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Rebuilding Year? Five potential 2025 No. 1 draft picks

Wed Sep 4 10:20am ET
Field Level Media

While the Kansas City Chiefs open the regular season as favorites to win a third consecutive Super Bowl and other contenders line up to claim the NFL throne, there are other franchises contending for another prize.

The No. 1 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft.

Carolina posted a 2-15 record last season and attempts to return to respectability with 2023 No. 1 pick Bryce Young under the tutelage of QB whisperer Dave Canales, the Panthers' latest new head coach.

The Patriots made a QB change and begin a season without Bill Belichick on the sideline for the first time in two decades, but the playoffs are likely a pipedream in Foxborough this season.

And not many expect the New York Giants, Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders to be the last team standing in New Orleans next February.

But all of them and others could be at the front of the line when the 2025 NFL Draft arrives in April.

History says there will be a quarterback -- or three -- there to meet them. Since 2000, the No. 1 pick has been used to select a quarterback. The Bears chose Caleb Williams in 2024, the 36th quarterback chosen first in the history of the draft.

With a few well-known arms at the front of the pack in September, here are five candidates to be the No. 1 pick:

Carson Beck, QB, Georgia

The odds-on favorite to be the top pick in next year's class, Beck's decision to pass on an early entry into the 2024 class seems to be a good one so far. He's more of a jack-of-all-trades but Beck's ball placement and ability to throw with anticipation to every level of the field stand out from other passers. He's not as exciting as Caleb Williams as a pure passer and total package, but he has top overall pick material and would be viewed as a safe pick.

James Pearce Jr, DE, Tennessee

Loose and bendy with surprising power for his spindly frame, Pearce is part of the new wave of pass-rushers who exit the college level in the 240 pound range. His explosive double digit sack campaign as a sophomore and his high upside follow the tracks of other recent top five pass-rushers. If he elevates his game further technically this year he could get to the top of the pack.

Jalen Milroe, QB, Alabama

A field-tilting offensive weapon, Milroe's lack of polish was evident last season. But he's the most physically gifted quarterback in college football because of a combination of elite athleticism, high-end arm talent and a knack for keeping plays alive. Milroe has the tools to leapfrog to the top of the class. If his development stagnates this year he may be better served returning to school for a second year with new coach Kalen DeBoer.

Shedeur Sanders, QB, Colorado

Well known as the son of Hall of Famer and Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders, the younger Sanders has been the victim of untrusted offensive line play so far at the FBS level. When protected -- rare as it might be -- he has shown the ability to layer throws and deliver with touch, though he can't dig out of the holes if his offense leaves him in one. He isn't out of the race yet, but another year playing behind a shoddy line could prevent Sanders from getting serious consideration as the top pick.

Deone Walker, DT, Kentucky

A mountainous defender and arguably the most unique athlete in the class, Walker towers over linemen at 6-foot-6 and 345 pounds. Despite having the frame of a hulking nose tackle, he can play all over the line and took snaps as a defensive end last year. Testing like an elite athlete and posting double digit sacks at his size could propel him up, although it's likely that he remains just a dark horse candidate rather than a likely one.

--By Mark Jarvis, Field Level Media

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Player Notes
Kadarius Toney Sep 4 9:00am CT
Kadarius Toney

Free agent wide receiver Kadarius Toney completed his visit with the Seahawks and did not leave with a contract according to ESPN's Jeremy Fowler. Fowler reports that Toney will likely take at least one more visit as he weighs his free agency options. Toney had 27 catches for 169 yards and a touchdown last season for the Chiefs. The former first-round pick out of Florida will look to catch on with a team soon after he was released by Kansas City this offseason.

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Devin White Sep 4 8:50am CT
Devin White

Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Devin White has been ruled out for Friday night's opener against the Green Bay Packers in Brazil with an ankle injury. White joined the Eagles from Tampa Bay this season after making the Pro Bowl for the Buccaneers in 2022. He is expected to have a big role this year in Philadelphia as a middle linebacker but will have to wait until Week 2 at the earliest for his Eagles debut.

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Patrick Surtain II Sep 4 8:40am CT
Patrick Surtain II

Denver Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain II has signed a four-year, $96 million extension with $77.5 million guaranteed, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. The new deal makes Surtain the highest-paid defensive back in NFL history. The two-time Pro Bowl corner saw his contract negotiated by Tory Dandy of CAA. Surtain was the ninth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft out of Alabama. He was first-team All-Pro in 2022 and has seven interceptions in his three-year NFL career.

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Ja'Marr Chase Sep 4 8:30am CT
Ja'Marr Chase

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase could need to practice on Wednesday in order to play on Sunday according to Dianna Russini of The Athletic. Chase is still without a new deal as of Wednesday morning and today is a big day in the contract negotiations in relation to Chase's availability for Week 1 according to Russini's report. Chase is a long-time Bengal and has a long-standing connection with Joe Burrow so he could get by with less practice time than others, but Russini believes a Wednesday practice could be a key sign whether or not Chase will be on the field for the Bengals against the Patriots on Sunday. Chase would be locked and loaded as a WR1 in fantasy any time he is on the field.

From RotoBaller

Davis Mills Sep 4 8:20am CT
Davis Mills

Houston Texans backup quarterback Davis Mills has signed a one-year contract extension according to Ian Rapoport of NFL Network. The deal features $5 million per year in new money and keeps Mills with the Texans through 2025. There are also playing time incentives written into the contract extension. The 2021 third-round pick is locked in as the backup to C.J. Stroud and the new extension provides a bit of job security in the near future. This shouldn't have fantasy implications unless something were to happen to Stroud.

From RotoBaller

James Conner Sep 4 2:23am CT
James Conner

Arizona Cardinals RB James Conner is the 'bell cow in that (running back) room,' according to offensive coordinator Drew Petzing.

Fantasy Spin: In case some of Trey Benson's biggest supporters needed to hear it from the play-caller himself. It is not a fantasy football season unless Conner is underrated. This year, managers have been hesitant to invest too much into Conner for two reasons: 1) a potential challenge from Benson and 2) the 29-year-old's durability issues. Conner managers should not hesitate to pick up Benson whenever and wherever possible, but it seems as though the rookie's value in 2024 will be mostly as a handcuff. It should also be noted that Conner was the highest-scoring non-quarterback in fantasy from Weeks 13-18, which is about the same time Kyler Murray started to look comfortable with his knee following his recovery from a torn ACL.

From TheHuddle

Joe Mixon Sep 4 2:13am CT
Joe Mixon

Houston Texans RB Joe Mixon (quad) 'displayed explosiveness during a (recent) joint practice session against the Los Angeles Rams and appears to be fully recovered from the quad injury that caused him to miss the majority of the preseason, according to KPRC's Aaron Wilson. 'Joe will be doing what he's done his entire career. I don't think you'll see anything different. He's a strong, physical back. He's going to get yards. So, I'm excited about seeing Joe run the ball behind our offensive line,' head coach DeMeco Ryans told reporters on Tuesday, Sept. 4.

Fantasy Spin: Mixon was not an efficient back in Cincinnati despite the Bengals' ridiculous talent in the passing game, but the 28-year-old will get another crack to anchor a ground game attached to a dynamic passing attack. Ryans' comments would suggest he will get his usual 300-plus touches, which will be enough to keep him firmly in the high-end RB2 conversation at worst.

From TheHuddle

Adonai Mitchell Sep 3 11:40pm CT
Adonai Mitchell

Indianapolis Colts wide receivers Adonai Mitchell and Alec Pierce will both have roles on offense this season, according to JJ Stankevitz of the team's official website. He noted that Mitchell has displayed impressive size, speed, and athleticism while getting extra reps in the slot with Josh Downs (ankle) sidelined. Meanwhile, Pierce has earned plenty of high praise from the coaching staff after consistently making plays on short, intermediate, and deep passes. Head coach Shane Steichen mentioned that he hopes Pierce's consistency will continue into the regular season while general manager Chris Ballard said that the receiver had his best camp yet. These two pass-catchers won't be able to touch Michael Pittman Jr. on the depth chart, but it sounds like they'll both still get involved as early as Week 1. However, with a little bit of competition and some lingering questions about Anthony Richardson's passing upside, it's best to hold off on pursuing Mitchell or Pierce in fantasy football for now.

From RotoBaller

Van Jefferson Sep 3 11:30pm CT
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Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin told the media that he "can't say enough" about the consistency exhibited by wide receivers Van Jefferson and Scotty Miller this summer. Both receivers were new additions this offseason and appear to have earned some praise from the coaching staff. Jefferson caught 20 passes for 209 yards last year while Miller tallied 11 catches, 161 yards, and a pair of touchdowns. It's unclear exactly what role they will have in 2024, but Tomlin's praise gives them some extra credibility and favor as the Steelers sort through their depth behind George Pickens. With that said, they can both be avoided in fantasy football for the time being.

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Joe Mixon Sep 3 11:20pm CT
Joe Mixon

Houston Texans running back Joe Mixon (quadriceps) is fully healthy, according to KPRC's Aaron Wilson. Mixon reportedly dealt with an undisclosed issue throughout the preseason, which we now know was a quadricep injury. He didn't suit up for any of the Texans' preseason games, but that may have been a result of his veteran status rather than any real injury concerns. Regardless, we now know that Mixon is fully healthy and should not have any limitations when he makes his Texans debut against the Colts on Sunday. The veteran appeared in all 17 games for the Bengals last season, registering 1,034 rushing yards, 376 receiving yards, and 12 total touchdowns. If he can continue to produce at this pace, he'll be a low-end RB1 in fantasy football this year.

From RotoBaller

James Conner Sep 3 11:20pm CT
James Conner

Arizona Cardinals running back James Conner "is the bell cow in that room," offensive coordinator Drew Petzing told the media on Tuesday. In simpler terms, Conner remains the primary option in Arizona's backfield. After all, there's no reason to reduce his workload given that he excelled in 2023. Last year, despite being 28 years old, he delivered 1,040 rushing yards, 165 receiving yards, and seven touchdowns. Now, entering his age-29 campaign, he remains a solid RB2 option for fantasy purposes. Petzing's comments come amidst speculation that rookie Trey Benson may eat into Conner's workload. While Arizona surely hopes Benson is their future franchise running back and could need him to carry the backfield at a moment's notice, the bell cow role still belongs to Conner for now.

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Chase Brown Sep 3 11:10pm CT
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Cincinnati Bengals running back Chase Brown is listed as the team's primary kick returner heading into the 2024 season. This update coincides with the news that Brown ranks second on the running back depth chart behind Zack Moss. As it stands, Brown may have a slightly smaller role than many managers anticipated; we may see the two of them receive more of a defined starter and backup workload rather than a true 50/50 split. This means that Brown will still get involved out of the backfield, but he's likely headed for fewer opportunities than Moss while also playing a role on special teams. As a result, Brown is difficult to trust in fantasy lineups for Week 1 against the Patriots. He ranks outside the top 36 running backs while Moss is a low-end RB2.

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Ty Chandler Sep 3 11:10pm CT
Ty Chandler

Minnesota Vikings running back Ty Chandler is expected to return kicks following the latest depth chart update. Chandler is listed as the team's primary kick returner while Brandon Powell handles punt return duties. This development comes in the wake of Minnesota's decision to release talented returner Kene Nwangwu. Chandler has big shoes to fill but is likely up for the challenge after getting a taste of the job last year. He returned four kicks for 97 yards in 2023. Fantasy managers should keep in mind that just because he is returning kicks doesn't mean he won't see snaps out of the backfield. Minnesota is expected to rely on Chandler to take some of the workload off veteran Aaron Jones. Chandler might not see quite enough snaps to warrant any fantasy consideration immediately, but he's an intriguing insurance policy at the very least.

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Devin White Sep 3 9:10pm CT
Devin White

Philadelphia Eagles linebacker Devin White (ankle) was able to get through a limited practice session on Tuesday. White is currently battling an ankle injury that could sideline him for the Week 1 matchup against the Green Bay Packers. The former first-round pick is heading into his first season in Philly. He collected 566 tackles, 23 sacks, and six fumbles forced during his first five seasons with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. His absence would certainly be a hit to this Eagles defense. Nakobe Dean would likely be in line to start at inside linebacker if White is unable to play. That would be a downgrade for this defense, but nothing is official yet.

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Brian Thomas Jr. Sep 3 8:50pm CT
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. was named one of the starters ahead of the Week 1 matchup against the Miami Dolphins. Unsurprisingly, Thomas has been named as a starter after the Jaguars selected him in the first round of this year's draft. Thomas had a breakout season during final year at LSU where he recorded 1,177 receiving yards with 17 touchdowns. There was little doubt that Thomas wouldn't be a starter given Parker Washington and Devin Duvernay were his main competition. Now, Thomas will have to fight for targets with Christian Kirk and newcomer Gabe Davis. The expectation is that Thomas is going to see a solid volume of targets making him worth snagging in just about every fantasy format. The rookie wideout could end up being the best receiving option on the team before the season is done.

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J.K. Dobbins Sep 3 8:40pm CT
J.K. Dobbins

Los Angeles Chargers running back J.K. Dobbins will look to rejuvenate his career with his new team in 2024. The former second-round pick has been held to 24 total games since being drafted by the Baltimore Ravens in 2020. The talent is there as Dobbins has averaged 5.8 yards per carry since joining the league. Sadly, Dobbins hasn't been able to stay on the field due to injuries. Despite that, Ben Solak of ESPN believes Dobbins can be the X-factor on this Chargers roster. He's probably not wrong as Dobbins does have all the talent and big-play ability to be a legitimate option in the league. The Chargers figure to be a run-heavy offense under new head coach Jim Harbaugh. Fantasy managers shouldn't spent a high pick on Dobbins, but he could be worth a look as a late-round option in deep leagues. If healthy, Dobbins could be a difference maker on this offense that doesn't have a true No. 1 back heading into Week 1.

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David Njoku Sep 3 8:30pm CT
David Njoku

Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku has been banged up during the preseason, but appears ready to go for the season opener. The 28-year-old will get back on the practice field this week as he prepares for the season opener against the Dallas Cowboys. Njoku surprised fantasy managers last season with 81 receptions for 882 yards and six touchdowns in 16 games. The Browns have done very little with adding any competition at the tight end spot. Right now, Jordan Akins is penciled in as the No. 2 tight end and he's not a threat to take away targets from Njoku. Last season, Njoku saw 123 targets which is a career-high for the veteran tight end. He figures to once again be relied upon in an offense that doesn't have many reliable options outside of Amari Cooper in the receiving game. Njoku finished as the TE6 last season and he should be able to post similar stats again as long as he can stay healthy.

From RotoBaller

Joe Mixon Sep 3 7:23pm CT
Joe Mixon

Houston Texans RB Joe Mixon is fully healthy after a preseason quadriceps injury and is expected to have a heavy workload in the offense, Aaron Wilson of Click2Houston.com wrote on Tuesday, Sept. 3.

Fantasy Spin: Mixon has Dameon Pierce and Cam Akers behind him, but he was always expected to at least lead the group. After finishing as RB11 overall in points per game last season, Mixon stands to receive a heavy workload in an explosive offense that should offer plenty of touchdown chances. He's an RB2 with RB1 upside if everything pans out.

From TheHuddle

Jake Haener Sep 3 6:50pm CT
Jake Haener

The New Orleans Saints have listed quarterbacks Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener as co-backups on their first official depth chart for the 2024 season behind starter Derek Carr. The Saints apparently couldn't decide on either Rattler or Haener as the primary backup behind Carr after they competed all throughout training camp and the preseason. Neither signal-caller stood out over the other during preseason games, so it's anyone's guess who will be active behind Carr this Sunday for the Week 1 regular-season opener against the division-rival Carolina Panthers. Rattler was a fifth-rounder back in April, and the Saints want to develop him for a potential starting role down the line. Haener, 25, was a fourth-round selection back in 2021 but has yet to make his NFL debut.

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Jawhar Jordan Sep 3 6:50pm CT
Jawhar Jordan

The Houston Texans reached injury settlements with rookie running back Jawhar Jordan (oblique) and defensive tackle Pheldarius Payne (hamstring) on Tuesday, waiving them from Injured Reserve. Jordan was taken in the sixth round this past April out of Louisville by the Texans, but he won't make his NFL debut in Houston. The 25-year-old will need to prove his healthy before potentially joining another organization, most likely on the practice squad. Jordan lacks size and physicality, but he could eventually develop into a third-down back somewhere if he can stay healthy because of his vision on the field and his blocking skills in pass protection. Payne, 24, is expected to join the team's practice squad after reaching an injury settlement. He suffered his hamstring injury in the team's preseason finale.

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