Favorite Picks Each Round

Tue Jul 29 10:38am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Ridley should benefit from new QB


We thought it would be a fun exercise to go over my favorite picks in each round of the draft. So using the ADP, I picked the player that goes in each round that I like to target come draft day. This would kind of be my ideal draft scenario. You can see my starting lineup and full roster at the end of the article for this 12-team league.

Here is what I’m thinking round-by-round. . . . .

Round 1: CeeDee Lamb, WR, Cowboys (5.86). I think Lamb might be the safest first-round pick. He is the clear top target in an offense that is going to throw the ball a ton. The Cowboys running game is a mess. And a healthy Dak Prescott is a huge plus for Lamb as well. I think he is going to have a monster season and make a run at top fantasy receiver in the game.

Round 2: Chase Brown, RB, Bengals (18.65). Brown had a breakout season last year, and I don’t think it was a fluke. He didn’t even open the season as the starter and still managed to finish 10th overall in fantasy scoring. He starts from day one in an explosive offense and should get all the goal-line work. Brown is setup for an even better season this year.

Round 3: Tyreek Hill, WR, Dolphins (26.22). Hill carries some risk, but he was bothered by a wrist injury much of the year, which hindered his production. I don’t think there is a player with a higher ceiling in Round 3 than Hill, which is why I’m taking that risk. He is healthy and has 111 or more receptions three of four seasons. He has something to prove this year, and I think he gets it done.

Round 4: Chuba Hubbard, RB, Panthers (39.12). I have a ton of shares of Hubbard already. I just love the fact he has next to no competition for carries and plays in an offense that could be much better this year if Bryce Young continues his development. Hubbard seems like a really safe pick with a consistent weekly floor. He is an ideal No. 2 fantasy back in my view.

Round 5: Tet McMillan, WR, Panthers (60.83). I hate to target players on bad teams, but McMillan really intrigues me. I just wonder why he isn’t getting the same love as some of the rookie receivers last year - Marvin Harrison, Malik Nabers, Brian Thomas. McMillan is going to get a ton of targets and could have a similar season to Nabers in my view. That is big-time value at this point of the draft.

Round 6: Calvin Ridley, WR, Titans (70.01). Ridley is another one of my favorite targets. He is the clear top option in the Titans passing game. He gets a huge upgrade at quarterback this year, having rookie Cam Ward throwing him passes. Ridley hit the 1,000-yard mark in an awful offense last year with terrible quarterback play. He was targeted 120 times but caught just 64 passes last year. The ceiling is super high for Ridley this coming season. He is going to be a target magnet.

Round 7: Jaylen Warren, RB, Steelers (81.93). Rookie Kaleb Johnson is around and is going to get carries, but Warren is clearly the top back in passing situations. And we know new quarterback Aaron Rodgers wants to throw the ball. This is going to have Warren on the field offense. I like him a lot as a flex play or low-end No. 2 fantasy back in this offense.

Round 8: Evan Engram, TE, Broncos (90.60). Engram heads to the Broncos and an offense that likes the tight end, especially in the red zone. And after Courtland Sutton, the options in the passing game aren’t the best. You could see Engram becoming a favorite target of Bo Nix in a hurry. Engram has some potential for a big first season in Denver.

Round 9: Tyjae Spears, RB, Titans (101.37). Spears was a bust last year but didn’t get the chances you hoped. The Titans are already stating they want more of a split backfield. Spears is a big-play threat with the ball in his hands, so he is the type of home-run hitter I like to have on my bench. He is a good spot play capable of the huge game any given week. And I look for his numbers to be a little more consistent this year, getting more weekly touches.

Round 10: Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys (110.01). I do like going early on a quarterback at times, but Prescott is a target of mine at this cheap price. He is going to throw the ball a ton in this pass-first offense. I can see him passing for 5,000-passing yards and pushing 40 touchdowns. He can be a top-five fantasy quarterback. If you want to wait a little on a quarterback, Prescott is a guy to target. And I like him even better if I take Lamb in Round 1.

Round 11: Jayden Higgins, WR, Texans (132.85). Higgins is another rookie receiver I like a lot this year. He has a good chance to start opposite Nico Collins from day one. And he plays in a passing attack that looks to be a lot better this year. C.J. Stroud wasn’t great in year two but he lacked a lot of quality options in the passing game because of injuries. Higgins can produce some big games as a reserve fantasy receiver. 

Round 12: Brandon Aubrey, K, Cowboys (133.67). Normally, I would never act early on a kicker. Ever. Never done it, but my mind is changing. I recently posted a story about teams being the first to draft a kicker. Of those teams, nearly 1/5 finished first or second in their league. Having the best kicker in the game made a difference last year. So for me, I might try it this season to see if it pays off. The price isn’t super high for Aubrey, either. So why not?

Round 13: C.J. Stroud, QB, Texans (153.32). If I’m going to wait on a quarterback, I like to double up pretty quickly. And Stroud is a favorite target of mine. He is dirt cheap after disappointing last season. Stroud gets all sorts of help at receiver this year through the draft and free agency. Remember, this guy was 11th in fantasy quarterback scoring as a rookie.

Round 14: Kyle Monangai, RB, Bears (166.13). Monangai is a big back that could be a real asset in short-yardage work. And we all know new head coach Ben Johnson likes to have a split backfield, so it would not surprise to see Monangai earn a role quickly in this offense. Plus, Johnson has a history of producing some fantasy backs with big touchdown numbers. I like taking a chance on Monangai at this point of the draft, hoping he becomes the goal-line back in Chicago.

Round 15: Cedric Tillman, WR, Browns (169.35). I like to have boom or bust players on my bench. You might have figured that out from the rest of my roster. Tillman certainly fits the bill. He had some big games last year when getting a chance to start, but disappeared in others. He should start from day one, and if Joe Flacco is throwing him passes, you have to like his chances for some more big games this season.

Round 16: Kansas City Chiefs (185.00). I might wait another round or two to grab a defense because the data shows going early on a defense doesn’t really help your chances of winning the league. But for the purposes of this article and filling out my lineup, I’ll go with the Chiefs if I’m taking a defense a little sooner than normal. You can get them after a lot of the top options at the position, but I think they can still be a top-five fantasy option this season. They have an innovative defensive coordinator that gets after the quarterback and causes turnovers. This unit has a lot of talent on that side of the ball, especially at cornerback and along the defensive line.

LINEUP
QB:  Dak Prescott
RB:  Chase Brown
RB:  Chuba Hubbard
WR:  CeeDee Lamb  
WR:  Tyreek Hill
WR:  Tet McMillan
TE:  Evan Engram
FLEX:  Calvin Ridley
K:   Brandon Aubrey
DEF:  Kansas City Chiefs
   
BENCH:  Jaylen Warren
BENCH:   Tyjae Spears
BENCH:   Jayden Higgins
BENCH:   C.J. Stroud
BENCH:   Kyle Monangai
BENCH:   Cedric Tillman

 

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Week 13

Player Notes
D'Andre Swift Nov 27 8:20am CT
D'Andre Swift

Chicago Bears running back D'Andre Swift had his worst game of the 2025 season in Week 12, handling just eight carries for 15 yards. Swift's role plummeted last week, as a costly fumble cut his snaps and his role against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Swift dropped from a consistent 60%+ snap player to playing under 43% of the snaps, trailing rookie running back Kyle Monangai, who played 57%. This week will be telling to see if Swift loses or returns to his normal starting role in Week 13. The Bears face the Philadelphia Eagles, who have regressed from the league's best run defense in 2024 to a middle-of-the-pack defense in 2025. However, with Monangai continuing to carve a role, Swift is more of a FLEX play in Week 13, rather than a locked-in starter.

From RotoBaller

Darren Waller Nov 27 8:20am CT
Darren Waller

Miami Dolphins tight end Darren Waller (pectoral) suffered a pectoral injury during Week 7's loss to the Cleveland Browns and was placed on Injured Reserve, but he had his 21-day practice window opened this week. Waller was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice, and it's possible that he could play in Week 13 against the New Orleans Saints, though it's more likely that he will need more time. The 33-year-old was impactful in four games for the Dolphins this season, catching 10 of his 12 targets for 117 yards and four touchdowns. The veteran tight end's status will be updated on Thursday and Friday. If Waller isn't activated from IR, Greg Dulcich will remain Miami's top tight end option for Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Colston Loveland Nov 27 7:10am CT
Colston Loveland

Chicago Bears rookie tight end Colston Loveland hauled in four of five targets for 49 yards and a touchdown in the 31-28 victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Loveland has emerged as a key contributor in this Bears' passing attack, totaling 40 or more yards in four straight weeks. However, veteran Cole Kmet remains a factor, splitting the snaps evenly in Week 12 (65%). While Loveland is showcasing his potential, the Bears are the fifth-most run-heavy team in the NFL, and have seven receivers who have 195 yards or more on the season. Loveland faces a tough matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles, who have allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season. With a crowded receiving room and a tough matchup, Loveland is a risky start in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze Nov 27 7:00am CT
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze has been very inconsistent and outright untrustworthy in recent weeks. Since the bye in Week 5, Odunze has had fewer than four receptions and 55 yards in five of his last seven games and has only caught one touchdown during that span. Odunze is averaging just 9.1 fantasy points per game since Week 6, on track to finish as the WR51 in that timeframe. The second-year receiver will look to bounce back against the Philadelphia Eagles, who have allowed the 10th most receiving yards in 2025. While Odunze still offers WR3 value in Week 13, without consistent usage in this Ben Johnson offense, Odunze will remain volatile in fantasy.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Nov 27 7:00am CT
D.J. Moore

Chicago Bears wide receiver D.J. Moore was able to find the endzone twice in Week 12, totaling 64 yards on five receptions in the 31-28 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite his strong showing against Pittsburgh, Week 12 marked just his second game of the season with seven or more targets in a game. Whether it's due to the emergence of Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III, and Colston Loveland or the strong workload given to the run game, Moore is a risky option for fantasy managers moving forward. The Eagles host the Bears this weekend, and their secondary has given up the 10th most yards to wide receivers in 2025. Despite the ideal matchup, Moore is a FLEX play at best in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Luther Burden III Nov 27 7:00am CT
Luther Burden III

Chicago Bears wide receiver Luther Burden III showed explosiveness in Week 12, totaling 61 yards on four total touches in the 31-28 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Burden has emerged in recent weeks, playing more snaps than Olamide Zaccheaus in the last two weeks. While the second round selection has showcased his untapped potential in 2025, he still sits behind Rome Odunze, D.J. Moore, and tight end Colston Loveland in the line for targets. Not only is his target competition stiff, but the Bears have been one of the most run-heavy teams in the NFL, ranking fifth in the NFL in rush attempts this season. The Bears face the defending champion Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13, who have struggled more this season than expected. Burden remains a bench stash for now, as his fantasy value hopes to grow later in the season.

From RotoBaller

Caleb Williams Nov 27 6:54am CT
Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is hoping to lead the Bears to their ninth win in their last ten games when they face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 13. Williams has ascended in his second season, completing 213 of 360 passes for 2568 yards, with 16 touchdowns and four interceptions in 11 games. Williams has also improved his rushing production in 2025, totaling 293 yards and three touchdowns on 56 carries. The 2024 first-overall pick is averaging 19.7 fantasy points per game, which puts him on pace to finish as the QB8 in fantasy this season. Philadelphia's pass defense has been middle of the pack this season, but has improved since acquiring Jaelan Phillips at the trade deadline. The key will be if Williams can play mistake-free football, as fantasy managers can feel comfortable starting him in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Kyle Monangai Nov 27 6:54am CT
Kyle Monangai

Chicago Bears rookie running back Kyle Monangai has found the endzone in three straight weeks, as he continues to carve out a role in this Bears' backfield. In Week 12, Monangai had 12 carries for 48 yards and a touchdown in the 31-28 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Monangai surpassed Swift in both usage and snap share, playing 57% of the snaps compared to Swift's 43%. Even though those numbers were inflated due to a costly fumble by Swift, it will be an interesting storyline to watch in Week 13 against the Philadelphia Eagles. This Eagles run defense has been middle-of-the-pack against running backs this season, regressing from their top-tier rank in 2024. Monangai offers FLEX value in Week 13, whose fantasy value likely hinges on whether the rookie can find the end zone for a fourth consecutive game.

From RotoBaller

Darius Cooper Nov 27 12:20am CT
Darius Cooper

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver Darius Cooper recorded his first career stats this past week against the Dallas Cowboys, catching both of his targets for a total of seven yards. The undrafted rookie had his second-most snaps in a game this season, being on the field for 13 offensive plays. While these still aren't numbers that jump off the stat sheet, it does show that Cooper has the potential to see some more looks over the course of the final six games of the regular season. He's played with the first team and has some trust from Jalen Hurts. And now with DeVonta Smith on the injury report, this could be the perfect storm for Cooper to show more of what he has to offer. Hopes shouldn't get too high, as he's still not worthy of a fantasy roster spot, but it will be interesting to watch how Cooper gets involved the rest of the way.

From RotoBaller

Dallas Goedert Nov 27 12:20am CT
Dallas Goedert

Philadelphia Eagles tight end Dallas Goedert let down once again last week, tallying his fifth straight performance with fewer than 50 yards. In fact, Goedert has only eclipsed that number once this season-in Week 6 when he finished with 110 yards. His once-remarkable touchdown streak now feels like a distant memory as he has failed to find the end zone in three consecutive games. What's also concerning is his lack of targets; Goedert has recorded three or fewer looks in three of his last five outings. He has become a rather untrustworthy player lately, so it's difficult to be optimistic about him this week, even against a Bears defense giving up the seventh-most fantasy points to tight ends. Goedert has some work to do to be considered elite again, and for now is only valuable if he starts seeing more red zone work. He's a high-risk, high-reward TE2 in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Jake Elliott Nov 27 12:20am CT
Jake Elliott

Philadelphia Eagles kicker Jake Elliott just gave fantasy managers whiplash, going from his highest-volume performance of the season in Week 11 to missing his lone field goal attempt in Week 12. Elliott will kick at home in his upcoming game against the Bears, who give up the sixth-most points per game (26.5) in the NFL this season. While Chicago's defense should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities for Philly, Elliott has gotten just 14 tries at field goals this year and missed three of them. He isn't given consistent chances and isn't exactly automatic when his number is finally called. There are better kickers to roster in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Saquon Barkley Nov 27 12:10am CT
Saquon Barkley

Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (groin) was limited at practice on Wednesday. Barkley had his worst performance on the ground so far this season last week in a loss to the Dallas Cowboys, finishing with 22 yards on 10 attempts. Luckily for fantasy managers, he was able to find success in the passing game by catching seven balls for 52 yards, further proving how he can be efficient in more ways than one. Barkley shouldn't have the same run struggles on Friday as he faces a lackluster Bears defense allowing 138.1 rushing yards per game this year. Philly's offense fell stagnant in the second half against Dallas and is unlikely to do the same in what will be a hotly contested battle atop the NFC. Expect Barkley to get back to around 20 carries and be far more productive running the ball this week, and probably get a decent amount of targets through the air as well. His injury on a short week is something to keep an eye on, but if he's good to go he's a solid RB1.

From RotoBaller

Tank Bigsby Nov 27 12:10am CT
Tank Bigsby

Philadelphia Eagles running back Tank Bigsby could get his breakout moment this Friday if Saquon Barkley (groin) is unable to suit up. Bigsby is the only Philly RB besides Barkley to get any carries in the last two weeks, and would likely get his number called as the next man up should the Eagles' primary backfield option miss the game against Chicago. While the former Jaguar hasn't seen a ton of action since being traded to Philadelphia earlier this season, he has shown promise with his limited opportunities. In 10 games, Bigsby has carried the ball 18 times for 164 yards for an average of 9.1 yards per carry. The Eagles offensive live is always going to be a huge benefactor to whoever gets the handoffs, and fellow RB Will Shipley would probably be used more in the passing game. If he does get the starting nod, Bigsby should be seen as at least a mid-level RB2 against a Bears defense allowing the 14th-most fantasy points to RBs.

From RotoBaller

A.J. Brown Nov 27 12:10am CT
A.J. Brown

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown caught his fourth touchdown of the season and his first in three weeks last Sunday against the Cowboys, while also setting a season high for receptions (8) and eclipsing 100 yards for the third time this year. Brown has racked up 21 targets over his last two outings, and could be in for another big day this week with DeVonta Smith (shoulder/chest/illness) possibly being sidelined. Even if his fellow star receiver is out there, Brown looked like the WR1 he's expected to be versus Dallas and should continue this momentum. He'll face the Bears on Friday whose defense allows the 11th-most fantasy points to WRs this season. This may be the start of a late-season surge for Brown, and he should be considered a mid-level WR2 in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Kenneth Gainwell Nov 27 12:10am CT
Kenneth Gainwell

Pittsburgh Steelers running back Kenneth Gainwell delivered another productive performance in Week 12 against the Chicago Bears, posting 10 carries for 92 yards while adding six receptions (six targets) for 30 yards. Gainwell's receiving workload in recent weeks has made him a viable fantasy option in PPR leagues. It's also been a consistent part of the former Philadelphia Eagle's scoring profile on the season, with four games of at least six receptions, tied with Bijan Robinson for the third most by a running back this season and only trailing De'Von Achane (five games) and Christian McCaffrey (nine). The Pittsburgh backfield has essentially been an even split between Jaylen Warren and Gainwell over the past three weeks. Gainwell holds a slight edge in snap share at 54.7% compared to Warren's 41.9%, though it's worth noting Warren left Week 11 early with an ankle injury. Gainwell has maintained his role in the passing game and could be the preferred option moving forward between the two.

From RotoBaller

DeVonta Smith Nov 27 12:10am CT
DeVonta Smith

Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith (shoulder/chest/illness) did not participate in Wednesday's practice, making it the second consecutive day that he's missed. Smith was able to find his rhythm again last week, being targeted 11 times for six catches and 89 yards, so it would be an unfortunate shot to any momentum he's built if he's forced to sit out. If he plays against Chicago on Friday, he'll be up against a defense that has allowed 22 receiving touchdowns in 11 games. Given their track record this season, you never know when an Eagles receiver might boom or bust, but it seems like the corps as a whole has been hitting its stride recently. Consider Smith a low-end WR2/FLEX option if he's available.

From RotoBaller

Parker Washington Nov 27 12:00am CT
Parker Washington

Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Parker Washington looks like an impactful find off the waiver wire for fantasy managers who scooped him up a few weeks ago after injuries to Travis Hunter (knee) and Brian Thomas Jr. (ankle). Since Week 7, Washington has played a full-time role for the Jaguars, amassing 22 receptions for 266 yards and two touchdowns on 35 targets, averaging 12.4 PPR points per game and ranking as the WR28 in that time. The 23-year-old has operated mostly out of the slot and has developed a good connection with quarterback Trevor Lawrence. The trade deadline acquisition of Jakobi Meyers has taken away some of the target volume, and the return of Brenton Strange in Week 12, along with the expected return of Thomas in Week 13, could complicate things and limit Washington's upside. Washington ranks as RotoBaller's WR41 in PPR leagues for Week 13

From RotoBaller

Jalen Hurts Nov 27 12:00am CT
Jalen Hurts

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts' Week 12 game against the Cowboys was the second time this season he's had multiple rushing touchdowns in a single game-the other being in Week 1 against the Cowboys. He could resort to using his legs some more in his upcoming meeting with the Bears on Friday, as Chicago allows the fifth-most rushing yards per game this season (138.1). The Bears are also tied for the third-most passing touchdowns allowed, giving up 22 in 11 contests. Hurts may be without star receiver DeVonta Smith (shoulder/chest/illness) this week, but he tends to spread the ball around anyway. In an effort to bounce back from the recent loss and with the high stakes of being up against a top threat in the NFC, Hurts should be on his A-game in this favorable matchup. He's a high-end QB1 in Week 13.

From RotoBaller

Chris Rodriguez Jr. Nov 26 11:50pm CT
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Washington Commanders running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. (illness) was absent during Wednesday's practice due to an illness, but it shouldn't affect his status for Sunday Night Football against the Denver Broncos. Rodriguez has established himself as Washington's primary ball carrier in recent weeks with the struggles of rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt. The third-year back out of Kentucky led the backfield with a 45.3% snap share in Washington's Week 11 loss to the Miami Dolphins in Madrid, handling a career high 15 carries for 79 yards to go with one reception (one target) for six yards as a receiver. He won't add much value as a receiver as Jeremy McNichols handles the pass-down responsibilities, but he should receive the majority of the early down work with Croskey-Merritt mixing in. Rodriguez has a tough matchup in Week 13 against Denver, but should get enough volume to profile as a low-end RB3.

From RotoBaller

Colby Parkinson Nov 26 11:30pm CT
Colby Parkinson

Los Angeles Rams tight end Colby Parkinson has scored in three consecutive games and has been a real piece of the offense, playing 61.9% of the offensive snaps and totaling 10 receptions (11 targets) for 96 yards and three touchdowns. Parkinson ranks as the TE3 in total PPR points (37.6) in that span. The 26-year-old has taken advantage of his opportunity with Tyler Higbee (ankle) on injured reserve, posting the third-highest route share (39.6%) on the team behind Davante Adams and Puka Nacua in Weeks 10 through 12. He hit a season high of 50% in Week 12, and that number could tick up more with how productive he's been. Head coach Sean McVay has expressed the desire to get rookie tight end Terrance Ferguson more involved, but that hasn't happened just yet. Fantasy managers desperate for tight end production could look at Parkinson for Week 13. He ranks as RotoBaller's TE27 in PPR formats.

From RotoBaller