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Playoff-clinching scenarios for Bills, Chiefs and Lions

Wed Nov 27 11:39am ET
Field Level Media

Buffalo, Kansas City and Detroit have a chance to punch their playoff tickets in Week 13.

The Bills (9-2) have the least complicated scenario. They can clinch the AFC East by beating the San Francisco 49ers at home on Sunday night, paired with a loss Thursday night by the division rival Miami Dolphins (5-6) at Green Bay.

The Chiefs (10-1) can clinch a playoff berth with a victory on Friday against the Las Vegas Raiders plus one of three other outcomes: a Miami loss or tie on Thursday; a loss by the AFC West rival Denver Broncos (7-5) Monday against Cleveland; or a loss by the division rival Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) Sunday at Atlanta plus a Denver tie.

Two-time defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City can also clinch with a tie against Las Vegas and a Miami loss.

The NFC North-leading Lions (10-1) have six potential pathways, each of them requiring a win on Thursday at home against the division rival Chicago Bears.

The Lions would also need a San Francisco loss or tie plus one of the following scenarios:

--Arizona loss or tie plus Seattle loss plus Tampa Bay loss or tie

--Arizona loss plus Seattle tie plus Tampa Bay loss or tie

--Arizona loss or tie plus Seattle loss plus Washington loss or tie plus Atlanta loss

--Arizona loss or tie plus Seattle loss plus Washington loss plus Atlanta tie

--Arizona loss plus Seattle tie plus Washington loss or tie plus Atlanta loss

--Arizona loss plus Seattle tie plus Washington loss plus Atlanta tie

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Waiver Wire Pickups: Week 13

Player Notes
Josh Downs Nov 27 4:20pm CT
Josh Downs

Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Josh Downs (shoulder) was listed as a non-participant during Wednesday's estimated practice report as the team only held a walkthrough. Downs was initially deemed "week-to-week" after sustaining this shoulder injury during their loss to the Detroit Lions last weekend. However, the team has yet to rule Downs out, so fantasy managers should continue to closely monitor his status throughout the week. However, seeing him open the week as a non-participant is not a positive sign. Before Week 12, Downs was enjoying a nice stretch of performances as he averaged a strong 17.0 PPR points per game during Weeks 8 through 11. If Downs is unable to suit up, Michael Pittman Jr., Alec Pierce (foot), and rookie Adonai Mitchell would lead the passing attack.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze Nov 27 4:10pm CT
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears rookie wide receiver Rome Odunze will look to be more productive after a quiet performance in Week 12 as he faces a tough Detroit Lions defense in Week 13. While the Lions' defense ranks second in points allowed, they've been vulnerable to the pass, ranking 25th in pass yards allowed. This could enable Odunze to see some deep shots, especially in a Bears offense that seems to be trending upward. Odunze had a quiet outing in Week 12, finishing with five receptions for 39 yards against the Minnesota Vikings. He must improve his game if the Bears hope to keep pace with the high-powered Lions offense. While he remains a risky play, Odunze has high upside as a desperation flex option this week, particularly if the Bears are forced to air it out in a potential shootout on Thanksgiving.

From RotoBaller

Darnell Mooney Nov 27 4:10pm CT
Darnell Mooney

Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Darnell Mooney (Achilles) was a limited participant during Wednesday's practice session, according to Daniel Flick of Sports Illustrated. Fantasy managers should continue to closely monitor his status, as he was dealing with this same injury prior to their Week 11 match and even left that game early with an additional hamstring injury. However, head coach Raheem Morris said Mooney is "looking good and feeling better." After catching only one pass in the season opener, Mooney has gone on to average a strong 15.8 PPR points during Weeks 2 through 10. During this span, Mooney saw 8.2 targets and brought in 74.3 yards per game. If Mooney is able to suit up, fantasy managers should view him a solid flex option facing the Los Angeles Chargers, who have allowed the 13th-fewest PPR points to opposing wideouts this season.

From RotoBaller

Cole Kmet Nov 27 4:10pm CT
Cole Kmet

Chicago Bears tight end Cole Kmet is a risky fantasy start in Week 13 as he faces a solid Detroit Lions defense. Despite the Lions ranking second in points allowed, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 25th in pass yards allowed. However, Kmet continues to be a secondary option in the Bears' offense, which has been inconsistent all season. With three solid wide receivers in the mix, Kmet has competition for targets, but his usage has started to pick up again. After a quiet middle of the season, Kmet had a promising Week 12, finishing with seven receptions for 64 yards. While the matchup is tough, he remains an intriguing fantasy play with touchdown upside, especially if the Bears are forced to throw in a potential high-scoring game. Kmet can be started as a risky option, but with the potential for a solid return if he finds the end zone.

From RotoBaller

Jared Goff Nov 27 4:10pm CT
Jared Goff

The Chicago Bears defense and special teams will look to bounce back in Week 13 as they face the talented Detroit Lions in a division-rivalry game. After a mixed performance in Week 12, where the Bears' defense allowed several big plays to the Minnesota Vikings, they now turn their attention to Jared Goff and the Lions' explosive offense. Detroit's offense has been one of the best in the league, ranking second in scoring, fourth in rushing yards, and sixth in passing yards. The Lions' two-headed rushing attack, featuring Jahmyr Gibbs and former Bear David Montgomery, has been nearly unstoppable this season. With the Bears' 20th-ranked rush defense, they may struggle to contain it. Adding to the challenge is star wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and deep threat Jameson Williams, who will test the Bears' secondary. Given the Lions' potent offense, the Bears' defense will likely be overwhelmed this week. It's advisable to bench the Bears' defense in favor of another unit with a more favorable matchup.

From RotoBaller

Cairo Santos Nov 27 4:10pm CT
Cairo Santos

Chicago Bears kicker Cairo Santos is a solid, somewhat unexciting fantasy option in Week 13 as he faces the Detroit Lions. Santos' most recent performance was a mixed bag, as he had his first field goal blocked but bounced back to make the next two attempts. While the Lions' defense ranks second in points allowed, they're not necessarily the most favorable matchup for kickers, given their ability to limit scoring opportunities. However, if the game turns into a high-scoring affair, Santos could see plenty of kicking chances, boosting his fantasy potential. Santos remains a reliable play in Week 13, particularly in leagues where kicker performance is crucial. He may have a lower upside, but he should provide solid, consistent points in a game that could offer multiple field goal attempts.

From RotoBaller

Demario Douglas Nov 27 3:50pm CT
Demario Douglas

New England Patriots wide receiver DeMario Douglas (ankle) was a limited participant during Wednesday's practice with an ankle injury, according to Evan Lazar of Patriots.com. Douglas is coming off another productive showing where he tallied 62 yards off five receptions in their loss to the Miami Dolphins last weekend. Over his past three games, Douglas has averaged a solid 57.0 yards per game and seen 6.0 targets per contest. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status throughout the week, as he has two more opportunities to upgrade to full participation before the weekend. If he can suit up, he would face a weak Indianapolis Colts defense that has allowed the 14th-most PPR points to opposing WRs this season.

From RotoBaller

Jared Goff Nov 27 3:50pm CT
Jared Goff

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff faces the Chicago Bears in a Thanksgiving Day divisional matchup. Goff is coming off a quiet fantasy performance in Week 12, completing 26 of 36 passes for 269 yards but failing to find the end zone. Over his last four games, Goff has exceeded 11 fantasy points just once, with the Lions relying heavily on their run game. The Bears' defense has been stingy against opposing quarterbacks, allowing the sixth-fewest completions and the third-fewest passing touchdowns per game. While Goff has proven capable of delivering strong performances, this matchup and the Lions' run-first tendencies could limit his upside. Fantasy managers should approach Goff as a fringe QB2 this week, with Detroit likely leaning on Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to exploit Chicago's vulnerable run defense.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Ridley Nov 27 3:50pm CT
Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley (ankle) did not participate in Wednesday's practice due to an ankle injury according to Turron Davenport of ESPN. Ridley did not show any signs of an injury during last weekend's victory over the Houston Texans but fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status throughout the week in case he continues to sit out. Last weekend Ridley continued his impressive stretch as he eclipsed 80+ receiving yards for the third time in his past five games. During this stretch, the veteran wideout has averaged a strong 90.2 receiving yards per game which is a significant increase compared to the 30.5 yards he averaged per game during the first seven weeks of the season. Fantasy managers should continue to view Ridley as a solid WR2 heading into a Week 13 tilt against the Washington Commanders.

From RotoBaller

Brandin Cooks Nov 27 3:30pm CT
Brandin Cooks

Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks (knee) has been activated off Injured Reserve ahead of their Thanksgiving showdown against the New York Giants on Thursday, according to Tom Pelissero of the NFL Network. Cooks has been sidelined since he sustained a knee infection following a procedure after their Week 4 victory over the Giants. Before the injury, Cooks was deployed as the clear No. 2 wideout in the Dallas passing attack and averaged 4.8 targets per game. However, he was relatively unproductive from a fantasy perspective and averaged a mere 6.1 PPR points per game during this small stretch. Fantasy managers should monitor his status ahead of Thursday's game, as he could be limited if he returns Thursday. If he does suit up, he should be viewed as a low-end flex option, at best, in deeper leagues and a high-risk flex play in DFS formats.

From RotoBaller

Amon-Ra St. Brown Nov 27 3:20pm CT
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Detroit Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown (knee) is listed as questionable for Thursday afternoon's divisional tilt against the Chicago Bears. After bringing in six of his seven targets for 62 yards last weekend, the star wideout popped up on the injury report on Monday with a knee injury. St. Brown sat out during Monday's practice and was able to improve his status each day and capped off the week with a full session on Wednesday. However, the Lions still opted to list the USC product as questionable. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status ahead of Thursday's kickoff but seeing him practice in full on Wednesday is a promising sign. After scoring just 4.3 PPR points in the season opener, St. Brown has gone on to average a stellar 19.9 PPR points per game since Week 2 and should always be viewed as a reliable WR1 in all matchups.

From RotoBaller

David Montgomery Nov 27 3:10pm CT
David Montgomery

Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Thursday's divisional match against the Chicago Bears. Montgomery sustained this shoulder injury during last weekend's victory over the Indianapolis Colts. The veteran RB opened the week as a non-participant during practice but was able to upgrade his stats each day and logged a full session earlier on Wednesday. Despite this, the team is still listing Montgomery as questionable. Fantasy managers should continue to monitor his status ahead of kickoff but seeing him return to practice in full participation today is a positive sign. If the 27-year-old is unable to suit up Thursday afternoon, sophomore running back Jahmyr Gibbs would see a heavy workload and have RB1 upside this weekend.

From RotoBaller

Roschon Johnson Nov 27 3:10pm CT
Roschon Johnson

Chicago Bears running back Roschon Johnson is a speculative play in Week 13 as he faces a daunting matchup against the Detroit Lions' elite run defense. Even with some injuries, Detroit's run defense is one of the toughest in the league, ranking fifth in rush yards allowed and second in points allowed. The Bears' backfield rotation continues to limit Johnson's workload, making him a risky play for fantasy managers. However, Johnson has shown enough upside to warrant attention in deeper leagues or as a sleeper pick. In limited action last week, he demonstrated his goal-line potential, rushing twice for 2 yards and a touchdown. This was his second consecutive week with a goal-line score, reinforcing that the role is firmly his. While Johnson remains a desperate running back play, his clear goal-line role gives him touchdown upside, making him worth considering as a flex or deep-league option in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Nov 27 3:10pm CT
D.J. Moore

Chicago Bears wide receiver DJ Moore is a solid WR3 option in Week 13 as he faces an advantageous matchup against the Detroit Lions. While the Lions' defense ranks second in points allowed, they are vulnerable against the pass, ranking 25th in pass yards allowed. Moore will look to build on his momentum from Week 12 when he posted seven receptions for 106 yards and a touchdown in a tough loss to the Minnesota Vikings. His touchdown came on a well-executed screen pass, showcasing his ability to make big plays in space. With the Bears likely playing from behind in this game, Moore should see plenty of targets as the team looks to exploit Detroit's weak pass defense. He's a solid flex play this week with significant upside, particularly in a matchup that could see the Bears forced into a pass-heavy game script.

From RotoBaller

Keenan Allen Nov 27 3:10pm CT
Keenan Allen

Chicago Bears wide receiver Keenan Allen will look to continue his strong play in Week 13 as he faces an advantageous matchup against the Detroit Lions secondary. While the Lions' defense ranks second in points allowed, they have struggled against the pass, ranking 25th in pass yards allowed. Allen has been a crucial part of the Bears ' offense lately, with a solid performance in Week 12 against the Minnesota Vikingswhere he hauled in nine receptions for 86 yards and led the team with 15 targets. Keeping him on your bench will be hard if he continues to see the volume he did last week. With the Bears likely needing to throw early and often in a high-scoring game, Allen should see plenty of opportunities. He's a solid flex play this week, with the potential for a strong performance if the Bears' offense stays in pass-heavy mode.

From RotoBaller

J.K. Dobbins Nov 27 2:40pm CT
J.K. Dobbins

Updating a previous report, Los Angeles Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh said on Wednesday that running back J.K. Dobbins (knee) is "working through something with his knee" and "will miss some time." It was reported earlier that Dobbins will miss the Week 13 game against the Atlanta Falcons this Sunday due to an MCL sprain he suffered in Monday night's loss to the Baltimore Ravens, but this makes it sound like he could miss more time beyond Week 13. If that's the case, expect rookie Kimani Vidal to factor in a Bolts backfield that will also include Gus Edwards and Hassan Haskins. Edwards will likely see the bulk of the backfield touches this weekend, although he's more of a touchdown-dependent RB3/flex that doesn't factor into the passing game. Vidal and Haskins will likely fight for change-of-pace work behind Edwards. Dobbins deserves to be stashed in all fantasy formats for now.

From RotoBaller

Romeo Doubs Nov 27 2:30pm CT
Romeo Doubs

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs (concussion) has been ruled out for the Thursday night contest against the Miami Dolphins in Week 13. Doubs suffered a concussion in the Week 12 win over the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, making it unrealistic for him to play on Thanksgiving night on such a short turnaround. Now that he's officially out, Doubs will hope to make progress in the league's concussion protocol in order to suit up for next Thursday night's divisional tilt against the Detroit Lions. With Doubs out against Miami, it will make all of receivers Jayden Reed, Christian Watson and Dontayvion Wicks more attractive in starting fantasy lineups in Week 13. Malik Heath, who caught a TD pass in the win over the Niners, also figures to see more opportunities as the No. 4 for Green Bay. Tight end Tucker Kraft will also have a higher ceiling as a TE1.

From RotoBaller

Jalen Coker Nov 27 2:20pm CT
Jalen Coker

Carolina Panthers head coach Dave Canales said on Wednesday that rookie wide receiver Jalen Coker (quadriceps) is unlikely to play in Week 13 on Sunday against the division-rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Coker also missed last week's loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, so the 23-year-old is trending toward missing a second straight game after not practicing on Wednesday. He will now hope to get his quad right for a Week 14 game on the road against the Philadelphia Eagles. With rookie tight end Ja'Tavion Sanders (neck) also unlikely to play this weekend, it will mean that Adam Thielen, rookie Xavier Legette and David Moore will start once again in three-receiver sets. Moore easily had his best game against the Chiefs last Sunday with Coker on the sidelines, catching six of 10 targets for 81 yards and his first touchdown of 2024.

From RotoBaller

Ja'Tavion Sanders Nov 27 2:20pm CT
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Carolina Panthers head coach Dave Canales said on Wednesday that rookie tight end Ja'Tavion Sanders (neck) is unlikely to play in Week 13 against the division-rival Tampa Bay Buccaneers this Sunday. It hardly comes as a surprise after Sanders suffered a scary head/neck injury last Sunday in the loss to the Kansas City Chiefs that required a trip to the hospital. The 21-year-old was quickly released from the hospital, though, and avoided a serious injury. He was seen at practice on Wednesday but did not participate and will most likely be inactive in Week 13. Depending on how Sanders recovers from the injury, he might not be available next week, either, to take on the Philadelphia Eagles. It's bad timing, as the rookie TE was beginning to see a bigger role as Carolina's top pass-catching tight end. Tommy Tremble will receive more opportunities this weekend against Tampa.

From RotoBaller

Caleb Williams Nov 27 2:10pm CT
Caleb Williams

This Thursday, Chicago Bears rookie quarterback Caleb Williams presents a high-risk, high-reward fantasy option as he faces the Detroit Lions. After a strong performance in Week 12 against the Minnesota Vikings, where he completed 32 of 47 passes for 340 yards and two touchdowns, Williams will look to build on that momentum. While the Lions defense ranks second in points allowed, they've been vulnerable against the pass, ranking 25th in pass yards allowed. Williams has looked increasingly comfortable in recent weeks, especially since the Bears switched offensive coordinators, which has sparked the offense. Given the Lions' potent offense, the Bears will likely be forced into a pass-heavy game script, giving Williams plenty of opportunities to accumulate fantasy points. While he remains a risky start, his high upside makes him a strong option if you're looking for a quarterback who can deliver a big performance.

From RotoBaller