Bender's Favorite NFL DFS Pickem Picks: Week 3

Fri Sep 19 2:22pm ET
By HOWARD BENDER
Fantasy Writer

NFL Week 3 is here, which means more opportunities to win some money playing DFS Pickem contests. I won’t rehash what happened in Week 2 – I chalk it up to a learning experience. The data from Week 1 is always difficult to interpret and the second week of the season always has some things go sideways. In this season’s case, we saw a bunch of quarterback injuries, and unexpected game scripts. It happens.

We actually opened the week with some picks I published for the Thursday Night game between the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins. We hit with my pick on James Cook’s rushing yards and De’Von Achane’s receptions, but lost on the full parlay when Josh Allen failed to find the end zone. He was super-close, but opted to hand the ball off to Cook, which was a major disappointment. We’ll get it back this week.

If you are new to the DFS Pickem format, allow me to help you along because it’s really quite easy. All you do is make your picks for players to produce more or less than their designated stat-line and if you are right, you can earn up to 40 times your wager (minimum wager of $1). Pick correctly for two players and you will 3x your money. Three correct picks will get you a 6x return, four is 10x and so on, up to 40x for six correct picks. You should give a look at the full contest rules, but that’s the gist of it for how to play.

Again, since I’m going to be taking down that top prize in the Beat Howard Bender Best Ball Tournament, I thought I’d give back to the community each week with some DFS Pickem picks. I do a substantial amount of the NFL betting content and a lot of DFS content on Fantasy Alarm, so I am always diving into the match-ups and player stat lines. Why not turn that into some cold, hard cash so you can afford to play me in season-long contests again next year?

Before we jump into my plays, be sure to take advantage of the current promotional pick being offered by RT Sports.

Patrick Mahomes, QB KC – MORE than 0.5 passing + rushing yards

Another “gimme pick” always makes it nice for those playing, especially those who might be new to the contests. Mahomes against the Giants was easy-picking as it was, so this just makes the decision easier for where we want to go this week.

Pick of the Week:

Calvin Ridley, WR TEN -- MORE than 51.5 receiving yards

Take advantage of the recent line movement at some of the books because right now, the line is set at 54.5 receiving yards in most places. We’ll invest, even with a rookie QB under center. Everyone is loving on Elic Ayomanor, but it is Ridley who leads this Titans team in targets through the first two weeks. What I love about this matchup most is how Ridley, who runs routes on 92 percent of the quarterback dropbacks, dominates against zone coverage and sees a 33.3 percent target share when facing zone. Colts defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo runs zone coverage about 70 percent of the time, so we’ll look for Ridley to find the open pockets and drop in for a few catches.

Other Favorite Week 3 Picks:

  • Nico Collins, WR HOU – MORE than 68.5 receiving yards
  • Drake London, WR ATL – LESS than 64.5 receiving yards
  • D.K. Metcalf, WR PIT – MORE than 0.5 rush + rec TD

If you have never signed up or deposited here at Real Time Fantasy Sports, do yourself a favor and head over to rtsports.com/bender and get a 50% match on your first deposit, up to $500.

If you’re looking to tail my picks in a parlay, you can find them in the DFS Pickem Lobby on the right-hand side of the page.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Week 5

Player Notes
Brock Bowers Oct 3 2:50pm CT
Brock Bowers

Las Vegas Raiders tight end Brock Bowers (knee) missed practice for a second straight day on Friday while he battles a knee injury, per ESPN's Ryan McFadden. Bowers logged a limited practice on Wednesday but has been a non-participant since, putting his status for Week 5 against the Indianapolis Colts in question. The 22-year-old has been playing through a knee sprain he suffered in Week 1, but his production has been subpar by his lofty standards. Through four games, Bowers has 19 catches for 205 yards and a touchdown on 27 targets. If Las Vegas decides to hold him out in Week 5, tight end Michael Mayer would be in line for a significant jump in playing time and could be a low-end starting fantasy option against the Colts.

From RotoBaller

Zach Cunningham Oct 3 2:43pm CT
Zach Cunningham

Detroit Lions LB Zach Cunningham (hamstring), CB Khalil Dorsey (concussion, wrist) and RB Sione Vaki (groin) did not participate in practice Friday, Oct. 3, and has been ruled out for Week 5. DT Alim McNeill (knee) was limited during practice but has been ruled out. OT Taylor Decker (shoulder) did not practice and is listed as questionable. S Kerby Joseph (knee) was limited during practice and is listed as questionable. CB Terrion Arnold (shoulder) fully participated in practice and is not injury report.

From TheHuddle

Carlton Davis Oct 3 2:43pm CT
Carlton Davis

New England Patriots LB K'Lavon Chaisson (knee) did not participate in practice Friday, Oct. 3, and is listed as questionable for Week 5. DT Milton Williams (ankle) was limited during practice and is listed as questionable. CB Carlton Davis (illness) and LB Jahlani Tavai (calf) fully participated in practice but are listed as questionable. DT Christian Barmore (non-injury), OT Will Campbell (shoulder), S Jaylinn Hawkins (hamstring), LB Marte Mapu (neck), OG Michael Onwenu (shoulder) and OG Jared Wilson (ankle, knee) fully participated in practice and are not on the injury report.

From TheHuddle

Tyrone Tracy Jr. Oct 3 2:40pm CT
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. (shoulder) remains doubtful to play in Week 5 against the New Orleans Saints, according to Tom Pelissero of NFL Network. Tracy Jr. suffered a dislocated shoulder in Week 3 and was originally given a recovery timeline of two to four weeks, but is reportedly healing well. Tracy Jr. is still unlikely to play in Week 5, but it sounds as though he could return in Week 6 against the Philadelphia Eagles. Assuming Tracy Jr. is out against New Orleans, Giants rookie running back Cam Skattebo should play a workhorse role with veteran Devin Singletary occasionally mixing in. Skattebo profiles as a must-start fantasy running back in Week 5 against the Saints.

From RotoBaller

Darren Waller Oct 3 2:33pm CT
Darren Waller

Miami Dolphins TE Darren Waller (hip, rest) was limited all week in practice but is expected to play Week 5 against the Carolina Panthers.

Fantasy Spin: Waller had two touchdowns on three catches in his debut for the Dolphins in Week 4. While he isn't likely to repeat that, he has shown he is a popular redzone target for the team. He is worth streaming if you need a tight end or in deeper leagues. If he shows he is a reliable option in Week 5, then he could become a starter for you in your lineup.

From TheHuddle

Taysom Hill Oct 3 2:30pm CT
Taysom Hill

New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill (knee) is questionable to play in Week 5 against the New York Giants, per the team's beat reporter Erin Summers. Hill tore his ACL in Week 12 of 2024 and began the year on the physically unable to perform list, but he appears to be nearing a return to the field. Hill rushed for 278 yards and six touchdowns while also catching 23 passes for 187 yards across eight games before getting hurt last season. He should resume his dual-threat role once he returns to the lineup. That could take playing time away from Saints tight end Juwan Johnson, who has been one of the most productive players at the position from a fantasy perspective so far this season. When he returns, Hill should be considered a low-end starting tight end option in fantasy given his role as a goal-line weapon.

From RotoBaller

Foster Moreau Oct 3 2:30pm CT
Foster Moreau

New Orleans Saints tight end Foster Moreau (knee) is questionable to play in Week 5 against the New York Giants, per the team's beat reporter Erin Summers. Moreau began the year on the physically unable to perform list due to a knee injury, but he returned to practice this week and should be close to making his return. Moreau recorded 32 catches for 413 yards and five touchdowns across 17 games in 2024. The 28-year-old is unlikely to be fantasy-relevant himself, but he could steal playing time away from Saints tight end Juwan Johnson, who has been a highly productive fantasy tight end so far this season. The Saints should also be getting back Taysom Hill (knee) from a knee injury in the coming weeks, which will only further muddle the playing time picture at the position.

From RotoBaller

Darren Waller Oct 3 2:23pm CT
Darren Waller

Miami Dolphins CB Storm Duck (ankle) and WR Cedrick Wilson Jr. (knee) did not practice all week and are out for Week 5 against the Carolina Panthers. TE Darren Waller (hip, rest) was limited in practice all week but is expected to play. CB Ethan Bonner (hamstring), LB Jordyn Brooks (elbow), G Jonah Savaiinaea (knee), and FB Alec Ingold (rest) practiced in full on Friday and no longer appear on the injury report.

From TheHuddle

Jimmy Horn Jr. Oct 3 2:20pm CT
Jimmy Horn Jr.

Carolina Panthers head coach Dave Canales said that rookie wide receiver Jimmy Horn Jr. will "definitely" be a part of the team's wide receiver rotation, per Joseph Person of The Athletic. Horn Jr. has been a healthy scratch in each of Carolina's first four games but appears poised to make his NFL debut, perhaps in Week 5 against the Miami Dolphins. Panthers wide receiver Jalen Coker (quad) is eligible to return off Injured Reserve this week, but not guaranteed to play, and the team lost veteran wideout David Moore (elbow) to IR after he suffered an elbow injury in Week 4. On the other hand, second-year wide receiver Xavier Legette (hamstring) looks poised to return in Week 5 after a two-game absence due to a hamstring injury. If Horn Jr. is active for Week 5, he'll likely be battling with Legette and veteran Hunter Renfrow for playing time alongside standout rookie Tetairoa McMillan.

From RotoBaller

Jaydon Blue Oct 3 2:10pm CT
Jaydon Blue

Dallas Cowboys rookie running back Jaydon Blue, who has been a healthy inactive for each of the team's first four games, is expected to make his season debut on Sunday. Mile Sanders (knee/ankle) has not been practicing this week, and should he miss the team's Week 5 matchup with the Jets, Blue would be next in line to handle primary backup responsibilities behind surprise workhorse Javonte Williams. Where Blue could see an immediate impact is in the kicking game, where his 4.38-second 40 time makes him a considerable threat in space. While he's not yet a flex-worthy play for fantasy managers, he's worth holding onto through bye weeks wherever possible, as the undeniable skillset that made him a fifth-round pick, despite limited college production, could see him carve out a functional role moving forward.

From RotoBaller

Taysom Hill Oct 3 2:03pm CT
Taysom Hill

New Orleans Saints TE Taysom Hill (knee) was limited during practice Friday, Oct. 3, and is listed as questionable for Week 5.

Fantasy Spin: Fantasy players will need to monitor the situation to see if Hill will be added to the 53-man roster before the Week 5 game. He will probably be eased back into the offense, so he will not be a fantasy option in his first week or two back. He can be involved in both the running and passing game once he is fully healthy and could be a possible low-end No. 1 tight end later in the season.

From TheHuddle

Taysom Hill Oct 3 2:03pm CT
Taysom Hill

New Orleans Saints OG Cesar Ruiz (ankle), DE Chase Young (calf), WR Trey Palmer (ankle) and CB Isaac Yiadom (hamstring) did not participate in practice Friday, Oct. 3, and have been ruled out for Week 5. TE Juwan Johnson (ankle), OG Trevor Penning (ankle), OG Dillon Radunz (toe), TE Taysom Hill (knee) and TE Foster Moreau (knee) were limited during practice and are listed as questionable. DT John Ridgeway (shoulder) fully participated in practice but is listed as questionable. S Justin Reid (knee) and DT Davon Godchaux (non-injury) fully participated in practice and are not on the injury report.

From TheHuddle

Rakeem Nunez-Roches Oct 3 1:53pm CT
Rakeem Nunez-Roches

New York Giants RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. (shoulder) was limited during practice Friday, Oct. 3, but is listed as doubtful for Week 5. DT Dexter Lawrence (illness) did not participate in practice and is listed as questionable. S Tyler Nubin (groin) and LB Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles (hamstring) were limited during practice and are listed as questionable. S Dane Belton (shoulder), DE Chauncey Golston (ankle), S Jevon Holland (calf, neck) and DT Rakeem Nunez-Roches (foot) were limited during practice but are not on the injury report. OG Greg Van Roten (non-injury), DT D.J. Davidson (foot), C John Michael Schmitz (ankle), QB Jaxson Dart (hamstring), RB Cam Skattebo (knee), QB Russell Wilson (ankle) and OT Andrew Thomas (foot) fully participated in practice and are not on the injury report.

From TheHuddle

Michael Pittman Jr. Oct 3 1:50pm CT
Michael Pittman Jr.

Following his limited participation in Thursday's practice, Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. (hamstring) reportedly practiced on Friday and will be good to go for Sunday's matchup with the Raiders, according to head coach Shane Steichen. Steichen said his top receiver, in terms of targets, receptions, and touchdowns, was just a little sore, and the fact that he did not earn an official injury designation would support this claim. The Raiders have been an above-average fantasy matchup for receivers through four weeks, and with Alec Pierce (concussion) already ruled out and Adonai Mitchell potentially facing playing time discipline for last week's mental error that cost the team a score, Pittman, who has caught a touchdown in three of four games, could be in line for another big day.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Ridley Oct 3 1:40pm CT
Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Calvin Ridley (knee/elbow) will be listed as questionable for the team's Week 5 matchup with the Arizona Cardinals, according to head coach Brian Callahan. While the Titans have not yet publicized their Friday practice report, Ridley sat out both Wednesday and Thursday's practices with injuries to both his knee and elbow. Ridley saw his lightest workload of the season in a Week 4 loss to the Texans, and it has since been revealed that he was battling through those injuries during the game. Ridley is tied for the team target lead with rookie Elic Ayomanor. While the subpar looks they've been getting from fellow rookie Cam Ward have resulted in a catch rate right around 50% for both, should Ridley miss time, a consolidated target share for Ayomanor could make him the only Titans player worthy of a start this week against a rather generous Cardinals' pass defense.

From RotoBaller

Tyjae Spears Oct 3 1:20pm CT
Tyjae Spears

In speaking with reporters on Friday, Tennessee Titans head coach Brian Callahan shared his excitement about the work put in by running back Tyjae Spears (ankle) in his recovery from the preseason ankle sprain that has kept him sidelined through the first four weeks of the season. Spears started the year on the Injured Reserve, but his practice window was opened this week, and he has been practicing in a limited capacity. Callahan did not provide details on when Spears will make his season debut, but he has liked what he's seen from his third year back in what he called a good week of practice. The Titans have had one of the league's most ineffective ground games to begin the year, making starting running back Tony Pollard a weekly start/sit decision as is. Divvying up the workshare amongst two backs threatens to make every Titans player unplayable in all but the deepest formats.

From RotoBaller

Taysom Hill Oct 3 1:10pm CT
Taysom Hill

The New Orleans Saints opened the 21-day practice window for do-everything tight end Taysom Hill (knee) this week, and while his participation from Friday's practice has yet to be publicized, he opened the week with two limited practices. Hill started the season on the PUP list and has been out of the Saints' lineup since sustaining a knee injury in Week 12 of the 2024 season. While Hill is about as untraditional a tight end as you will find, his presence will likely eat into the fantasy value of Juwan Johnson, who is third in the league in both targets and receptions at the position through four weeks. Hill's practice status on Friday is worth monitoring, as it could affect start/sit decisions on Johnson as fantasy managers look for any positional port in a storm with the arrival of NFL bye weeks.

From RotoBaller

Adonai Mitchell Oct 3 1:00pm CT
Adonai Mitchell

When asked if Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Adonai Mitchell will be active for the Week 5 contest on Sunday against the visiting Las Vegas Raiders, head coach Shane Steichen said the team is "working through that," according to Mike Chappell of FOX 59. With Alec Pierce out with a concussion in the Week 4 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, Mitchell caught three of his four targets for 96 yards. It wasn't a bad showing, but a couple of huge blunders highlighted his day -- First, a near 80-yard touchdown was for naught when he fumbled right before the goal line. After that, he had a holding call that negated a long touchdown run for the Colts. Those blunders could make him a healthy scratch this weekend, even though Pierce will miss a second straight game. If the 22-year-old is a healthy scratch, Ashton Dulin would be in line to serve as the WR3 for the Colts.

From RotoBaller

Calvin Ridley Oct 3 12:53pm CT
Calvin Ridley

Tennessee Titans WR Calvin Ridley (elbow, knee) is questionable to play in Week 5, according to Brian Callahan.

Fantasy Spin: Ridley has not been a top target in the team's passing attack this season. If he is healthy and in the lineup, he is still worth a spot in your lineup as a flex option.

From TheHuddle

Jalen Coker Oct 3 12:50pm CT
Jalen Coker

Carolina Panthers head coach Dave Canales said that wide receiver Jalen Coker's (quadriceps) practice window is expected to be opened next week, according to Darin Gantt of Panthers.com. "Coker is doing great," Canales said. "He's hitting some top speeds. Now, it's about capacity." The 23-year-old opened the 2025 season on Injured Reserve with a pretty serious quad injury. He's now eligible to come off IR after already missing four games, but he will not make his season debut in Week 5 against the visiting Miami Dolphins on Sunday. With Coker finally ready to practice next week, don't be surprised if he's not ready to play in Week 6 against the Dallas Cowboys, either. A more realistic date for Coker's potential return could be a Week 7 date against the New York Jets. With nobody really stepping up outside of rookie first-round wideout Tetairoa McMillan, Coker has a real opportunity to become Carolina's WR2 once he's fully healthy.

From RotoBaller