pony with the deep ball being his most effective weapon, but he certainly made the most of it today. With Joe Flacco at the helm, Pierce looks to have more fantasy appeal. We'll see what happens moving forward but Pierce looks like he's at least solidified his spot on dynasty rosters this season.
Dynasty | Jaguars running back Travis Etienne had 17 rushing yards, six catches and 43 receiving yards in a win against the Colts. Dynasty Analysis: This is getting very concerning as Etienne was out-touched 14-12 by Tank Bigsby, who also posted 129 total yards and two touchdowns. It was clear this off-season the Jaguars didn't want to use Etienne as a true workhorse but few could have predicted someone would take his job at the top of the depth chart. However, it looks like that's happening at the moment as Bigsby has simply looked better through the first month of the season. Both of these players are looking like flex players at the moment and their dynasty values are clearly heading in opposite directions.
Dynasty | Colts wide receiver Josh Downs had nine catches for 69 receiving yards in a loss against Jacksonville. Dynasty Analysis: Downs was solid again this week and had 12 total targets to lead the Colts. While Michael Pittman is the clear WR1 in the offense, Downs has started to finally fulfill his potential. With Joe Flacco at the helm, it seems all the Colts pass catchers simply have more value. We'll see what happens with this group when Anthony Richardson comes back but this is very positive for Downs after being very up and down throughout his career.
Dynasty | Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas had five catches for 122 yards and a touchdown in a win against the Colts. Dynasty Analysis: Thomas has been one of the most consistent fantasy receivers in the league over the first five weeks of the year and this was just his latest solid performance. With three touchdowns in five games and a total of 34 targets in five weeks, the rookie belongs as a staple in fantasy lineups and has clearly justified a mid-first round rookie pick this off-season.
Dynasty | Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson completed 15-of-28 passes for 125 yards with one touchdown and a lost fumble in a blowout loss to Washington. Dynasty Analysis: Watson's touchdown pass came in garbage time and won't mask another terrible performance. The Browns are 1-4 and Watson has just five touchdown passes in the first five weeks of the season. He's also failed to surpass 200 passing yards in any game this season. While the return of Nick Chubb will surely help matters, it's clear Watson is simply not the player the Browns traded for and it honestly wouldn't be a surprise to see them turn to Jameis Winston at this point. Watson's dynasty value is near zero.
Dynasty | Commanders rookie Jayden Daniels completed 14-of-25 passes for 238 yards with one touchdown and one interception, while adding 82 rushing yards in a blowout win against Cleveland. Dynasty Analysis: Daniels is the real deal and may be the closest thing we've seen to Lamar Jackson since, well, Lamar Jackson. While this wasn't his best game, it may also represent a fantasy floor that's insanely high on a weekly basis. Daniels makes every routine play but also has a flair for the dramatic and looks like a true long-term QB1. If you took the plunge on Daniels this off-season, congratulations.
Dynasty | Dolphins running back Jaylen Wright had 86 rushing yards in a win against New England. Dynasty Analysis: With De'Von Achane leaving early, Wright finally got his chance to play and made the most of it. While Raheem Mostert (19 carries) was still a major factor, Wright showcased his explosive ability today. The Miami backfield is as muddy as any in the league, but Wright will remain a very solid dynasty hold and today just solidified that.
Dynasty | Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson had 89 rushing yards, four catches, three receiving yards and a touchdown in the Patriots loss to the Dolphins. Dynasty Analysis: Sure, why not. After being benched by the Patriots (and most dynasty managers), Stevenson came off the bench and had one of his best games of the season. We'll see what the Patriots do moving forward but it's hard to see Stevenson not starting again moving forward after posting a solid game and not fumbling today. He's going to remain a frustrating player to have in lineups, but today was a huge step in the right direction.
Miami Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert rushed 19 times for 80 yards in Sunday's 15-10 win over the New England Patriots. He added two receptions and 18 yards on two targets. It was the 32-year-old's first action since Week 1, and he appeared to be over the chest injury that kept him out of the prior three contests. It's unclear whether or not the plan was to give Mostert 20+ touches, but after running back De'Von Achane (concussion) was forced from the outing in the first quarter, he split the workload with rookie RB Jaylen Wright. Both backs were productive for the Dolphins, but Mostert was out-rushed by the rookie despite racking up six more carries. With Miami heading into their Week 6 bye, Achane will be afforded a larger window to clear the NFL's concussion protocol and will likely be ready to suit up when the team lines up against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 7. Presumably, the former undrafted free agent will split most of the backfield touches with the Texas A&M product in that one. However, Wright may have worked himself into the backfield rotation with his efficient outing.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns running back Jerome Ford carried the ball nine times for 47 yards and added three catches for two yards in a 34-13 loss to the Washington Commanders in Week 5. Ford turned in a quiet game in the lopsided loss as he ceded 10 touches to backup running back D'Onta Foreman in the contest. Ford was on his way to a much quieter game but he managed to rip off runs of 16 and eight yards on the Browns' touchdown drive in the fourth quarter to boost his rushing total. With Nick Chubb (knee) likely returning to the field in the next few weeks, Ford's days as a fantasy starter appear to be numbered. He will take on the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 6.
From RotoBaller
Cleveland Browns cornerback Denzel Ward (hamstring) exited Sunday's game against the Washington Commanders and was subsequently ruled out. He finished Week 5 with one tackle, bringing his season total up to eight. It's possible that the Browns' large deficit played a role in the decision to keep Ward on the sideline. Cameron Mitchell and Mike Ford are expected to handle increased opportunities until Ward is healthy enough to return. He'll look to get healthy ahead of Week 6 against the Philadelphia Eagles.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders running back Jeremy McNichols found the end zone for the second straight game on Sunday afternoon. McNichols saw most of the attempts late in the game as the Commanders had a sizeable lead against the Browns. In the second half, McNichols ran the ball seven times for 44 yards and a touchdown. Despite his limited opportunities, the 28-year-old continued his hot stretch after scoring twice and totaling 68 yards in Week 4. However, given how he only saw the field late into the game, he remains a solid stash option and a desperation flex play in deeper formats.
From RotoBaller
Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin caught four passes for 112 yards in their victory over the Cleveland Browns. McLaurin again led the team in yards and tied for a team-high eight targets. McLaurin's longest reception of the game was for 66 yards. The Commanders had a nice lead throughout most of the game and did not need to rely on their passing attack in the second half, which limited McLaurin's fantasy production. However, he remains a high-end WR2 heading into a potential shootout against the Baltimore Ravens in Week 6.
From RotoBaller
